If Intrade had existed, who would it have named the frontrunners for..... (user search)
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  If Intrade had existed, who would it have named the frontrunners for..... (search mode)
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Author Topic: If Intrade had existed, who would it have named the frontrunners for.....  (Read 2298 times)
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
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Posts: 20,058
Canada
« on: May 12, 2012, 12:30:22 PM »

1968: Romney
1972: Muskie
1976: ?, Ford
1980: Carter, Reagan
1988: ?
1992: ABC
1996: Dole
2000: Gore/Bush
2004: Dean
2008: Clinton/McCain
2012: Romney
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RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
« Reply #1 on: May 28, 2012, 02:42:46 PM »

1968 D would've been interesting. For most of 1967 it would have LBJ in the 70s with RFK in the teens. When RFK declares he goes into the low 30s, briefly tops 50 before HHH enters. Both men in the mid-40s with McCarthy in high single digits. CA primary night would be wildly fluctuating- Kennedy soars to the mid-50s for a few minutes after being projected the winner then crashes back down to the low teens, then finally 0 as the day wears on.

GOP: Nixon remains in the 80s throughout, maybe dipping a bit at roll call time given how he barely cleared 50%.
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