French Legislative Elections 2012: Hashemite's Guide and Predictions

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Great stuff, as always.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

This isn't really proletarian country at this point

It is if the locals think it is

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Why not use red for PS and blue for UMP?

Hangover from the era when the PCF was a major party. Personally I think a rosy red for the PS and maroon for the Commies works better.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Why not use red for PS and blue for UMP?

Hangover from the era when the PCF was a major party. Personally I think a rosy red for the PS and maroon for the Commies works better.

It's almost as heretic as criticizing Dave Leip's colours

No, because Dave's colours are the prettier option.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Sarkozy wouldn't have won had the election been a week later because the campaign would also have started a week later. And the polls show a big defeat for the UMP in the works, so, you know.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Sarkozy wouldn't have won had the election been a week later because the campaign would also have started a week later. And the polls show a big defeat for the UMP in the works, so, you know.

What if there were 3 weeks separating the two rounds instead of 2 ?

Same result, given that all that happened was panic caused by the other lot about to get in.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Do whatever you want in whatever order you want.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

What do you guys think the minimum amount of the nationwide vote the left wing parties need for an overall left wing majority of seats.  In the polls right now the 46 or 47% they are getting should be enough, but I wonder what the danger level is that would mean no majority.

If there are enough three way fights then they won't even need a majority of second round votes.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

One 'solution' (though very much time dependent) is to write detailed predictions of areas of special interest, and to put together a prediction map as well. Though, again, it's your free time.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

You can always go into more detail about individual seats - especially if they've had interesting results - when the dust has settled.

Anyways, Lolzère.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Yes, that. In both cases.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Or, rather, if you want to... well... post them like this. (quote this post to see how... if it's not already obvious, etc).

[Filuwaúrdjan]

How long until polls close?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Many things uploaded here over the years as well: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=59924.75