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Author Topic: Rassy says MO leans Romney  (Read 970 times)
OC
olawakandi
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« on: June 08, 2012, 09:50:21 am »
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R: 49 D: 42

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/missouri/election_2012_missouri_president
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krazen1211
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« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2012, 12:11:37 pm »
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So, actually about Romney +3 or so.
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IDS Legislator Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #2 on: June 08, 2012, 06:48:17 pm »
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Quote from: krazen1211 on June 08, 2012, 12:11:37 pm
So, actually about Romney +3 or so.

This is in line with the other polls (Romney by <5).
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Quote from: Grumpss on October 22, 2012, 12:05:53 pm
[Alfred] is Jesus.

Quote from: HagridOfTheDeep on August 01, 2012, 06:47:37 pm
I know you're reasonable, Alfred.

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Umengus
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« Reply #3 on: June 09, 2012, 02:41:47 am »
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+7 in MO is in line with a tie at national level.
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
MilesC56
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« Reply #4 on: June 09, 2012, 02:43:12 am »
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Quote from: krazen1211 on June 08, 2012, 12:11:37 pm
So, actually about Romney +3 or so.

Excellent!
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timothyinMD
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« Reply #5 on: June 09, 2012, 07:25:54 pm »
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will be a safe Romney state by Labor Day
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Umengus
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« Reply #6 on: June 10, 2012, 06:39:32 am »
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Quote from: timothyinMD on June 09, 2012, 07:25:54 pm
will be a safe Romney state by Labor Day
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
pbrower2a
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« Reply #7 on: June 10, 2012, 08:11:09 am »
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Quote from: timothyinMD on June 09, 2012, 07:25:54 pm
will be a safe Romney state by Labor Day

No. No trend so states. If you are going from a PPP poll to a Rasmussen poll as evidence of a long-term trend then you are going on nothing. Democrats are doing a good job in Missouri, and nothing says that the state won't be close again in 2012, which bodes anomalously well for President Obama in Missouri. It is more R than the national average, but at this point I see no cause to believe that the 2012 election will have results significantly different from those of 2008.

If President Obama makes any significant gains in the sorts of voters who went for Clinton twice but rejected him in 2008, then Missouri flips (and in turn probably Georgia, South Carolina,  Tennessee, Kentucky, and West Virginia). But that is asking much.

If you thought that President Obama was horrible in 2008 and think that he still is in 2012 -- you were in the minority in 2008 and will be in 2012.  The same liberals who thought Ronald Reagan a joke in 1980 so thought again in 1984.
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Rowan
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« Reply #8 on: June 10, 2012, 08:16:50 am »
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Quote from: pbrower2a on June 10, 2012, 08:11:09 am
Quote from: timothyinMD on June 09, 2012, 07:25:54 pm
will be a safe Romney state by Labor Day

No. No trend so states. If you are going from a PPP poll to a Rasmussen poll as evidence of a long-term trend then you are going on nothing. Democrats are doing a good job in Missouri, and nothing says that the state won't be close again in 2012, which bodes anomalously well for President Obama in Missouri. It is more R than the national average, but at this point I see no cause to believe that the 2012 election will have results significantly different from those of 2008.

If President Obama makes any significant gains in the sorts of voters who went for Clinton twice but rejected him in 2008, then Missouri flips (and in turn probably Georgia, South Carolina,  Tennessee, Kentucky, and West Virginia). But that is asking much.

If you thought that President Obama was horrible in 2008 and think that he still is in 2012 -- you were in the minority in 2008 and will be in 2012.  The same liberals who thought Ronald Reagan a joke in 1980 so thought again in 1984.

You are living in such an alternate reality it's not even funny.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #9 on: June 10, 2012, 12:35:14 pm »
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The Governor of Missouri and the Democratic Senator are both very popular. The coattails could help President Obama in Missouri.

Missouri is vulnerable to natural disasters -- and the President's swift and effective response to tornadoes in Joplin will be used in his favor in a State prone to every storm except hurricanes -- and even earthquakes.

In view of what happened in New Orleans in 2005 it is nice to have an adult in charge in the White House.  Missouri is on the fringe of competitiveness in a 50-50 split of the popular vote, but I can more easily see Missouri as an Obama pickup than any other.   
« Last Edit: June 10, 2012, 12:37:14 pm by pbrower2a »Logged


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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #10 on: June 10, 2012, 03:59:56 pm »
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Quote from: pbrower2a on June 10, 2012, 12:35:14 pm
The Governor of Missouri and the Democratic Senator are both very popular. The coattails could help President Obama in Missouri.

Claire McCaskill is very popular? Are you insane? Seriously? Get a clue.
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ModerateCoward
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« Reply #11 on: June 10, 2012, 06:28:10 pm »
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Hey we found a Demhack!
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IDS Legislator Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #12 on: June 10, 2012, 06:42:30 pm »
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Quote from: Senator Seatown on June 10, 2012, 06:28:10 pm
Hey we found a Demhack!

What about Bandit?
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Quote from: Grumpss on October 22, 2012, 12:05:53 pm
[Alfred] is Jesus.

Quote from: HagridOfTheDeep on August 01, 2012, 06:47:37 pm
I know you're reasonable, Alfred.

Quote from: Torie on May 08, 2013, 07:02:43 pm
Most of the forumites ... have the potential to make good bed companions
argentarius
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« Reply #13 on: June 10, 2012, 07:02:15 pm »
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Quote from: Northeast Representative Alfred F. Jones on June 10, 2012, 06:42:30 pm
Quote from: Senator Seatown on June 10, 2012, 06:28:10 pm
Hey we found a Demhack!

What about Bandit?
Bandit's a hack in the same way that Ben Kenobi is a hack.
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True Federalist
Ernest
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« Reply #14 on: June 10, 2012, 07:43:43 pm »
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Quote from: Northeast Representative Alfred F. Jones on June 10, 2012, 06:42:30 pm
Quote from: Senator Seatown on June 10, 2012, 06:28:10 pm
Hey we found a Demhack!

What about Bandit?

Bandit is beyond Dem.
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“Always it is easier to pay homage to prophets than to heed the direction of their vision.”
                Clinton Lee Scott
Read Fat Man on a Diet, an alternate history in which the history of atomic weapons does not go as it did in our timeline.
Senator MaxQue
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« Reply #15 on: June 10, 2012, 10:28:13 pm »
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Quote from: True Federalist on June 10, 2012, 07:43:43 pm
Quote from: Northeast Representative Alfred F. Jones on June 10, 2012, 06:42:30 pm
Quote from: Senator Seatown on June 10, 2012, 06:28:10 pm
Hey we found a Demhack!

What about Bandit?

Bandit is beyond Dem.

He isn't Dem, he is Des (illusional).
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