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Author Topic: examining racial electorate of each state  (Read 5702 times)
freepcrusher
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« on: June 08, 2012, 05:54:30 pm »
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I'll start with CA with it being the most heavily populated state:

Mixed-Race Precincts (any precinct where no race is more than 75%)
2010 Population 27,196,933 (39% White, 34% Hispanic, 16% Asian, 7% Black)
VAP 20,510,159 (75.4%)
# of people who votes in 08 (for one of the two major parties): 9341701
% Turnout: 45.5
2008 Results
Obama: 5,844,343 (62.6)
McCain 3,497,358 (37.4)
Percent of Population: 73%
Percent of Electorate: 71.9%

Heavily White Precincts (more than 75%)
2010 population: 4,887,884
VAP 3,959,078 (81%)
# of people who voted in 2008: 2747852
% Turnout: 69.4
2008 Results
1,516,638 Obama (55.2%) 1,231,214 McCain (44.8%)
Percent of Population: 13.1%
Percent of Electorate: 21.1%

Heavily Hispanic Precincts
2010 population: 4,905,783
VAP 3,283,083 (66.9%)
# of people who voted in 2008: 802,573
% Turnout: 24.4
2008 Results
626,096 Obama (78%)
176,477 McCain (22%)
Percent of population: 13.2%
Percent of Electorate: 6.2%

Heavily Asian Precincts
2010 Population: 167,910
VAP 130,720 (77.9%)
# of people who voted in 2008: 47210
% turnout: 36.1
2008 Results
31605 Obama (66.9)
15605 McCain (33.1)
Percent of Population: .9%
Percent of Electorate: .4%

Heavily Black Precincts
2010 Population: 95,446
VAP 75,876 (79.5%)
# of people who voted in 2008: 54993
% Turnout: 72.5
2008 Results
53404 Obama (97.1)
1589 McCain (2.9)
Percent of Population: .8%
Percent of Electorate: .4%
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freepcrusher
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« Reply #1 on: June 09, 2012, 01:13:09 am »
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Texas

Heavy White Precincts
2010 population 4996179 (19.9% of population)
VAP 3794592 (75.9%)
2008 Results 1680892 McCain (73.4%) 609037 Obama (26.6%)
% of Electorate in 08: 28.6

Heavily Hispanic Precincts
2010 population 3958908 (15.7% of population)
VAP 2668090 (67.4%)
2008 Results Obama 500339 (70.5%) McCain 209741 (29.5%)
% of Electorate in 08: 8.9

Heavily Black Precincts
2010 Population 349702
VAP 252842 (72.3%)
2008 Results Obama 145,541 (97%) McCain 4,569 (3%)
% of Electorate in 08: 1.8

Mixed Race Precincts (43.7 White 34 Hispanic 15 Black 5.3 Asian)
2010 Population 15840765 (63% of population)
VAP 11564210 (73%)
2008 Results McCain 2584999 (53.2%) Obama 2274331 (46.8%)
% of Electorate in 08: 60.7
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freepcrusher
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« Reply #2 on: June 09, 2012, 10:53:01 pm »
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New York

Solid White Precincts
2010 population 9153933 (47.2% of Population)
VAP 7119821 (77.8%)
2008 Results Obama 2245938 (51.3) McCain 2072437 (47.3) Other 59103 (1.4)
Turnout %: 61.5
% of Electorate: 57.3

Mixed Race Precincts (35.6 White, 28.9 Hispanic, 20 Black, 12.3 Asian)
2010 Population 8666458 (44.7% of Population)
VAP  6762048 (78%)
2008 Results Obama 2089552 (75.4) McCain 659771 (23.8%) Other 22939 (.8%)
Turnout %: 41
% of Electorate: 36.3

Solidly Black Precincts
2010 Population 978981 (5% of Population)
VAP 738505 (75.4%)
2008 Results Obama 364482 (97.5) McCain 8475 (2.3) Other 680 (.2)
% Turnout: 50.6
% of Electorate: 4.9

