% vote in all states---prediction

[ucscgaldamez]

2012---Let me know where you disagree. This is what I think the results will be. After Labor Day, I will update my predictions. I'm predicting an Obama win 50-49%

States   Romney   Obama
Alabama   64%   35%
Alaska   62%   37%
Arizona   54%   45%
Arkansas   59%   37%
California   41%   58%
Colorado   49%   50%
Connecticut   43%   56%
Delaware   41%   57%
DC   9%   91%
Florida   53%   46%
Georgia   54%   45%
Hawaii   30%   69%
Idaho   69%   31%
Illinois   43%   56%
Indiana   58%   41%
Iowa   48%   51%
Kansas   62%   36%
Kentucky   59%   39%
Lousiana   61%   38%
Maine   44%   54%
Maryland   40%   58%
Massachusetts   39%   60%
Michigan   44%   55%
Minnesota   46%   53%
Mississippi   54%   44%
Missouri   53%   46%
Montana   54%   45%
Nebraska   60%   38%
Nevada   49%   51%
New Hampshire   48%   51%
New Jersey   43%   56%
New Mexico   45%   54%
New York   37%   62%
North Carolina   51%   49%
North Dakota   62%   35%
Ohio   49%   51%
Oklahoma   66%   33%
Oregon   45%   54%
Pennsylvania   48%   52%
Rhode Island   40%   59%
South Carolina   56%   43%
South Dakota   60%   39%
Tennessee   58%   40%
Texas   54%   46%
Utah   74%   24%
Vermont   39%   60%
Virginia   49%   51%
Washington   44%   55%
West Virginia   57%   41%
Wisconsin   47%   52%
Wyoming   62%   37%

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

National: Obama 52% Romney 47%

States   Romney   Obama
Alabama   63%   35%
Alaska   60%   38%
Arizona   53%   46%
Arkansas   59%   37%
California   39%   59%
Colorado   47%   52%
Connecticut     42%   57%
Delaware   40%   58%
DC   9%   91%
Florida   49%   49%
Georgia   53%   46%
Hawaii   30%   69%
Idaho   69%   31%
Illinois   41%   58%
Indiana   55%   44%
Iowa   46%   53%
Kansas   58%   41%
Kentucky   59%   39%
Lousiana   58%   40%
Maine   44%   54%
Maryland   38%   60%
Massachusetts   39%   60%
Michigan   44%   55%
Minnesota   44%   55%
Mississippi   54%   44%
Missouri   51%   48%
Montana   54%   45%
Nebraska   59%   39%
Nevada   45%   53%
New Hampshire   46%   53%
New Jersey   42%   57%
New Mexico   44%   55%
New York   38%   61%
North Carolina   50%   49%
North Dakota   57%   41%
Ohio   48%   52%
Oklahoma   64%   35%
Oregon   43%   56%
Pennsylvania   46%   53%
Rhode Island   40%   59%
South Carolina   54%   45%
South Dakota   57%   42%
Tennessee   58%   40%
Texas   54%   45%
Utah   72%   27%
Vermont   39%   60%
Virginia   49%   51%
Washington   43%   56%
West Virginia   56%   42%
Wisconsin   46%   53%
Wyoming   62%   37%

[WhyteRain]

Wow, the president with the worst economic performance since Hoover and the lowest public approval ratings of any first-term president in modern polling history -- and you guys think he has it made?

You have a lot of faith in the ability of the MSM to fool Americans one more time.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

2012---I'm predicting an Obama win 49.5-49%

States   Romney   Obama
Alabama   64%   35%
Alaska   62%   37%
Arizona   54%   45%
Arkansas   59%   37
California   41%   58%
Colorado   49%   50%
Connecticut43%   56%
Delaware   41%   57%
DC   9%   91
Florida   53%   46%
Georgia   54%   45
Hawaii   30%   69%
Idaho   69%   31%
Illinois   43%   56%
Indiana   58%   41%
Iowa   48%   51%
Kansas   62%   36%
Kentucky   59%   39%
Lousiana   61%   38%
Maine   44%   54%
Maryland   40%   58%
Massachusetts   39%   60%
Michigan   44%   55%
Minnesota   46%   53%
Mississippi   54%   44%
Missouri   53%   46%
Montana   54%   45%
Nebraska   60%   38%
Nevada   49%   50%
New Hampshire   48%   51%
New Jersey   43%   56%
New Mexico   45%   54%
New York   37%   62%
North Carolina   52%   48%
North Dakota   62%   35%
Ohio   50%   49%
Oklahoma   66%   33%
Oregon   45%   54%
Pennsylvania   47%   53%
Rhode Island   40%   59%
South Carolina   56%   43%
South Dakota   60%   39%
Tennessee   58%   40%
Texas   54%   46%
Utah   74%   24%
Vermont   39%   60%
Virginia   50%   49%
Washington   44%   55%
West Virginia   57%   41%
Wisconsin   47%   52%
Wyoming   62%   37%

