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Question: When will we first see Romney ahead in Ohio?
May/June   -9 (18.8%)
July   -6 (12.5%)
August   -4 (8.3%)
September   -8 (16.7%)
October/November   -2 (4.2%)
Never   -19 (39.6%)
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Total Voters: 48

Author Topic: When will we first see Romney ahead in Ohio?  (Read 866 times)
Speaker Dereich
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« on: May 25, 2012, 03:57:20 pm »
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Even with the race tightening up lately we haven't seen Romney take the lead in Ohio in many (any?) polls yet. When will we first see Romney with a lead that is verified by multiple polls? And I do mean any lead at all, even if its gone by November.
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« Reply #1 on: May 25, 2012, 04:00:16 pm »
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I think that it will either be reasonably soon or never.
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Torie
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« Reply #2 on: May 25, 2012, 04:04:51 pm »
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August 28, 2012.
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« Reply #3 on: May 25, 2012, 04:57:01 pm »
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I'm going to say around September, right after the conventions close in late August, and the campaign really heats up.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: May 25, 2012, 05:21:24 pm »
December 5, 2011:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/oh/ohio_romney_vs_obama-1860.html#polls
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Senator Snowstalker
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« Reply #5 on: May 25, 2012, 06:11:54 pm »
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A brief peak in late August/early September which soon collapses.
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« Reply #6 on: May 25, 2012, 07:19:46 pm »
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The day after he picks Rob Portman for VP. He won't trail there again.
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IDS Legislator Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #7 on: May 25, 2012, 07:20:40 pm »
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Quote from: Ray Goldfield on May 25, 2012, 07:19:46 pm
The day after he picks Rob Portman for VP. He won't trail there again.
You have seen the polls, right?
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« Reply #8 on: May 25, 2012, 07:22:02 pm »
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Right after the convention.
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Supersonic
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« Reply #9 on: May 25, 2012, 09:29:31 pm »
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September.
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« Reply #10 on: May 25, 2012, 09:42:44 pm »
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Quote from: NHI on May 25, 2012, 07:22:02 pm
Right after the convention.

I assume that you mean the Republican Convention.

There was a small, short-lived bump for John McCain immediately after the Republican National Convention as shown in polls of the following week or so.   
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« Reply #11 on: May 26, 2012, 01:22:43 am »
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Quote from: Ray Goldfield on May 25, 2012, 07:19:46 pm
The day after he picks Rob Portman for VP. He won't trail there again.

Because people care about Rob Portman.
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Diabolical Minds Think Alike
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« Reply #12 on: May 26, 2012, 08:36:20 am »
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Voted August cuz we should all know who his VP will be by then.
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« Reply #13 on: May 26, 2012, 10:35:23 am »
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Quote from: Ray Goldfield on May 25, 2012, 07:19:46 pm
The day after he picks Rob Portman for VP.
It may take longer than that.  The time from when he announces him to the convention will be long enough. 

Quote from: To be born again. on May 26, 2012, 01:22:43 am
Because people care about Rob Portman.

Serious people do/will.  That will effect un-serious people as they try to be serious.   
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« Reply #14 on: May 26, 2012, 10:57:39 am »
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Quote from: NHI on May 25, 2012, 07:22:02 pm
Right after the convention.
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« Reply #15 on: May 26, 2012, 05:35:06 pm »
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Nov. 7, the day after Romney is elected.
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« Reply #16 on: May 27, 2012, 03:54:24 am »
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Quote from: AmericanNation on May 26, 2012, 10:35:23 am
Quote from: Ray Goldfield on May 25, 2012, 07:19:46 pm
The day after he picks Rob Portman for VP.
It may take longer than that.  The time from when he announces him to the convention will be long enough. 

Quote from: To be born again. on May 26, 2012, 01:22:43 am
Because people care about Rob Portman.

Serious people do/will.  That will effect un-serious people as they try to be serious.   

Voting for a presidential ticket because someone from your state was added to it as the VP doesn't strike me as very serious.
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Secretary Polnut
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« Reply #17 on: May 27, 2012, 07:47:28 pm »
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Romney will probably get a small convention bounce... so then.
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« Reply #18 on: May 31, 2012, 11:26:54 am »
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Quote from: To be born again. on May 27, 2012, 03:54:24 am
Quote from: AmericanNation on May 26, 2012, 10:35:23 am
Quote from: Ray Goldfield on May 25, 2012, 07:19:46 pm
The day after he picks Rob Portman for VP.
It may take longer than that.  The time from when he announces him to the convention will be long enough. 

Quote from: To be born again. on May 26, 2012, 01:22:43 am
Because people care about Rob Portman.

Serious people do/will.  That will effect un-serious people as they try to be serious.   

Voting for a presidential ticket because someone from your state was added to it as the VP doesn't strike me as very serious.

You are trying to combine Two different things. 
1) People will vote FOR Romney or perhaps against Obama
2) Serious People 'care' about Rob Portman

It is probably likely that a VP selection helps promote/jump-start the top of the ticket in their home state.  The VP can't deliver the state, but they can potentially boost the top of the ticket in the state.   
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