Solidly Hispanic Precincts
2010 Population 496944 (2.6% of Population)
VAP 364979 (73.4%)
2008 Results Obama 96007 (91.7) McCain 8311 (7.9) Other 425 (.4)
% Turnout: 28.7
% of Electorate: 1.4

Heavily Asian Precincts
2010 Population 81758 (.5% of Population)
VAP 67387 (82.4%)
2008 Results Obama 8966 (69.8%) McCain 3777 (29.4) Other 106 (.8%)
% Turnout 19.1
% of Electorate: .4
« Last Edit: June 17, 2012, 12:23:29 pm by freepcrusher »Logged
freepcrusher
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« Reply #3 on: June 15, 2012, 06:00:34 pm »
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here is New Jersey

Heavily White Precincts
3793877 Population (43.2%)
2913738 VAP (76.8%)
1058797 McCain (52.6)
930253 Obama (46.2)
23533 Other (1.2)

Turnout %: 62.1
% of Electorate: 52.6

Heavily Black Precincts
322670 Population (3.7%)
235353 VAP (72.9%)
112123 Obama (97.8%)
2491 McCain (2.2)
Turnout %: 48.7
% of Electorate: 3.3

Heavily Hispanic Precincts
321295 Population (3.6%)
233092 VAP (72.5%)
55584 Obama (80.8%)
13225 McCain (19.2)
Turnout %: 29.5
% of Electorate: 2

Heavily Asian Precincts
7367 Population (.1%)
5471 VAP (74.3%)
870 Obama (78.3)
241 McCain (21.7)
Turnout %: 20.3
% of Electorate: .1

Mixed Race Precincts (43.7 White, 24 Hispanic, 17 Black, 12.8 Asian)
4342812 Population (49.4%)
3335769 VAP (76.8%)
959866 Obama (66.3)
487460 McCain (33.7)
Turnout %: 43.4
% of Electorate: 42


« Last Edit: July 22, 2014, 12:13:54 am by freepcrusher »Logged
freepcrusher
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« Reply #4 on: June 15, 2012, 11:46:06 pm »
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here's Georgia

Heavily White
Population: 3144001 (32.5% of population)
2349363 VAP (74.7%)
McCain 1033846 (72.8%)
Obama 370641 (26.1)
Other 16436 (1.1)
% Turnout: 60.5
% of Electorate: 36.2

Mixed Race
Population 5483097 (48.5 White, 32.2 Black, 12.4 Hispanic) 56.6% of Population
4079104 VAP (74.4%)
Obama 1020566 (50.1)
McCain 995472 (48.9)
Other 19000 (.9)
% Turnout: 49.9
% of Electorate: 51.8

Heavily Black
Population 1060555 (10.1% of Population)
VAP 767634 (72.4%)
Obama 453016 (95.6)
McCain 19287 (4.1)
Other 1456 (.3)
% Turnout: 61.7
% of Electorate: 12
« Last Edit: June 17, 2012, 12:20:28 pm by freepcrusher »Logged
BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #5 on: June 17, 2012, 09:02:27 am »
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Pretty interesting statistics. Although I'd like to see Florida and Illinois, and see the data.

Looks like GA and TX vote the same way in terms of racial politics.
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freepcrusher
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« Reply #6 on: June 17, 2012, 12:45:43 pm »
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Pretty interesting statistics. Although I'd like to see Florida and Illinois, and see the data.

