I expect Romney to be competitive in MN and NM but if I were running "Purple Poll" I'd take those states off the list. They are swing-y states but they will not decide the election.
How would you define MN as swingy?
It has the longest streak of voting Democratic in the country and was only close when Ralph Nader siphoned votes from Al Gore's left.
Before Dayton squeaked a 8,000 vote victory in 2010, Dems hadn't won a governor's race there since 1986, MN elected Coleman senator twice though through cheating it went to Franken in 2008, and they just elected a Republican legislator. Bush was VERY competitive in MN in 04 and 08, and Repubs hold 4/8 house seats