[NHI]

Prediction as of May 31, 2012: Romney: 50% Obama: 48%

States   Romney   Obama
Alabama   65%   34%
Alaska   61%   36%
Arizona   53%   46%
Arkansas   60%   36
California   41%   58%
Colorado   49%    49%
Connecticut43%   56%
Delaware   41%   57%
DC   9%   91
Florida   53%   46%
Georgia   54%   45
Hawaii   30%   69%
Idaho   69%   31%
Illinois   43%   56%
Indiana   58%   41%
Iowa   49%   50%
Kansas   62%   36%
Kentucky   59%   39%
Lousiana   61%   38%
Maine   44%   54%
Maryland   40%   58%
Massachusetts   40%   59%
Michigan   46%   53%
Minnesota   46%   53%
Mississippi   54%   44%
Missouri   53%   46%
Montana   54%   45%
Nebraska   60%   38%
Nevada   49%   49%
New Hampshire   51%   48%
New Jersey   43%   56%
New Mexico   46%   54%
New York   37%   62%
North Carolina   51%   47%
North Dakota   62%   35%
Ohio   50%   48%
Oklahoma   67%   32%
Oregon   45%   54%
Pennsylvania   48%   52%
Rhode Island   40%   59%
South Carolina   57%   42%
South Dakota   60%   39%
Tennessee   58%   40%
Texas   55%   44%
Utah   75%   23%
Vermont   37%   61%
Virginia   50%   48%
Washington   45%   54%
West Virginia   58%   40%
Wisconsin   49%   50%
Wyoming   63%   36%

[old timey villain]

Prediction as of May 31, 2012: Romney: 50% Obama: 48%

States   Romney   Obama
Alabama   65%   34%
Alaska   61%   36%
Arizona   53%   46%
Arkansas   60%   36
California   41%   58%
Colorado   49%    49%
Connecticut43%   56%
Delaware   41%   57%
DC   9%   91
Florida   53%   46%
Georgia   54%   45
Hawaii   30%   69%
Idaho   69%   31%
Illinois   43%   56%
Indiana   58%   41%
Iowa   49%   50%
Kansas   62%   36%
Kentucky   59%   39%
Lousiana   61%   38%
Maine   44%   54%
Maryland   40%   58%
Massachusetts   40%   59%
Michigan   46%   53%
Minnesota   46%   53%
Mississippi   54%   44%
Missouri   53%   46%
Montana   54%   45%
Nebraska   60%   38%[/color]
Nevada   49%   49%
New Hampshire   51%   48%
New Jersey   43%   56%
New Mexico   46%   54%
New York   37%   62%
North Carolina   51%   47%
North Dakota   62%   35%
Ohio   50%   48%
Oklahoma   67%   32%
Oregon   45%   54%
Pennsylvania   48%   52%
Rhode Island   40%   59%
South Carolina   57%   42%
South Dakota   60%   39%
Tennessee   58%   40%
Texas   55%   44%
Utah   75%   23%
Vermont   37%   61%
Virginia   50%   48%
Washington   45%   54%
West Virginia   58%   40%
Wisconsin   49%   50%
Wyoming   63%   36%

LOL, you think Mitt's going to get the same amount in Georgia and Mississippi?? Did you smoke some of that good Hawaiian reefer with the choom gang?

[timothyinMD]

I'm not sure of exact percents yet, but here's what I'll predict:

Obama 60.0+
Hawaii
Rhode Island
New York
Vermont
Massachusetts (maybe)
Maryland (maybe)

Romney 70.0+ (maybe...)
Utah
Oklahoma
Wyoming

Romney 60.0+
Idaho
North Dakota
South Dakota
Kansas
Nebraska
Alabama
Alaska
Arkansas
Louisiana
Kentucky
West Virginia
Tennessee (maybe)

I'm not convinced Romney will break 70 in Utah, and I def don't think he'll get 75%  I'm really intrigued to see what kind of 'solidarity' turnout he gets from the Utah primary.  Bush's awesome Utah numbers may have just been a one time good deal.

I think Romney could definitely get 68.. time will tell

[NVGonzalez]

Wow, the president with the worst economic performance since Hoover and the lowest public approval ratings of any first-term president in modern polling history -- and you guys think he has it made?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KQxhOYqLPdY

[BaldEagle1991]

I'm using traditional colors (Red/ GOP; Blue/Dem) for the candidates.