Looks like GA and TX vote the same way in terms of racial politics.

here's Illinois:

Solidly White Precincts
2010 Population 6456311 (50.3% of Population)
VAP: 4966416 (76.9%)
Obama 1628402 (50.8%)
McCain 1529250 (47.7)
Other 48005 (1.5)
% of Electorate: 58
% Turnout: 64.5

Mixed Race Precincts
2010 Population 4759000 49.1 White, 24.7 Hispanic, 15.5 Black, 8.4 Asian (37.1% of Population)
VAP 3598842 (75.6%)
Obama 1177255 (70.8%)
McCain 478904 (28.5%)
Other 21735 (1.3)
% of Electorate: 30.4
% Turnout: 46.6

Solidly Black Precincts
2010 Population 1007845 (7.9% of Population)
VAP 729221 (72.4%)
Obama 521624 (98.3)
McCain 7984 (1.5)
Other 1166 (.2)
% of Electorate: 9.6
% Turnout: 72.8

Solidly Hispanic Precincts
2010 Population 598191 (3.6% of Population)
VAP 399316 (66.8%)
Obama 91905 (83.8%)
McCain 16569 (15.1)
Other 1133 (1.1%)
% of Electorate: 1.9
% Turnout: 27.4

Solidly Asian Precincts
2010 Population 9285 (.1% of Population)
VAP 7658 (82.5%)
Obama 1405 (76.4)
McCain 419 (22.8%)
Other 15 (.8%)
% of Electorate: .1
% Turnout: 24

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muon2
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« Reply #7 on: June 17, 2012, 03:49:29 pm »

Pretty interesting statistics. Although I'd like to see Florida and Illinois, and see the data.

Looks like GA and TX vote the same way in terms of racial politics.

here's Illinois:

Solidly White Precincts
2010 Population 6456311 (50.3% of Population)
VAP: 4966416 (76.9%)
Obama 1628402 (50.8%)
McCain 1529250 (47.7)
Other 48005 (1.5)
% of Electorate: 58
% Turnout: 64.5

Mixed Race Precincts
2010 Population 4759000 49.1 White, 24.7 Hispanic, 15.5 Black, 8.4 Asian (37.1% of Population)
VAP 3598842 (75.6%)
Obama 1177255 (70.8%)
McCain 478904 (28.5%)
Other 21735 (1.3)
% of Electorate: 30.4
% Turnout: 46.6

Solidly Black Precincts
2010 Population 1007845 (7.9% of Population)
VAP 729221 (72.4%)
Obama 521624 (98.3)
McCain 7984 (1.5)
Other 1166 (.2)
% of Electorate: 9.6
% Turnout: 72.8

Solidly Hispanic Precincts
2010 Population 598191 (3.6% of Population)
VAP 399316 (66.8%)
Obama 91905 (83.8%)
McCain 16569 (15.1)
Other 1133 (1.1%)
% of Electorate: 1.9
% Turnout: 27.4

Solidly Asian Precincts
2010 Population 9285 (.1% of Population)
VAP 7658 (82.5%)
Obama 1405 (76.4)
McCain 419 (22.8%)
Other 15 (.8%)
% of Electorate: .1
% Turnout: 24



Separating the white precincts in Chicagoland from Downstate would probably also be revealing.
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freepcrusher
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« Reply #8 on: June 17, 2012, 05:04:45 pm »
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the heavily white precincts from what I remember, went 59-41 Obama in Cook, 51-48 Obama in DuPage, 54-45 Obama in Lake, and gave 51 or 52 percent to McCain in Will and Kane.
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freepcrusher
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« Reply #9 on: June 19, 2012, 11:45:08 pm »
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all right here's Florida:


Mixed Race 47.7 White, 26.5 Hispanic, 20 Black
2010 Population: 9881039 (52.6%)
7553813 VAP (76.4%)
Obama 2248639 (58.6)
McCain 1587907 (41.4)
% Turnout: 50.8
% of Electorate: 46.1

Solid White Precincts
2010 Population: 7005080 (37.3%)
5785456 VAP (82.6%)
McCain 2226423 (58.3)
Obama 1590465 (41.7)
% Turnout: 66
% of Electorate: 45.9

