Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 28, 2016, 03:40:18 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2012 Elections
| | |-+  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
| | | |-+  NH-PPP: Obama up by 12
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] Print
Author Topic: NH-PPP: Obama up by 12  (Read 3131 times)
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13335
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #25 on: May 16, 2012, 01:02:54 pm »
Ignore

I'm skeptical that Obama's leading by that much or by any at all.

Most polls I've seen have had Romney leading(albeit narrowly) or have been a complete tossup.

^^^ this. Color me skeptical.

I think Obama is well ahead of Mittens but double digits seems way too optimistic.
Logged

Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
The Mikado
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15692


View Profile
« Reply #26 on: May 16, 2012, 05:21:52 pm »
Ignore

Yeah, this is too much.  Obama's not up by 12 in NH.
Logged



The Handsome Monkey King Son Wukong weighs in on politics.
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 33836
Samoa


View Profile
« Reply #27 on: May 16, 2012, 05:32:26 pm »
Ignore

The biggest problem with calling it a 1/64 chance is that you're treating these states' voting as independent events when they are clearly related to each other. A candidate is more likely to carry one swing state if he's already carrying others. There is a good chance one candidate, whether it is Obama or Romney, wins all of those states. That is one of the most likely outcomes.

By George, you've got it! 
Logged

R2D2
20RP12
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24883
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -7.74, S: -7.83

View Profile
« Reply #28 on: May 16, 2012, 06:04:33 pm »
Ignore

Yeah, this is too much.  Obama's not up by 12 in NH.

This.

Ultimately, he'll probably win the state, but not by 12. No way.
Logged

Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 41747
United States


View Profile
« Reply #29 on: May 17, 2012, 05:26:18 am »
Ignore

I like how everyone (on both sides) speaks in such certain terms about how everything will happen, LOL. We have a long way to go here, maybe this board should be shut down for a few months.
Logged

Update lives again on Atlas After Dark. PM me for info.
Pages: 1 [2] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines