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| | | |-+  PPP/Kos: Obama by 3 nationally, Republicans want Rubio as VP
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Author Topic: PPP/Kos: Obama by 3 nationally, Republicans want Rubio as VP  (Read 469 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: May 08, 2012, 01:38:49 pm »

Daily Kos/SEIU Weekly State of the Nation Poll
Public Policy Polling, 1000 registered voters, MoE ±3.1%, May 3, 2012 - May 6, 2012.

48-45 Obama/Romney

45-50 Obama Approval

47-48 Obama Favorables
39-48 Romney Favorables

Dems: 62% Very excited about voting
GOP: 53% Very excited about voting
Indies: 43% Very excited about voting

VP pick (among Republicans only, n=350):

25% Rubio
19% Christie
16% Bush
  8% Ryan
  6% Brewer
  4% Martinez
  3% Portman
  0% Ayotte
18% Undecided

Sample:

38% D, 35% R, 26% I

http://dailykos.com/weeklypolling/2012/5/3
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #1 on: May 08, 2012, 01:42:51 pm »
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So Obama is up by 7 in IA an OH but only 3 nationally? What is this sorcery?
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jmfcst
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« Reply #2 on: May 08, 2012, 01:48:39 pm »
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Republicans want Rubio at the top of the ticket, not playing 2nd fiddle to Romney.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #3 on: May 08, 2012, 01:57:20 pm »
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So Obama is up by 7 in IA an OH but only 3 nationally? What is this sorcery?

Sorcery is not oversampling Democrats.
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greenforest32
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« Reply #4 on: May 08, 2012, 02:13:17 pm »
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Too bad Florida has a gubernatorial appointment for Senate vacancies: http://www.ncsl.org/legislatures-elections/elections/vacancies-in-the-united-states-senate.aspx

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In the following 36 states, the governor makes an appointment to fill a U.S. Senate vacancy, and the appointee serves until the next regularly-scheduled, statewide general election.  The person elected at that next regularly-held general election serves for the remainder of the unexpired term, if any.  If the term was set to expire at that general election, the person elected serves a full six-year term.

If I'm reading things right, picking Rubio for VP would trigger an election for his senate seat in November 2012 right?
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oakvale
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« Reply #5 on: May 08, 2012, 02:15:05 pm »
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Too bad Florida has a gubernatorial appointment for Senate vacancies: http://www.ncsl.org/legislatures-elections/elections/vacancies-in-the-united-states-senate.aspx

Quote
In the following 36 states, the governor makes an appointment to fill a U.S. Senate vacancy, and the appointee serves until the next regularly-scheduled, statewide general election.  The person elected at that next regularly-held general election serves for the remainder of the unexpired term, if any.  If the term was set to expire at that general election, the person elected serves a full six-year term.

If I'm reading things right, picking Rubio for VP would trigger an election for his senate seat in November 2012 right?

I don't think Florida has a resign-to-run law, or at least not one that applies to federal offices.
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cavalcade
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« Reply #6 on: May 08, 2012, 02:40:51 pm »
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All the pollsters seem to have this election closer nationally than their state-level results imply.
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Lowly Griff
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« Reply #7 on: May 09, 2012, 01:32:50 am »
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Quote
Dems: 62% Very excited about voting
GOP: 53% Very excited about voting

Yes.

Too bad Florida has a gubernatorial appointment for Senate vacancies: http://www.ncsl.org/legislatures-elections/elections/vacancies-in-the-united-states-senate.aspx

Quote
In the following 36 states, the governor makes an appointment to fill a U.S. Senate vacancy, and the appointee serves until the next regularly-scheduled, statewide general election.  The person elected at that next regularly-held general election serves for the remainder of the unexpired term, if any.  If the term was set to expire at that general election, the person elected serves a full six-year term.

If I'm reading things right, picking Rubio for VP would trigger an election for his senate seat in November 2012 right?

I don't think Florida has a resign-to-run law, or at least not one that applies to federal offices.

I'm fairly certain that anyone running for federal office - from any state - is exempt from any state's resign-to-run laws.
« Last Edit: May 09, 2012, 01:35:56 am by Mittosis »Logged

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« Reply #8 on: May 09, 2012, 01:34:21 am »
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So Obama is up by 7 in IA an OH but only 3 nationally? What is this sorcery?

Sorcery is not oversampling Democrats.

63% of Democrats are excited; 53% of Republicans are.  The likely voter model should be R+x because...
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #9 on: May 09, 2012, 03:00:55 am »
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Too bad Florida has a gubernatorial appointment for Senate vacancies: http://www.ncsl.org/legislatures-elections/elections/vacancies-in-the-united-states-senate.aspx

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In the following 36 states, the governor makes an appointment to fill a U.S. Senate vacancy, and the appointee serves until the next regularly-scheduled, statewide general election.  The person elected at that next regularly-held general election serves for the remainder of the unexpired term, if any.  If the term was set to expire at that general election, the person elected serves a full six-year term.

If I'm reading things right, picking Rubio for VP would trigger an election for his senate seat in November 2012 right?

No, because Rubio wouldn't resign his senate seat unless he's actually elected VP.  If Romney/Rubio wins, then Rubio resigns his senate seat in December or January before being sworn in as VP on Jan. 20.  Scott picks a replacement who serves until Nov. 2014, when the seat is put up for election for someone to serve out the remaining two years of the term for that seat.
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