Solid Hispanic Precincts
2010 Population: 1219599 (6.5)
962015 VAP (78.9%)
McCain 217185 (58.2)
Obama 155953 (41.8%)
% Turnout: 38.8
% of Electorate: 4.5

Solid Black Precincts
2010 Population: 694719 (3.6%)
497207 VAP (71.6%)
Obama 284456 (95.7)
McCain 12849 (4.3)
% Turnout: 59.8
% of Electorate: 3.5

Heavily Asian Precincts LOL
8
7 VAP (87.5)
McCain 3 (60%)
Obama 2 (40%)
% Turnout: 71.4
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freepcrusher
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« Reply #10 on: June 21, 2012, 08:25:33 pm »
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Pennsylvania

Heavily White Precincts
2010 Population: 9706224 (76.4% of Population)
VAP 7629703 (78.6%)
2008 Results
McCain 2412436 (50.9)
Obama 2269429 (47.9)
Other 54222 (1.1)
% Turnout: 48.8
% of Electorate: 79

Mixed Race Precincts
2010 Population: 2398578 (47.8% White, 24.7 Black, 18 Hispanic)
18.9% of Population
VAP 1844473 (76.9%)
2008 Results
Obama 695450 (74%)
McCain 236217 (25%)
Other 8200 (.9)
% Turnout: 51
% of Electorate: 15.7

Heavily Black Precincts:
2010 Population: 558453 (4.4% of Population)
VAP 409926 (73.4%)
2008 Results
Obama 297859 (98.1)
McCain 5436 (1.8%)
Other 417 (.1)
% Turnout: 74.1
% of Electorate: 5.1

Heavily Hispanic Precincts
2010 Population: 39124 (.3% of Population)
VAP 26122 (76.8%)
2008 Results
Obama 12868 (92)
McCain 1080 (7.7)
Other 35 (.3)
% Turnout: 53.5
% of Electorate: .2

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muon2
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« Reply #11 on: June 22, 2012, 02:32:20 pm »

Pennsylvania

Heavily White Precincts
2010 Population: 9706224 (76.4% of Population)
VAP 7629703 (78.6%)
2008 Results
McCain 2412436 (50.9)
Obama 2269429 (47.9)
Other 54222 (1.1)
% Turnout: 48.8
% of Electorate: 79

Mixed Race Precincts
2010 Population: 2398578 (47.8% White, 24.7 Black, 18 Hispanic)
18.9% of Population
VAP 1844473 (76.9%)
2008 Results
Obama 695450 (74%)
McCain 236217 (25%)
Other 8200 (.9)
% Turnout: 51
% of Electorate: 15.7

Heavily Black Precincts:
2010 Population: 558453 (4.4% of Population)
VAP 409926 (73.4%)
2008 Results
Obama 297859 (98.1)
McCain 5436 (1.8%)
Other 417 (.1)
% Turnout: 74.1
% of Electorate: 5.1

Heavily Hispanic Precincts
2010 Population: 39124 (.3% of Population)
VAP 26122 (76.8%)
2008 Results
Obama 12868 (92)
McCain 1080 (7.7)
Other 35 (.3)
% Turnout: 53.5
% of Electorate: .2



Like IL it would be interesting to compare the white precincts in suburban Philly with the ones in the rest of state. In IL the Chicago area white precincts were more Obama than average, and I suspect the same is true in Philly.
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« Reply #12 on: June 22, 2012, 03:43:36 pm »
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Pennsylvania

Heavily White Precincts
2010 Population: 9706224 (76.4% of Population)
VAP 7629703 (78.6%)
2008 Results
McCain 2412436 (50.9)
Obama 2269429 (47.9)
Other 54222 (1.1)
% Turnout: 48.8
% of Electorate: 79

Mixed Race Precincts
2010 Population: 2398578 (47.8% White, 24.7 Black, 18 Hispanic)
18.9% of Population
VAP 1844473 (76.9%)
2008 Results
Obama 695450 (74%)
McCain 236217 (25%)
Other 8200 (.9)
% Turnout: 51
% of Electorate: 15.7

