I've posted this reality in several other threads, but I'll tell the straight-up truth again.
When the legislature redrew the districts last year, they put the most Republican part of Sarpy County in CD-2. The Bellevue, NE part of the district (still Republican, but less so) was moved to CD-1; the Lincoln-based district.
With these new boundaries, Obama would have lost CD-2 in 2008. Hence, his chances to carry CD-2 in 2012 are essentially nil, unless Romney implodes big time.
You keep saying this, but it's still not true.
Gosh, Johnny, I thought you liked me in spite of my partisan allegance.
Please clarify, what am I saying that is not true? (I cannot get your link to work.)
The link is the calculations for Nebraska's new Congressional districts, where Obama still won. Here is the relevant data:
CD County Obama McCain Total Obama% McCain%
2 Douglas 116,810 106,291 226,701 51.53% 46.89%
Sarpy (pt.) 16,206 23,599 40,338 40.17% 58.50%
2 Total 133,016 129,890 267,039 49.81% 48.64%