States   Romney   Obama
Alabama   64%   36%
Alaska   60%   40%
Arizona   52%   47%
Arkansas   56%   43%
California   40%   59%
Colorado   49%   51%
Connecticut   42%   57%
Delaware   41%   57%
DC   10%   90%
Florida   52%   47%
Georgia   52%   46%
Hawaii   29%   70%
Idaho   65%   34%
Illinois   40%   60%
Indiana   53%   46%
Iowa   49%   50%
Kansas   59%   41%
Kentucky   55%   45%
Lousiana   62%   37%
Maine   42%   56%
Maryland   38%   61%
Massachusetts   48%   51%
Michigan   47%   52%
Minnesota   44%   55%
Mississippi   54%   45%
Missouri   52%   47%
Montana   58%   42%
Nebraska   60%   38%
Nevada   49%   51%
New Hampshire   49%   51%
New Jersey   41%   58%
New Mexico   45%   55%
New York   35%   64%
North Carolina   51%   49%
North Dakota   61%   38%
Ohio   48%   51%
Oklahoma   59%   40%
Oregon   44%   55%
Pennsylvania   48%   51%
Rhode Island   44%   55%
South Carolina   55%   44%
South Dakota   62%   37%
Tennessee   57%   42%
Texas   54%   45%
Utah   76%   23%
Vermont   37%   62%
Virginia   49%   51%
Washington   43%   56%
West Virginia   58%   42%
Wisconsin   48%   51%
Wyoming     61%    38%

Overall I think Obama has this one locked, a nationwide 51-49% vote.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I'm using traditional colors (Red/ GOP; Blue/Dem) for the candidates.

States   Romney   Obama
Alabama   64%   36%
Alaska   60%   40%
Arizona   52%   47%
Arkansas   56%   43%
California   40%   59%
Colorado   49%   51%
Connecticut   42%   57%
Delaware   41%   57%
DC   10%   90%
Florida   52%   47%
Georgia   52%   46%
Hawaii   29%   70%
Idaho   65%   34%
Illinois   40%   60%
Indiana   53%   46%
Iowa   49%   50%
Kansas   59%   41%
Kentucky   55%   45%
Lousiana   62%   37%
Maine   42%   56%
Maryland   38%   61%
Massachusetts   48%   51%
Michigan   47%   52%
Minnesota   44%   55%
Mississippi   54%   45%
Missouri   52%   47%
Montana   58%   42%
Nebraska   60%   38%
Nevada   49%   51%
New Hampshire   49%   51%
New Jersey   41%   58%
New Mexico   45%   55%
New York   35%   64%
North Carolina   51%   49%
North Dakota   61%   38%
Ohio   48%   51%
Oklahoma   59%   40%
Oregon   44%   55%
Pennsylvania   48%   51%
Rhode Island   44%   55%
South Carolina   55%   44%
South Dakota   62%   37%
Tennessee   57%   42%
Texas   54%   45%
Utah   76%   23%
Vermont   37%   62%
Virginia   49%   51%
Washington   43%   56%
West Virginia   58%   42%
Wisconsin   48%   51%
Wyoming     61%    38%

Overall I think Obama has this one locked, a nationwide 51-49% vote.

Out of curiosity... why are people thinking Obama will perform the same in GA as FL?

Equally did you give MA to Obama by 3%??

[BaldEagle1991]

I'm using traditional colors (Red/ GOP; Blue/Dem) for the candidates.

States   Romney   Obama
Alabama   64%   36%
Alaska   60%   40%
Arizona   52%   47%
Arkansas   56%   43%
California   40%   59%
Colorado   49%   51%
Connecticut   42%   57%
Delaware   41%   57%
DC   10%   90%
Florida   52%   47%
Georgia   52%   46%
Hawaii   29%   70%
Idaho   65%   34%
Illinois   40%   60%
Indiana   53%   46%
Iowa   49%   50%
Kansas   59%   41%
Kentucky   55%   45%
Lousiana   62%   37%
Maine   42%   56%
Maryland   38%   61%
Massachusetts   48%   51%
Michigan   47%   52%
Minnesota   44%   55%
Mississippi   54%   45%
Missouri   52%   47%
Montana   58%   42%
Nebraska   60%   38%
Nevada   49%   51%
New Hampshire   49%   51%
New Jersey   41%   58%
New Mexico   45%   55%
New York   35%   64%
North Carolina   51%   49%
North Dakota   61%   38%
Ohio   48%   51%
Oklahoma   59%   40%
Oregon   44%   55%
Pennsylvania   48%   51%
Rhode Island   44%   55%
South Carolina   55%   44%
South Dakota   62%   37%
Tennessee   57%   42%
Texas   54%   45%
Utah   76%   23%
Vermont   37%   62%
Virginia   49%   51%
Washington   43%   56%
West Virginia   58%   42%
Wisconsin   48%   51%
Wyoming     61%    38%

Overall I think Obama has this one locked, a nationwide 51-49% vote.

Out of curiosity... why are people thinking Obama will perform the same in GA as FL?

Equally did you give MA to Obama by 3%??

GA and FL are both ethnically diverse. 

Romney might do well in his some state of MA.