examining racial electorate of each state

[freepcrusher]

Nevada

Mixed Race Precincts 48.3 White 29.1 Hispanic 9.3 Black
2010 Population 2086229 (77.3% of Population)
VAP 1556446 (74.6%)
Obama 402707 (60.0)
McCain 254536 (37.9)
Other 14320 (2.1)
% Turnout: 43.1
% of Electorate: 69.4

Heavily White Precincts
2010 Population 541516 (20.1% of Population)
VAP 432789 (79.9%)
McCain 156210 (54.8%)
Obama 122461 (42.9)
Other 6637 (2.3)
% Turnout: 65.9
% of Electorate: 29.5

Heavily Hispanic Precincts
2010 Population 71037 (2.6% of Population)
VAP 45295 (63.8%)
Obama 7865 (77.8%)
McCain 1938 (19.2%)
Other 311 (3.0%)
% Turnout: 22.3
% of Electorate: 1.1

Heavily Black Precincts
2010 Population 1731
VAP 984 (56.8%)
Obama 591 (97.4)
McCain 7 (1.2)
Other 9 (1.5)
% Turnout: 61.7

Heavily Asian Precincts
2010 Population 38
VAP 29 (76.3%)
McCain 27 (73.0%)
Obama 7 (18.9%)
Other 3 (8.1%)
% Turnout: 127.6?

[freepcrusher]

Maine

Heavily White
2010 Population 1308277 (98.5% of Population)
VAP 1038177 (79.4%)
Obama 416063 (57.5%)
McCain 293314 (40.6%)
Other 13815 (1.9%)
% Turnout: 69.7
% of Electorate: 98.9

Mixed Race (70.4 White)
2010 Population 20084 (1.5% of Population)
VAP 15651 (77.9%)
Obama 5860 (73.5%)
McCain 1959 (24.6%)
Other 151 (1.9%)
% Turnout: 50.9
% of Electorate: 1.1

[freepcrusher]

New Hampshire

Heavily White
2010 Population 1288346 (97.9% of Population)
VAP 1007653 (78.2%)
Obama 378389 (54.3)
McCain 312752 (44.9)
Other 5972 (0.9)
697113 % Turnout: 69.2
% of Electorate: 98.5

Mixed Race Precincts 68.5% White
2010 Population 28123 (2.1% of Population)
VAP 21582 (76.7%)
Obama 6436 (62.3%)
McCain 3782 (36.6%)
Other 113 (1.1%)
10331 % Turnout: 47.9
% of Electorate: 1.5

Heavily Asian Precincts
Population 1
VAP 1

[freepcrusher]

Vermont

Heavily White Precincts
2010 Population 625741 (100% of Population)
VAP 496508 (79.3)
Obama 219262 (67.8%)
McCain 98974 (30.6)
Other 5346 (1.6)
% Turnout: 65.2
% of Electorate: 100

[freepcrusher]

Massachusetts

Heavily White Precincts
2010 Population 4425188 (67.6% of Population)
VAP 3461489 (78.2%)
Obama 1372305 (58.4%)
McCain 935324 (39.8%)
Other 41680 (1.8%)
% Turnout: 67.9
% of Electorate: 76.6

Mixed Race Precincts (50.6 White, 20.7 Hispanic, 14.0 Black, 9.8 Asian)
2010 Population 2026218 (30.9% of Population)
VAP 1599937 (79.0%)
Obama 507563 (73.5%)
McCain 171740 (24.9%)
Other 11689 (1.6%)
% Turnout: 43.2
% of Electorate: 22.5

Heavily Hispanic Precincts
2010 Population 68251 (1.0% of Population)
VAP 46445 (68.1%)
Obama 13085 (88.5%)
McCain 1550 (10.5%)
Other 153 (1.0%)
% Turnout: 31.8
% of Electorate: 0.5

Heavily Black Precincts
2010 Population 27972 (0.5% of Population)
VAP 20835 (74.5%)
Obama 10945 (97.6%)
McCain 239 (2.1%)
Other 29 (0.3%)
% Turnout: 53.8
% of Electorate: 0.4

[freepcrusher]

Connecticut

Heavily White Precincts
2010 Population 2239282 (62.7% of Population)
VAP 1727684 (77.2%)
Obama 654102 (55.3%)
McCain 513787 (43.4%)
Other 14802 (1.3%)
% Turnout: 68.5
% of Electorate: 71.8

Mixed Race Precincts (44% White, 28.3% Hispanic, 19.9% Black)
2010 Population 1302558 (36.4% of Population)
VAP 1006063 (77.2%)
Obama 331206 (73.5)
McCain 115167 (25.6)
Other 4352 (0.9)
% Turnout: 44.8
% of Electorate: 27.4