Heavily Black Precincts:
2010 Population: 558453 (4.4% of Population)
VAP 409926 (73.4%)
2008 Results
Obama 297859 (98.1)
McCain 5436 (1.8%)
Other 417 (.1)
% Turnout: 74.1
% of Electorate: 5.1

Heavily Hispanic Precincts
2010 Population: 39124 (.3% of Population)
VAP 26122 (76.8%)
2008 Results
Obama 12868 (92)
McCain 1080 (7.7)
Other 35 (.3)
% Turnout: 53.5
% of Electorate: .2



Like IL it would be interesting to compare the white precincts in suburban Philly with the ones in the rest of state. In IL the Chicago area white precincts were more Obama than average, and I suspect the same is true in Philly.

It was true in white suburban zones in big metro areas north of the Mason Dixon line across the nation, albeit more muted in Milwaukee and the Twin Cities, and not there at all in Pittsburgh. The swing was massive in my hood - about 11 points or so.
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« Reply #13 on: June 22, 2012, 09:38:35 pm »
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Do you have statistics for Wyoming, Utah, and Oklahoma?
« Last Edit: June 22, 2012, 09:42:51 pm by Senator Scott »Logged

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« Reply #14 on: June 23, 2012, 01:31:47 pm »
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what is the difference in definition between "solid" and "heavily"?
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freepcrusher
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« Reply #15 on: June 25, 2012, 01:36:04 pm »
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what is the difference in definition between "solid" and "heavily"?

none, I guess from now on I'll just stick to the word "heavily", which means 75% or more of the population.
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freepcrusher
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« Reply #16 on: July 08, 2012, 09:32:51 pm »
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Here is Wyoming

Mixed Race (60.4 White, 21.7 Hispanic, 12.7 Native)
Population 54506 (9.7%)
VAP 40425 (74.2%)
Obama 9336 (52.4)
McCain 8040 (45.2)
Other 431 (2.4)
% Turnout: 44.0
% of Electorate: 7

Heavily White
Population 509120 (90.3%)
VAP 387799 (76.2%)
% Turnout: 60.7
McCain 156918 (66.7)
Obama 73532 (31.2)
Other 4880 (2.1)
% of Electorate: 93
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« Reply #17 on: July 08, 2012, 09:57:44 pm »
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here's Utah

Heavily White
Population 2070035 (74.9% of Population)
VAP 1411736 (68.2%)
08 Results
514456 McCain (65.4)
248830 Obama (31.6)
23163 Other (2.9)
% Turnout: 55.7
% of Electorate: 82.6

Heavily Asian
Population 9 (LOL)
VAP 8 (88.9%)
08 Results
McCain 2 (100%)
Obama 0 (0%)
% Turnout: 25

Mixed Race (58.8 White, 29.5 Hispanic)
Population 693564
VAP 481111 (69.4%)
08 Results
81294 McCain (49.2)
78633 Obama (47.5)
5455 Other (3.3)
% Turnout: 34.4
% of Electorate: 17.4
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freepcrusher
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« Reply #18 on: July 08, 2012, 11:01:05 pm »
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Oklahoma

Mixed Race
2038975 (59.1 White, 12.4 Hispanic, 10.4 Native, 9.9 Black)
54.4% of Population
VAP 1521634 (74.6%)
08 Results
McCain 368966 (61.3)
Obama 232919 (38.7)
% Turnout: 39.6
% of Electorate: 47.3

Heavily White
1668934 (44.5% of Population)
VAP 1268518 (76.0%)
08 Results
McCain 477095 (72.7)
Obama 179136 (27.3)
% Turnout: 51.7
% of Electorate: 51.6

