Why are Romney's favorables going up so quickly?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 20, 2024, 11:02:02 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  Why are Romney's favorables going up so quickly?
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3
Author Topic: Why are Romney's favorables going up so quickly?  (Read 7945 times)
old timey villain
cope1989
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,741


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: May 17, 2012, 01:54:58 PM »
« edited: May 17, 2012, 01:59:08 PM by cope1989 »

Today Gallup showed a spike in Romney's favorability from 39 to 50.



This trend is apparent in other polls as well. What has caused it to spike?

*No partisan hackery about how Romney's bold message of economic freedom and prosperity is spreading across the country like a prairie wildfire or BS like that. I'm looking for a level headed, statistical, analysis.
Logged
tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2012, 01:57:31 PM »

Gay marriage.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,948


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: May 17, 2012, 01:59:37 PM »

Republicans rallying around their nominee.
Logged
Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,298
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: May 17, 2012, 02:00:30 PM »

Worth pointing out that Gallup last polled his favorability in February.
Logged
cavalcade
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 739


Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: May 17, 2012, 02:04:42 PM »

Combination of
Republicans rallying around their nominee.

and an outlier.  RealClear has him at 40% favorable, 41% unfavorable.

Logged
HagridOfTheDeep
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,733
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: May 17, 2012, 02:06:57 PM »

Romney's bold message of economic freedom and prosperity is spreading across the country like a prairie wildfire.
Logged
mondale84
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -3.30

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: May 17, 2012, 03:14:58 PM »

Romney's bold message of economic freedom and prosperity is spreading across the country like a prairie wildfire.

Trololol
Logged
5280
MagneticFree
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,404
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.97, S: -0.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: May 17, 2012, 03:19:59 PM »

Romney's bold message of economic freedom and prosperity is spreading across the country like a prairie wildfire.
And he's going to be the nominee is a 2nd thought.
Logged
krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: May 17, 2012, 03:26:24 PM »

Romney is focusing on the economy while Obama is palling around with Ricky Martin. You decide which people prefer.

That, and of course obama's miserable economic numbers.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: May 17, 2012, 03:27:32 PM »

Romney is focusing on the economy while Obama is palling around with Ricky Martin. You decide which people prefer.

That, and of course obama's miserable economic numbers.

If only a Democrat had been dealt the Clinton legacy of prosperity, low unemployment and solvent government on which to build not destroy
Logged
Grumpier Than Thou
20RP12
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,322
United States
Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: May 17, 2012, 03:27:48 PM »

Republicans rallying around their nominee.

^^^ this.
Logged
krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: May 17, 2012, 03:28:55 PM »

Romney is focusing on the economy while Obama is palling around with Ricky Martin. You decide which people prefer.

That, and of course obama's miserable economic numbers.

If only a Democrat had been dealt the Clinton legacy of prosperity, low unemployment and solvent government on which to build not destroy

Romney won't be dealt such by Obama. He's not complaining.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: May 17, 2012, 03:36:41 PM »

Romney's bold message of economic freedom and prosperity is spreading across the country like a prairie wildfire.

Not that the Reactionary Party knows anything about that. 'Reaganomics' delivered middle class stagnation; 'Bushonomics' delivered middle class decline

I don't see Mitt Romney channelling Bill Clinton do you and raising taxes, especially on the primary beneficiaries of the supply-side tax cuts which fuel $1.4 trillion deficits?

Indeed, the post-war era has proven that its Democrats who own 1) economic growth; 2) job creation and 3) broad-based prosperity whether during the Golden Age of Capitalism or the Washington Consensus

Of course, the 'Crash of 2008' has discredited the neoliberal Road to Serfdom making it as dated as revolutionary socialism Roll Eyes
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: May 17, 2012, 03:42:36 PM »

RRTN from fellow Elephants and Elephant-leaning Indies.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: May 17, 2012, 03:51:45 PM »

Romney is focusing on the economy while Obama is palling around with Ricky Martin. You decide which people prefer.

That, and of course obama's miserable economic numbers.

If only a Democrat had been dealt the Clinton legacy of prosperity, low unemployment and solvent government on which to build not destroy

Romney won't be dealt such by Obama. He's not complaining.

The valueless cipher who stands for little Angry save his own advancement and enrichment isn't there yet? Wink I'd be sticking with the center-right option because Obama will do the necessary and channel Bill Clinton on taxes. Remember 'Clintonomics' and marginally more progressive Smiley rates of taxation?
Logged
krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: May 17, 2012, 03:56:52 PM »

Romney is focusing on the economy while Obama is palling around with Ricky Martin. You decide which people prefer.

That, and of course obama's miserable economic numbers.

If only a Democrat had been dealt the Clinton legacy of prosperity, low unemployment and solvent government on which to build not destroy

Romney won't be dealt such by Obama. He's not complaining.

