I've posted this reality in several other threads, but I'll tell the straight-up truth again.
When the legislature redrew the districts last year, they put the most Republican part of Sarpy County in CD-2. The Bellevue, NE part of the district (still Republican, but less so) was moved to CD-1; the Lincoln-based district.
With these new boundaries, Obama would have lost CD-2 in 2008. Hence, his chances to carry CD-2 in 2012 are essentially nil, unless Romney implodes big time.
WRONG.
The part of Sarpy county in NE-02 is more Republican than in 2008 but it is also quite a bit smaller since NE-02 had to shed population in redistricting. The Obama Mcain numbers would be virtually unchanged.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/01/13/1054554/-Presidential-results-by-congressional-district-2011-12?detail=hide
Poll
