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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  International Elections (Moderator: Hash)
| | |-+  Italy 2013: The official thread
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Author Topic: Italy 2013: The official thread  (Read 145480 times)
Peter the Lefty
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« Reply #100 on: August 04, 2012, 11:13:53 pm »
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I think Bersani is the safe bet. Though, aside from Prodi, we have seen what safe bets have gotten the Italian Left...
Damn.  I really would love to see my fellow gay tree-hugging socialist kick Berlusconi's ass.  Plus, Berlusconi is such a better campaigner than Bersani that I'd actually think he'd be likelier to win (not that I'd claim to know, but given that Berlusconi tends to keep coming back again and again, and Bersani has, in Antonio's words, the charisma of a stale pizza, it would seem that way). 
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batmacumba
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« Reply #101 on: August 10, 2012, 08:11:47 am »
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I've not been following italian news since a while, sorry. Wink

Anyways, I planned to start my polling tracker, but I can't find the recent polls anymore. Shame... Sad

Antonio, I hate to say, but You're taking too much time to do It and I'll have to update mine... Wink





Lastpoll: August 1st
« Last Edit: August 10, 2012, 08:42:18 am by batmacumba »Logged

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Antonio V
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« Reply #102 on: August 10, 2012, 08:22:35 am »
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I've not been following italian news since a while, sorry. Wink

Anyways, I planned to start my polling tracker, but I can't find the recent polls anymore. Shame... Sad

Antonio, I hate to say, but You're taking too much time to do It and I'll have to update mine... Wink

No problem, of course ! Wink But where do you find poll results ?
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"Never before in all our history have these forces [of organized money] been so united against one candidate as they stand today. They are unanimous in their hate for me—and I welcome their hatred."

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batmacumba
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« Reply #103 on: August 10, 2012, 08:35:06 am »
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English wikipedia
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Antonio V
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« Reply #104 on: August 10, 2012, 10:06:30 am »
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Ah, I see. I always fear wikipedia on this kind of things not being exhaustive.
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"Never before in all our history have these forces [of organized money] been so united against one candidate as they stand today. They are unanimous in their hate for me—and I welcome their hatred."

-- Franklin D. Roosevelt
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« Reply #105 on: August 10, 2012, 10:32:46 am »
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And of using bad pollsters, too. But once the amount is large and I'm using a 6 variables polynomial regression, unless there's a huge amount of crappy pollsters It is usefull to observe trends and evaluate the big picture.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #106 on: August 10, 2012, 11:18:33 am »
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Well, that PdL surge was certainly short lived and the jokers are rebounding. My God...
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« Reply #107 on: September 05, 2012, 11:29:01 am »
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August 29th IPR poll:

PD - 26%
PdL - 20%
M5S - 15%
UdC - 7%
IdV - 6%
SEL - 6%
LN - 5%
FLI - 2.5%
FdS - 1.5%
LD - 1%
Others - 10%


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« Reply #108 on: September 11, 2012, 05:37:37 am »
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I saw Matteo Renzi, the Mayor of Florence, on the cover of a magazine with a sub headline mentioning Bersani. Does anyone know if he is running in the PD leadership primary?
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« Reply #109 on: September 11, 2012, 01:27:36 pm »
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Sadly, I'm completely unaware of Italian political developments since july, roughly. I need to find some good internet based media source.
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"Never before in all our history have these forces [of organized money] been so united against one candidate as they stand today. They are unanimous in their hate for me—and I welcome their hatred."

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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #110 on: September 12, 2012, 05:37:00 am »
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Looks like he's running.
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Peter the Lefty
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« Reply #111 on: September 12, 2012, 06:02:30 am »
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I have seen some stuff that looks like he's running.  Since I liked Vendola's Facebook page, I keep seeing news articles (all in Italian, unfortunately) and to pages on Vendola's web site (or SEL's, not sure which).  And there has been some stuff about Renzi, and it certainly looks like there's a catfight going on between those two (or was). 
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« Reply #112 on: September 14, 2012, 01:01:10 pm »
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Berlusconi set to reclaim the PdL leadership tomorrow.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/silvio-berlusconi/9543588/Silvio-Berlusconi-poised-to-announce-political-comeback.html
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« Reply #113 on: September 14, 2012, 01:16:35 pm »
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It will never end... -______-'
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IN NATE WE TRUST
Quote from: Zanas46
There's absolutely nothing wrong with reporting a poll with decimals or even lesser digits once you know how to properly use margins of error. Of course an overwhelming part of the public doesn't, which is why polls shouldn't be reported with decimals in the media, but we're a knowledgeable bunch, are we not ?

