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| |-+  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderator: muon2)
| | |-+  Rhode Island's electoral votes		 « previous next »
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Question: Will Rhode Island's electoral votes be reduced to 3 after the 2020 census?
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Author Topic: Rhode Island's electoral votes  (Read 565 times)
golden
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« on: May 19, 2012, 02:51:00 pm »
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Rhode Island is the least populous state with 4 EV, the difference between RI's and Montana's population figures is only about 50,000 and RI is only one of two states that have continuously been losing inhabitants since 2005.
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« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2012, 03:03:06 pm »
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More likely than not.
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« Reply #2 on: May 19, 2012, 05:26:20 pm »
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Very likely. Its "theoretical seat number" is already lower than 1.5, and it has been saved from losing its second seat only because the seats are apportioned under Huntington-Hill instead of Sainte Lagüe. Basically, if RI's growth is lower than the nation's (as it has been for a certury or so) it will lose a seat.
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« Reply #3 on: May 19, 2012, 06:58:31 pm »
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This be almost certain to happen.  What's more interesting is when does Delaware get a second district again.  With current trends it'll just miss out getting a second seat in 2030 and will get one in 2040.
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« Reply #4 on: May 19, 2012, 08:15:49 pm »
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The Democratic primary for RI's at-large seat will basically be the general election come 2020 Tongue
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« Reply #5 on: May 19, 2012, 11:34:46 pm »
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It's possible that there will be some pressure on Congress to increase the size of the House since that would be over 1 million people represented by a single representative.
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« Reply #6 on: May 21, 2012, 04:28:12 pm »
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I woud say probably yes. Montana and Delaware will battle it out for a 2nd House Seat. Montana did have  2 House Seats until the 1990 Census though.
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