Heavily Black
39680 (0.01% of Population)
VAP 29079 (73.3%)
08 Results
Obama 13664 (96.2)
McCain 542 (3.8%)
% Turnout: 48.9
% of Electorate: 1.1

Heavily Hispanic
3762
VAP 2454 (65.2%)
08 Results
Obama 163 (51.4)
McCain 154 (48.6)
% Turnout: 12.9
« Last Edit: July 11, 2012, 10:21:20 pm by freepcrusher »Logged
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« Reply #19 on: July 09, 2012, 06:25:19 am »
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Any data on North Carolina, Louisiana, and Massachusetts?
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« Reply #20 on: July 10, 2012, 12:06:33 pm »
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Any data on North Carolina, Louisiana, and Massachusetts?

North Carolina

Mixed Race
2010 Population: 5165093 (51.3 White, 30.3 Black)
54.2% of Population
VAP 3885454 (75.2%)
Obama 1250012 (58.3)
McCain 875696 (40.9)
Other 16827 (0.8%)
% Turnout: 55.1
% of Electorate: 49.8

Heavily White
2010 Population: 4116514 (43.2% of Population)
VAP 3180324 (77.3%)
McCain 1243240 (61.2)
Obama 765970 (37.7)
Other 22496 (1.1)
% Turnout: 63.9
% of Electorate: 47.3

Heavily Black
2010 Population: 253876 (2.6% of Population)
VAP 188070 (74.1%)
Obama 118084 (95.4)
McCain 5471 (4.4)
Other 253 (0.2)
% Turnout: 65.8
% of Electorate: 2.9
« Last Edit: July 11, 2012, 10:21:29 pm by freepcrusher »Logged
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« Reply #21 on: July 12, 2012, 04:22:04 pm »
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here is Louisiana

Heavily White
Population 1991138 (43.9% of Population)
VAP 1508685 (75.8%)
Voting
McCain 751294 (80.1)
Obama 168896 (18.0)
Other 17194 (1.8%)
% Turnout: 62.1
% of Electorate: 47.8

Mixed Race (51.3 White, 37.7 Black)
Population 1861300 (41.1% of Population)
VAP 1416284 (76.1%)
Voting
McCain 379596 (52.1)
Obama 338901 (46.5)
Other 10728 (1.5)
% Turnout: 51.5
% of Electorate: 37.2

Heavily Black
Population 680934 (15% of Population)
VAP 490388 (72%)
Voting
Obama 275192 (93.6)
McCain 17385 (5.9)
Other 1575 (0.5)
294152
% Turnout: 60.0
% of Electorate: 15.0
« Last Edit: July 15, 2012, 11:27:47 am by freepcrusher »Logged
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« Reply #22 on: July 12, 2012, 04:54:13 pm »
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Don't states with VRA districts actually keep tabs on this?
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freepcrusher
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« Reply #23 on: July 17, 2012, 12:31:28 pm »
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Ohio

Heavily White 2010 Population: 8858758 (76.8% of Population)
VAP 6795975 (76.7%)\
McCain 2407870 (53.3)
Obama 2030256 (45.0)
Other 78463 (1.7)
% Turnout: 66.5
% of Electorate: 79.7

Mixed Race 2010 Population 2160924 (18.7% of Population) 53.6% White, 32.1% Black
VAP 1634640 (75.6%)
Obama 622084 (70.8%)
McCain 244045 (27.8%)
Other 12265 (1.4)
% Turnout: 53.7
% of Electorate: 15.5

Heavily Black 2010 Population 516822 (4.5% of Population)
VAP 375138 (72.6%)
Obama 264768 (96.6)
McCain 8088 (3.0)
Other 1252 (0.4)
% Turnout: 73.1
274108
% of Electorate: 4.8
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muon2
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« Reply #24 on: July 19, 2012, 10:04:53 pm »

Don't states with VRA districts actually keep tabs on this?


Not generally. I know that IL doesn't break it down into numbers of precincts.
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