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| |-+  2012 Elections (Moderators: Mr. Morden, Bacon King, Sheriff Buford TX Justice)
| | |-+  Results of Gallup ideological and partisan polls by state
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Author Topic: Results of Gallup ideological and partisan polls by state  (Read 484 times)
CARLHAYDEN
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E: 1.38, S: -0.51

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« on: May 17, 2012, 03:05:38 pm »
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State   Conservative    Republican   Romney
             advantage   advantage    advantage

MS             42.5                    6.1               48.6
UT             37.0                  33.9               70.9
WY             36.8              32.8                  69.6
AL             36.7              12.5                  49.2
LA             34.8                6.0               40.8
AR             31.7                0.2               31.9
OK             33.1                7.7               40.8
NE              27.9              14.1               42.0
ID             29.7              29.9               59.6
TN             28.4                6.5               34.9
MT             26.4              10.8               37.2
TX             27.3                    6.5               33.8
WV             26.5               -6.6               19.9
SC              29.7                9.5               39.2
SD             27.9              11.0                 38.9
ND             29.5              13.8               43.3
GA             27.1                3.4               30.5
KS             27.4              15.4               42.8
IN             27.1                    5.2               32.3
MO             25.7                2.3               28.0
NC             25.0               -0.9               24.1
KY             25.0                   -5.1               19.9
OH             24.2               -1.3               22.9
VA         23.0                0.9               23.9
AZ             20.9                4.9               25.8
WI             18.1               -4.4               13.7
CO             17.8                3.0               20.8
FL             20.5               -1.8               18.7
NM             18.9               -5.5                    13.4
MI             19.1               -6.6               12.5
PA             18.8               -4.8               14.0
NV             16.2               -1.7               14.5
MN             17.8               -5.8               12.0
IA             20.3               -3.9               16.4
IL             15.4             -13.1                 2.3
NH             12.3                3.6                 8.7
OR             10.3                   -4.0                 6.3
DE             16.3             -14.6                 1.7
CA           10.2             -12.6                -2.4
MD             11.3             -18.9                -7.6
ME             10.6               -7.7                 2.9
WA               8.2               -6.1                 2.1
CT               9.2             -17.3                -8.1
AK             14.3              17.8                  32.1
NY               6.3             -19.9              -13.6
NJ               7.5             -11.3                -3.8
RI            7.1             -20.3              -13.2
VT               7.4             -15.8                -8.4
HA               5.6             -28.4              -22.8
MA               1.3             -20.1              -21.4
DC           -20.7                  -66.9              -87.6

Notice that every state with a "Romney advantage" of 32.4 voted for McCain in 2008, and every state with a "Romney advantage of 19.8 or less voted for Obama in 2008.
« Last Edit: May 17, 2012, 04:52:50 pm by CARLHAYDEN »Logged

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brittain33
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« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2012, 03:12:05 pm »
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What is the "Romney advantage"?
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mondale84
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« Reply #2 on: May 17, 2012, 03:12:20 pm »
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State   Conservative    Republican   Romney
   advantage   advantage   advantage

MS   42.5                       6.1                       48.6
UT   37                     33.9                       70.9
WY   36.8                     32.8                       69.6
AL   36.7                     12.5                       49.2
LA   34.8                       6                       40.8
AR   31.7                       0.2                       31.9
OK   33.1                       7.7                       40.8
NE   27.9                     14.1                       42
ID   29.7                     29.9                       59.6
TN   28.4   6.5   34.9
MT   26.4   10.8   37.2
TX   27.3   6.5   33.8
WV   26.5   -6.6   19.9
SC   29.7                             9.5   39.2
SD   27.9   11   38.9
ND   29.5   13.8   43.3
GA   27.1   3.4   30.5
KS   27.4   15.4   42.8
IN   27.1   5.2   32.3
MO   25.7   2.3   28
NC   25   -0.9   24.1
KY   25.4   -5.1   20.3
OH   24.2   -1.3   22.9
VA   23   0.9   23.9
AZ   20.9   4.9   25.8
WI   18.1   -4.4   13.7
CO   17.8   3   20.8
FL   20.5   -1.8   18.7
NM   18.9   -5.5   13.4
MI   19.1   -6.6   12.5
PA   18.8   -4.8   14
NV   16.2   -1.7   14.5
MN   17.8   -5.8   12
IA   20.3   -3.9   16.4
IL   15.4   -13.1   2.3
NH   12.3   3.6   8.7
OR   10.3   -4   6.3
DE   16.3   -14.6   1.7
CA   10.2   -12.6   -2.4
MD   11.3   -18.9   -7.6
ME   10.6   -7.7   2.9
WA   8.2   -6.1   2.1
CT   9.2   -17.3   -8.1
AK   14.3   17.8   32.1
NY   6.3   -19.9   -13.6
NJ   7.5   -11.3   -3.8
RI   7.1   -20.3   -13.2
VT   7.4   -15.8   -8.4
HA   5.6   -28.4   -22.8
MA   -1.3   -20.1   -21.4
DC   -20.7   -66.9   -87.6


WTF is this?
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brittain33
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« Reply #3 on: May 17, 2012, 03:17:53 pm »
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Carl has discovered that more Americans self-identify as conservative than liberal.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
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« Reply #4 on: May 17, 2012, 04:43:02 pm »
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The "Romney advantage" is something Gallup made up by adding the "conservative advantage" to the "Republican advantage."
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #5 on: May 17, 2012, 05:12:00 pm »
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The "Romney advantage" is something Gallup made up by adding the "conservative advantage" to the "Republican advantage."

Based on the assumption that ALL Republicans and conservatives will vote for Mitt Romney. 20% of self-styled conservatives, nationally, voted for President Obama in 2008. I'd be a somewhat socially conservative Democrat but it sure as hell doesn't follow I'd be voting for Mitt Romney
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CARLHAYDEN
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« Reply #6 on: May 18, 2012, 12:09:27 pm »
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The "Romney advantage" is something Gallup made up by adding the "conservative advantage" to the "Republican advantage."

Based on the assumption that ALL Republicans and conservatives will vote for Mitt Romney. 20% of self-styled conservatives, nationally, voted for President Obama in 2008. I'd be a somewhat socially conservative Democrat but it sure as hell doesn't follow I'd be voting for Mitt Romney

Hawk,

You make the false assumption of "all" or nothing.

If you look at the 2008 Gallup results for the two categories, you will find a very high correlation between actual vote and predicted results.
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