FL-PPP: Obama up 4

[Sbane]

Also in this: Neither Jeb nor Rubio help the ticket.

Obama-Romney/Bush: 50-45

Obama-Romney/Rubio: 49-46

PPP's "voter" sample is 41% Dem, 40% Rep, 19% Indy (D+1). 2008 Florida turnout was D+3 (37D/34R/29I), while 2004 Florida turnout was R+4 (37D/41R/23I).

Here's RCP's summary of all Florida polls taken in last month and a half. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/fl/florida_romney_vs_obama-1883.html Like every other swing-state, PPP has Obama doing better in Florida than any other pollster, save NBC. http://gop12.thehill.com/2012/06/ppp-battleground-polls-skewed-in-favor.html

Why don't you look at the 2010 exit poll's partisan affiliation? It's likely the partisan id in 2012 will be somewhere between 2008 and 2010.