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| |-+  2012 Elections (Moderators: Mr. Morden, Bacon King, Big DaddyTX)
| | |-+  Which of these unlikely scenarios is more likely?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Well?
Obama wins FL but loses NV   -10 (45.5%)
Romney wins PA but loses AZ   -12 (54.5%)
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Total Voters: 22

Author Topic: Which of these unlikely scenarios is more likely?  (Read 375 times)
For Oklahoma
20RP12
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Posts: 17498
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.45, S: -7.57

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« on: May 17, 2012, 08:07:34 am »
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Neither are incredibly likely, but these are all "swing states" to some degree.
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EmersonAdams
Jr. Member
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Posts: 51
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.13, S: -4.52

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« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2012, 08:11:16 am »
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My vote would be for Obama winning Arizona, but loosing Pennsylvania. Obama will be courting the Hispanic vote heavily this election, and that could potentially deliver Obama Arizona, while an anti-immigration backlash in the manufacturing dominated Midwest could loose him Pennsylvania.
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"The lost causes are the only ones worth fighting for." -Jefferson Smith ("Mr.Smith goes to Washington")
For Oklahoma
20RP12
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Posts: 17498
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.45, S: -7.57

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« Reply #2 on: May 17, 2012, 08:15:49 am »
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Quote from: EmersonAdams on May 17, 2012, 08:11:16 am
My vote would be for Obama winning Arizona, but loosing Pennsylvania.

That wasn't one of the choices.
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JulioMadrid
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Posts: 5708
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.13, S: -7.13

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« Reply #3 on: May 17, 2012, 08:20:44 am »
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Quote from: Failures and Fallacies, A Tale Of My Life on May 17, 2012, 08:15:49 am
Quote from: EmersonAdams on May 17, 2012, 08:11:16 am
My vote would be for Obama winning Arizona, but loosing Pennsylvania.

That wasn't one of the choices.

It was.

Romney winning PA and losing AZ. And I don't think Gary will carry AZ
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My evolution:
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13
5280/East California
MagneticFree
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« Reply #4 on: May 17, 2012, 11:54:29 pm »
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Romney is winning AZ and most likely FL, NV will be tough along with PA.
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Paul/Rubio 2016!
For Oklahoma
20RP12
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Posts: 17498
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.45, S: -7.57

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« Reply #5 on: May 18, 2012, 05:30:37 am »
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Quote from: JulioMadrid on May 17, 2012, 08:20:44 am
Quote from: Failures and Fallacies, A Tale Of My Life on May 17, 2012, 08:15:49 am
Quote from: EmersonAdams on May 17, 2012, 08:11:16 am
My vote would be for Obama winning Arizona, but loosing Pennsylvania.

That wasn't one of the choices.

It was.

Romney winning PA and losing AZ. And I don't think Gary will carry AZ

The point was more emphasized that Romney would win, not that Obama would lose.
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crypto-fascist superhero
wormyguy
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Posts: 7815
Liechtenstein


Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: -7.65

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« Reply #6 on: May 18, 2012, 09:19:29 am »
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The first one, rather obviously.  Not sure what kind of crack 11 people are smoking.
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