The valueless cipher who stands for little Angry save his own advancement and enrichment isn't there yet? Wink I'd be sticking with the center-right option because Obama will do the necessary and channel Bill Clinton on taxes. Remember 'Clintonomics' and marginally more progressive Smiley rates of taxation?

Logic dictates, then, that the public doesn't agree with you as they have witnessed Obama doing the opposite of Clinton on a lot of things in reality, such as, of course, taxes and government spending and job creation. As opposed to your hypothetical and baseless mental fiction.

Logged
fezzyfestoon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,204
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: May 17, 2012, 04:04:59 PM »

It starts with the letter P and ends with artisans.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: May 17, 2012, 04:42:10 PM »

Romney is focusing on the economy while Obama is palling around with Ricky Martin. You decide which people prefer.

That, and of course obama's miserable economic numbers.

If only a Democrat had been dealt the Clinton legacy of prosperity, low unemployment and solvent government on which to build not destroy

Romney won't be dealt such by Obama. He's not complaining.

The valueless cipher who stands for little Angry save his own advancement and enrichment isn't there yet? Wink I'd be sticking with the center-right option because Obama will do the necessary and channel Bill Clinton on taxes. Remember 'Clintonomics' and marginally more progressive Smiley rates of taxation?

Logic dictates, then, that the public doesn't agree with you as they have witnessed Obama doing the opposite of Clinton on a lot of things in reality, such as, of course, taxes and government spending and job creation. As opposed to your hypothetical and baseless mental fiction.

What pray do you think was the road out of the 'Great Recession' like? Austerity Roll Eyes. The cost of the primary response to it - the ARRA - being a conservative, and far from radical, $800 bn. Mindful of deficits, President Obama was never going to propose trillions of 'new' supply side tax cuts

Indeed, the US public sector has contracted, as a result of the 'Great Recession', by 600,000, which is quite a drop in demand for private sector goods and services

Its a myth that the private sector can only expand if the public sector contracts
Logged
Penelope
Scifiguy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: May 17, 2012, 05:10:52 PM »

Backlash against the past few months of anti-mormon bigotry.

But no seriously it's because the GOP is rallying around Mitt Romney and all the Republicans who were unfavorable towards him during the primaries are beginning to have a change of heart.
Logged
Grumpier Than Thou
20RP12
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,322
United States
Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: May 17, 2012, 05:23:53 PM »

But no seriously it's because the GOP is rallying around Mitt Romney and all the Republicans who were unfavorable towards him during the primaries are beginning to have a change of heart

No, their views evolved.
Logged
True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 42,156
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: May 17, 2012, 05:46:38 PM »

Its a myth that the private sector can only expand if the public sector contracts

Actually that is precisely what has been happening.  The problem is the private sector hasn't expanded fast enough to deal with both the effects of the 2008-9 crisis and the contraction of the public sector since then.
Logged
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
Moderators
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 54,123
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: May 17, 2012, 06:36:28 PM »

Co-evolution?
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: May 17, 2012, 06:42:00 PM »

Its a myth that the private sector can only expand if the public sector contracts

Actually that is precisely what has been happening.  The problem is the private sector hasn't expanded fast enough to deal with both the effects of the 2008-9 crisis and the contraction of the public sector since then.

Emphasis on only Ernest. Maybe the private sector would have expanded more had demand for its goods and services not been reduced by public sector contraction?

Given that the 'liberal' welfare model is weak, I'm loathe to culling the public sector until such time as unemployment is sub-5%. The transition from employment Smiley to unemployment Sad in the UK is a most horrifying fate indeed, and the FEAR of losing your livelihood could be suppressing consumer spending
 
'Liberal' welfarism worked during the Golden Age of Capitalism (aka the post-war economic expansion) when UK unemployment averaged 1.6% but it has averaged 7.4% during the Washington Consensus, while I suspect the more downside impact of globalisation may have contributed to an 'expanded' public sector in many developed economies
Logged
Svensson
NVTownsend
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 630


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: May 17, 2012, 06:54:56 PM »

Not that the Reactionary Party knows anything about that.
...
Indeed, the post-war era has proven that its Democrats who own 1) economic growth; 2) job creation and 3) broad-based prosperity whether during the Golden Age of Capitalism or the Washington Consensus

And 4) Blind partisan hackery.

Hate to break it to you, but your party sucks just as much testicle soufflé as the other option. Just letting you know.
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: May 17, 2012, 07:01:31 PM »

But no seriously it's because the GOP is rallying around Mitt Romney and all the Republicans who were unfavorable towards him during the primaries are beginning to have a change of heart

No, their views evolved.

They learned from the master.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.061 seconds with 13 queries.