My French blog
Peter the Lefty
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« Reply #114 on: September 14, 2012, 02:16:53 pm »
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Goddamit.  Message to the center-left primary voters:
Get your ing acts together and nominate Vendola or condemn Italy to god-knows-how-many more years of rule by this paedophile clown!  Your choice!
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« Reply #115 on: September 14, 2012, 03:26:08 pm »
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Dear Jesus God no.
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He hath put down the mighty from their seat, and hath exalted the humble. He hath filled the hungry with good things; and the rich He hath sent empty away.
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« Reply #116 on: September 14, 2012, 03:52:36 pm »
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I have to say highly doubt this will actually affect Italian politics apart from further sinking the PdL in electoral abysses.

That said... I shudder at the possibility of being wrong. The extent of human stupidity is limitless.
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"Never before in all our history have these forces [of organized money] been so united against one candidate as they stand today. They are unanimous in their hate for me—and I welcome their hatred."

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« Reply #117 on: September 15, 2012, 07:08:41 am »
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I have some...eh...well connected friends in the party. I visited them yesterday and they were saying how Berlusconi had a big speech today (which they unfortunately had to miss). They didn't tell me it was his official reclaiming of the leadership speech though.

Speaking of PdL and my visit...







Tongue
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« Reply #118 on: September 15, 2012, 07:16:48 am »
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Goddamit.  Message to the center-left primary voters:
Get your ing acts together and nominate Vendola

Uh...he has to be the least electable, dude.
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« Reply #119 on: September 15, 2012, 09:53:26 am »
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He skipped the youth rally and is struggling with indecision. Many supporters are pissed that he didn't attend - http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/sns-rt-us-italy-berlusconibre88d1bj-20120914,0,7153822.story
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« Reply #120 on: September 21, 2012, 08:34:54 am »
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PdL is embroiled in a party expenses scandal in Lazio. The PdL Governor might actually resign over it even though party leaders, including Berlusconi, are urging her not to in hopes of avoiding an early election.
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Peter the Lefty
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« Reply #121 on: September 21, 2012, 05:05:08 pm »
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Goddamit.  Message to the center-left primary voters:
Get your ing acts together and nominate Vendola

Uh...he has to be the least electable, dude.
In terms of ideology, yes.  In terms of skill, campaigning abilities, and being able to get the votes of people who otherwise would not vote to vote, he's probably the most electable. 
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« Reply #122 on: September 21, 2012, 05:07:57 pm »
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If Berlusconi doesn't run it doesn't matter. For some reason the Italian right has never developed a rock-solid ideological base of say, 25-30% of voters like the PD.
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Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
Keystone Phil
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« Reply #123 on: September 22, 2012, 09:50:27 am »
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Goddamit.  Message to the center-left primary voters:
Get your ing acts together and nominate Vendola

Uh...he has to be the least electable, dude.
In terms of ideology, yes.  In terms of skill, campaigning abilities, and being able to get the votes of people who otherwise would not vote to vote, he's probably the most electable. 

Ok, that's fair. It certainly does take some skill to win as a gay Communist in Puglia. That said, it helped that the center-right was split. We'll see if that is the case nationally.
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« Reply #124 on: September 22, 2012, 12:33:19 pm »
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If Berlusconi doesn't run it doesn't matter. For some reason the Italian right has never developed a rock-solid ideological base of say, 25-30% of voters like the PD.

I don't mean to cause any offence, but I can't get my head around this post. Is it from some parallel universe or other?
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