Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Ipsos-MORI reported as 51/49 to No.

[they don't love you like i love you]

It's amazing how every poll shows such a narrow No lead. You'd expect MoE would have a fluke Yes lead or No at 55 or something.

[King]

I have a very important question that just dawned on me:

How many No True Scotsman jokes have been made so far?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Wait till after the vote.

[Lurker]

It's amazing how every poll shows such a narrow No lead. You'd expect MoE would have a fluke Yes lead or No at 55 or something.

I found that a bit weird too. 4/5 polls this week have shown the exact same result, 52-48, while the fifth had 51-49. Particularly considering that the polls used to diverge a lot for this election.

[afleitch]

It's amazing how every poll shows such a narrow No lead. You'd expect MoE would have a fluke Yes lead or No at 55 or something.

I found that a bit weird too. 4/5 polls this week have shown the exact same result, 52-48, while the fifth had 51-49. Particularly considering that the polls used to diverge a lot for this election.

They have converged. This campaign isn't like a 50/50 campaign because it hasn't been 50/50 since day one. Yes were behind. So you've only started to see occasional Yes leads/drawing equal as it's narrowed in the past few weeks.

[njwes]

It's amazing how every poll shows such a narrow No lead. You'd expect MoE would have a fluke Yes lead or No at 55 or something.

At this point all the companies I'm sure are aware that a Yes lead in their poll would be likely embarrassing

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Ipsos-MORI figures including the don't knows: Yes 47, No 49

We're due a YouGov in a few hours and a final MORI tomorrow morning, apparently.

Edit: fixed typo, lol

[Angel of Death]

Does anyone know of any good live streams with which to follow the vote online?

[njwes]

Is there any worry about potential "bad behavior" from some nationalists if the vote fails?

[afleitch]

Is there any worry about potential "bad behavior" from some nationalists if the vote fails?

Only by those that think we are guilty of bad behaviour. And by bad i mean; heckling and egg throwing.

[YL]

Ipsos-MORI figures including the don't knows: Yes 49, No 47

Other way round: No still ahead.

(Details here.)

[jaichind]

*SCOTTISH VOTE: 47% YES, 53% NO IN SURVATION POLL
*SCOTTISH VOTE: 48% YES, 52% NO IN YOUGOV POLL

[jaichind]

Sorry if I asked this already.  But what time will the polls close? And will there be exit polling allowed?

[Phony Moderate]

So today's Yes shares are 47, 48 and 49 - exactly the same average as yesterday's. Quite amazing, really.

Sorry if I asked this already.  But what time will the polls close? And will there be exit polling allowed?

10PM over here, 3AM (I think) over there. No exit polling.

[YL]

*SCOTTISH VOTE: 47% YES, 53% NO IN SURVATION POLL
*SCOTTISH VOTE: 48% YES, 52% NO IN YOUGOV POLL

The Survation one was N48-Y43 including undecideds.  The YouGov one had a large sample size (over 3000); I haven't seen their figures with undecideds included.

[Keystone Phil]

So I heard earlier today that the Better Together campaign actually trumpeted Bill Clinton's statement in favor of No.

Regardless of how you feel on the matter of independence, I think everyone can agree that that's just shockingly pathetic by the No camp.

[njwes]

So I heard earlier today that the Better Together campaign actually trumpeted Bill Clinton's statement in favor of No.

Regardless of how you feel on the matter of independence, I think everyone can agree that that's just shockingly pathetic by the No camp.

The No campaign has been incredibly pathetic generally. If the No vote does come out ahead, as seems likely, I get the sense that it'll have been largely in spite of Better Together.

[bore]

Remarkable levels of activity today. I haven't seen anything even close to the level of political activity that's happening today. Almost every conversation I hear in the street today is about independence.

So today's Yes shares are 47, 48 and 49 - exactly the same average as yesterday's. Quite amazing, really.

Sorry if I asked this already.  But what time will the polls close? And will there be exit polling allowed?

10PM over here, 3AM (I think) over there. No exit polling.

It's 5PM Eastern Time, so you won't even have to have a late night in the US.

[Zinneke]

So I heard earlier today that the Better Together campaign actually trumpeted Bill Clinton's statement in favor of No.

Regardless of how you feel on the matter of independence, I think everyone can agree that that's just shockingly pathetic by the No camp.

The No campaign has been incredibly pathetic generally. If the No vote does come out ahead, as seems likely, I get the sense that it'll have been largely in spite of Better Together.

Am I right in saying they'd have been better not running a campaign at all? From the Orange Order to the 3 party leaders stepping into Scotland for the first time in years, it's all been a bit of a muppet show.

[jaichind]

I just find it funny that this referendum has Tony Blair, Gordon Brown, David, David Cameron, and George Galloway all on the same side.

[Phony Moderate]

Remarkable levels of activity today. I haven't seen anything even close to the level of political activity that's happening today. Almost every conversation I hear in the street today is about independence.

So today's Yes shares are 47, 48 and 49 - exactly the same average as yesterday's. Quite amazing, really.

Sorry if I asked this already.  But what time will the polls close? And will there be exit polling allowed?

10PM over here, 3AM (I think) over there. No exit polling.

It's 5PM Eastern Time, so you won't even have to have a late night in the US.

Oops, brain fart.

[andrew_c]

Does anyone know of any good live streams with which to follow the vote online?

Try the BBC webcast.

[njwes]

Some good covers on tomorrows newspapers

http://www.bbc.com/news/live/uk-scotland-29233956

[politicus]

BANNOCKBURN II !?

Nah, they chose not to use the 700 year anniversary as the date.

Of course they did (ab)use it.