Yes, but if it's a Mitt Romney-Rand Paul ticket come November, they say goodbye to all the more pickupable women and conservative catholic voters they could pick up with a Martinez/Bachmann/Jindal VP slot and a Terri Schiavo-ey issue plank. And they've been after those voters since 2000. Logically, the Moral majority is less likely to run to a party with abortion and amnesty as it's base than a GOP, hence their importance and the greater likelihood of a Romney-Jindal ticket. Austerity Democrats like Andy Cuomo, Tim kaine, Hillary Clinton and even Barry (as we will discover during his 2nd term) are the money-raising dominant force in the UnDemocratic Party. The working class has been trending Republican for decades (West Virginia). trends, man. that's the key word.
Cuomo DLC =Future home of fiscal conservaticrats
Pat Toomer GOP = tuk er jobs, no taxes, whats default mean spendublican
No way will the GOP abandom it's religiounut plank in favour of Gary Johnson's libertarian brand, though you guys will become a MAJOR thrid party come the next election taking states from the dems (NH, NV) but Hispanics will become Republican with the rise of George P Bush, Brian Sandoval and Susana Martinez.
I agree with your points, though I don't see any major third party coming to light.