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| | |-+  What states will be unanimous in counties?
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Author Topic: What states will be unanimous in counties?  (Read 1216 times)
nhmagic
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« Reply #25 on: May 14, 2012, 09:23:32 am »
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Romney will probably win Barnstable if he does any in Mass.

Obama will not win NH unanimously if he does win it.  It would look more like Kerry's win in 2004.  Romney will take Hillsborough for sure and hes likely to take others.  I think its fairly likely Romney will win the state anyways, I see a lot of Romney support here.  And the downballot dems are certainly not lighting any fires.   

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« Reply #26 on: May 14, 2012, 05:29:50 pm »
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Tennessee
Shelby County is majority black. Obama will break 60% easily here.

I'm just saying it's within the theoretical realm of possibility, not that it's likely (it would have to be like Nixon '72).  Bush "only" lost there by 16 points.

There's no way Romney is winning Shelby County unless he wins in a 1984-type landslide. It's also pretty unlikely he'll win Davidson.
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« Reply #27 on: May 14, 2012, 05:41:20 pm »
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Obama seems unlikely to lose Summit, UT if the 2010 gubernatorial and senatorial results are anything to go by.
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Senator bore
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« Reply #28 on: May 15, 2012, 12:07:43 pm »
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Tennessee
Shelby County is majority black. Obama will break 60% easily here.

I'm just saying it's within the theoretical realm of possibility, not that it's likely (it would have to be like Nixon '72).  Bush "only" lost there by 16 points.

There's no way Romney is winning Shelby County unless he wins in a 1984-type landslide. It's also pretty unlikely he'll win Davidson.

Even if he does win a 1984-type landslide he won't win Shelby because its 48.5% black or Haywood county which is 51% black. It would take a live boy dead girl situation for Obama or a completely unforseen realignment for that to happen.
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« Reply #29 on: May 15, 2012, 12:37:51 pm »
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Same as 2008, except for Utah, which wasn't unanimous in 2008, but I think it will be unanimous for Romney this time.
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