Heavily Black Precincts
2010 Population 32257 (0.9% of Population)
VAP 23335 (72.3%)
Obama 12739 (97.9%)
McCain 250 (1.9%)
Other 18 (0.2%)
13007 % Turnout: 55.7
% of Electorate: 0.8

[freepcrusher]

nt

[freepcrusher]

here's Wisconsin


Heavily White Precincts
2010 Population 4719088 (83.0% of Population)
VAP 3648395 (77.3%)
Obama 1367469 (53.2%)
McCain 1164155 (45.3%)
Other 38504 (1.5%)
2570128 % Turnout: 70.4
% of Electorate: 86.2

Mixed Race Precincts (49.3 White 20.7 Black 20.1 Hispanic)
2010 Population 810331 (14.2% of Population)
VAP 595626 (73.5%)
Obama 241735 (70.7%)
McCain 95102 (27.8%)
Other 5032 (1.5%)
341869 % Turnout: 70.7
% of Electorate: 11.5

Heavily Black Precincts
2010 Population 143329 (2.5% of Population)
VAP 94342 (65.8%)
Obama 65230 (96.4)
McCain 2209 (3.3)
Other 232 (0.3)
67671 % Turnout: 71.7
% of Electorate: 2.3

Heavily Hispanic Precincts
2010 Population 14238 (0.3% of Population)
VAP 9131 (64.1%)
Obama 2048 (85.0)
McCain 339 (14.1)
Other 22 (0.9)
2409 % Turnout: 26.4

[freepcrusher]

Kansas

Heavily White
2010 Population 2019503 (70.8% of Population)
VAP 1522342 (75.4%)
McCain 590159 (60.3%)
Obama 372284 (38.0%)
Other 16852 (1.7%)
% Turnout: 64.3
% of Electorate: 79.3

Mixed Race Precincts (54.3 White, 23.6 Hispanic, 13.9 Black)
2010 Population 808294 (28.3% of Population)
VAP 587486 (72.7%)
Obama 137965 (55.0%
McCain 108302 (43.2%)
Other 4478 (1.8%)
% Turnout: 42.7
% of Electorate: 20.3

Heavily Hispanic Precincts
2010 Population 17458 (0.6% of Population)
VAP 11055 (63.3%)
Obama 1100 (51.9%)
McCain 984 (46.4%)
Other 37 (1.7%)
% Turnout: 19.2
% of Electorate: 0.1

Heavily Black Precincts
2010 Population 7806 (0.3% of Population)
VAP 5264 (67.4%)
Obama 3316 (97.5%)
McCain 66 (1.9%)
Other 18 (0.6%)
% Turnout: 64.6
% of Electorate: 0.3

[freepcrusher]

Nebraska

Heavily White
2010 Population 1433816 (78.5% of Population)
VAP 1083857 (75.6%)
McCain 407793 (60.0%)
Obama 262032 (38.5%)
Other 10293 (1.5%)
680118 % Turnout: 62.7
% of Electorate: 85.2

Mixed Race
2010 Population 384191 (21.0% of Population)
VAP 277780 (72.3%)
Obama 69300 (59.7%)
McCain 45001 (38.7%)
Other 1840 (1.6%)
116141 % Turnout: 41.8
% of Electorate: 14.5

Heavily Hispanic Precincts
2010 Population 4265 (0.3% of Population)
VAP 2782 (65.2%)
Obama 372 (70.9%)
McCain 143 (27.2%)
Other 10 (1.9%)
525 % Turnout: 18.9
% of Electorate: 0.1

Heavily Black Precincts
2010 Population: 4069 (0.2% of Population)
VAP 2701 (66.4%)
Obama 1615 (97.3%)
McCain 42 (2.5%)
Other 3 (0.2%)
1660 % Turnout: 61.5
% of Electorate: 0.2

[freepcrusher]

Iowa

Heavily White
2010 Population 2739965 (89.9% of Population)
VAP 2093669 (76.4%)
Obama 749649 (52.8%)
McCain 647806 (45.6%)
Other 23650 (1.7%)
% Turnout: 67.9
% of Electorate: 92.5

Mixed Race 59.1% White, 19.0% Hispanic, 12.5% Black
2010 Population 306390 (10.1% of Population)
VAP 224693 (73.3%)
Obama 78958 (68.5%)
McCain 34298 (29.8%)
Other 1995 (1.7%)
% Turnout: 51.3
% of Electorate: 7.5

[freepcrusher]

Minnesota

Heavily White
2010 Population 4282753 (80.7% of Population)
VAP 3257366 (76.1%)
Obama 1254281 (51.3)
McCain 1137981 (46.6)
Other 51919 (2.1)
2444181 % Turnout: 75
% of Electorate: 84.0

Mixed Race Precincts (54.1 White, 17.1 Black, 12.0 Hispanic, 10.5 Asian)
2010 Population 1017488 (19.2% of Population)
VAP 759873 (74.7%)
Obama 318135 (68.4)
McCain 137306 (29.5)
Other 9680 (2.1)
465121 % Turnout: 61.2
% of Electorate: 16.0

Heavily Black Precincts
2010 Population 3684 (0.1% of Population)
VAP 2623 (71.2%)
Obama 938 (87.9%)
McCain 122 (11.4%)
Other 7 (0.7%)
% Turnout: 40.7

[freepcrusher]

South Dakota

Heavily White
2010 Population 689201 (84.6% of Population)
VAP 523588 (76.0%)
McCain 187981 (55.0%)
Obama 146721 (42.9%)
Other 7131 (2.1%)
% Turnout: 65.3
% of Electorate: 89.5

Mixed Race 44.8 White, 43.0 Native American
2010 Population 124979 (15.4% of Population)
VAP 87795 (70.2%)
Obama 24203 (60.3%)
McCain 15073 (37.6%)
Other 864 (2.1%)
% Turnout: 45.7
% of Electorate: 10.5

[freepcrusher]

North Dakota

Heavily White
2010 Population 634411 (94.3% of Population)
VAP 496997 (78.3%)
McCain 165624 (54.3%)
Obama 133435 (43.7%)
Other 6158 (2.0%)
% Turnout: 61.4
% of Electorate: 96.4

Mixed Race (58.7% Native American, 32.0% White)
2010 Population 38180 (5.7% of Population)
VAP 25723 (67.4%)
Obama 7968 (69.9%)
Other 3263 (28.6%)
Other 167 (1.5%)
% Turnout: 44.3
% of Electorate: 3.6

[freepcrusher]

Idaho

Heavily White
2010 Population 1310391 (83.6% of Population)
VAP 960891 (73.3%)
McCain 355726 (61.5%)
Obama 208584 (36.1%)
Other 13752 (2.4%)
% Turnout: 60.2
% of Electorate: 88.2

Mixed Race (63.5 White, 30.0 Hispanic)
2010 Population 257191 (16.4% of Population)
VAP 177619 (69.1%)
McCain 47286 (61.4%)
Obama 27856 (36.2%)
Other 1828 (2.4%)
% Turnout: 43.3
% of Electorate: 11.8

[freepcrusher]

Kentucky
Heavily White Precincts
2010 Population 3687740 (85.0% of Population)
VAP 2826543 (76.6%)
McCain 978222 (60.9%)
Obama 604028 (37.6%)
Other 23789 (1.5%)
% Turnout: 56.8
% of Electorate: 87.9

Mixed Race Precincts (57.9% White, 26.8% Black)
2010 Population 591934 (13.6% of Population)
VAP 447305 (75.6%)
Obama 121140 (62.7%)
McCain 69719 (36.1%)
Other 2216 (1.2%)
% Turnout: 43.2
% of Electorate: 10.6

Heavily Black Precincts
2010 Population 59688
VAP 42143 (70.6%)
Obama 26780 (97.8%)
McCain 542 (2.0%)
Other 74 (0.2%)
% Turnout: 65.0
% of Electorate: 1.5

[freepcrusher]

West Virginia

Heavily White Precincts
2010 Population 1770708 (95.6% of Population)
VAP 1400445 (79.1%)
McCain 388242 (56.6%)
Obama 285508 (41.7%)
Other 11731 (1.7%)
% Turnout: 48.9
% of Electorate: 96.1

Mixed Race Precincts (62.2 White, 28.1 Black)
2010 Population 81504 (4.4% of Population)
VAP 64555 (79.2%)
Obama 17993 (65.4%)
McCain 9197 (33.5%)
Other 303 (1.1%)
% Turnout: 42.6
% of Electorate: 3.9

Heavily Black Precincts
2010 Population 782
VAP 576 (73.7%)
Obama 344 (98.0%)
McCain 5 (1.4%)
Other 2 (0.6%)
% Turnout: 60.9

[freepcrusher]

Delaware

Mixed Race Precincts (54.8% White, 27.2% Black)
2010 Population 504816 (56.2%)
VAP 378789 (75.0%)
Obama 141257 (67.6%)
McCain 65424 (31.3%)
Other 2345 (1.1%)
% Turnout: 55.2
% of Electorate: 50.7

Heavily White Precincts
2010 Population 361354 (40.2% of Population)
VAP 290123 (80.3%)
Obama 101896 (53.4%)
McCain 86689 (45.4%)
Other 2408 (1.2%)
% Turnout: 65.8
% of Electorate: 46.3

Heavily Black Precincts
2010 Population 31765 (3.6% of Population)
VAP 23257 (73.2%)
Obama 12306 (97.7%)
McCain 261 (2.1%)
Other 30 (0.2%)
% Turnout: 54.2
% of Electorate: 3

[freepcrusher]

Hawaii
Mixed Race (44.8 Asian, 24.1 White, 20.2 Other)
2010 Population 1271222 (93.5% of Population)
VAP 987231 (77.7%)
Obama 311409 (71.9%)
McCain 114788 (26.5%)
Other 6839 (1.6%)
% Turnout: 43.9
% of Electorate: 95.5

Heavily Asian
2010 Population 89079 (6.5% of Population)
VAP 69252 (77.7%)
Obama 14462 (70.4%)
McCain 5778 (28.1%)
Other 292 (1.5%)
% Turnout: 29.6
% of Electorate: 4.5

[freepcrusher]

District of Columbia

District of Columbia
Mixed Race (43.5% Black, 34.9% White)
2010 Population 271656 (45.1% of Population)
VAP 233587 (86.0%)
Obama 106301 (93.5%)
McCain 6581 (5.8%)
Other 805 (0.7%)
% Turnout: 48.7
% of Electorate: 43.2

Heavily Black Precincts
2010 Population 190387 (31.6% of Population)
VAP 142749 (75.0%)
Obama 86397 (98.7%)
McCain 901 (1.0%)
Other 224 (0.3%)
% Turnout: 61.3
% of Electorate: 33.3

Heavily White Precincts
2010 Population 139680 (23.3% of Population)
VAP 124572 (89.2%)
Obama 51702 (83.4%)
McCain 9795 (15.8%)
Other 516 (0.8%)
% Turnout: 49.8
% of Electorate: 23.5

[freepcrusher]

ok so here is my nationwide data so far (AR, MT, RI, AK, OR don't have data yet)

Heavily White Precincts
38144892 McCain (54.1%)
31553998 Obama (44.7%)
864103 Other (1.2%)
70562993 (56.6% of Electorate)

Mixed Race Precincts
28089011 Obama (60.3%)
18189323 McCain (39.1%)
292452 Other (0.6%)
46570786 (37.4% of Electorate)

Heavily Black Precincts
4809343 Obama (96.1%)
184729 McCain (3.7%)
12820 Other (0.2%)
5006892 (4.0% of Electorate)

Heavily Hispanic Precincts
1713232 Obama (71.0%)
696909 McCain (28.9%)
3341 Other (0.1%)
2413482 (1.9%)

Heavily Asian Precincts
Obama 57318 (68.6%)
McCain 25852 (30.9%)
Other 416 (0.5%)
83586 (0.1%)

[nclib]

Good work, freep. Could you possibly list each state's result for heavily white precincts, next to the exit poll's estimate for white voting, and so on? Thanks.

[freepcrusher]

Alabama
Exit Polls: 88% McCain, 10% Obama, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 77.4% McCain, 21.6% Obama, 1.0% Other

Arizona
Exit Polls: 59% McCain, 40% Obama, 1% Other/No Answer
DRA: 60.1% McCain, 38.8% Obama, 1.1% Other

California
Exit Polls: 52% Obama, 46% McCain, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 55.2% Obama, 44.8% McCain

Colorado
Exit Polls: 50% Obama, 48% McCain, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 50.1% Obama, 48.4% McCain, 1.5% Other

Connecticut
Exit Polls: 51% Obama, 46% McCain, 3% Other/No Answer
DRA: 55.3% Obama, 43.4% McCain, 1.3% Other

Delaware
Exit Polls: 53% Obama, 45% McCain, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 53.4% Obama, 45.4% McCain, 1.2% Other

District of Columbia
Exit Polls: 86% Obama, 12% McCain, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 83.4% Obama, 15.8% McCain, 0.8% Other

Florida
Exit Polls: 56% McCain, 42% Obama, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 58.3% McCain, 41.7% Obama

Georgia
Exit Polls: 76% McCain, 23% Obama, 1% Other/No Answer
DRA: 72.8% McCain, 26.1% Obama, 1.1% Other

Idaho
Exit Polls: 65% McCain, 33% Obama, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 61.5% McCain, 36.1% Obama, 2.4% Other

Illinois
Exit Polls: 51% Obama, 48% McCain, 1% Other/No Answer
DRA: 50.8% Obama, 47.7% McCain, 1.5% Other

Indiana
Exit Polls: 54% McCain, 45% Obama, 1% Other/No Answer
DRA: 54.4% McCain, 44.5% Obama, 1.1% Other

Iowa
Exit Polls: 51% Obama, 47% McCain, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 52.8% Obama, 45.6% McCain, 1.6% Other

Kansas
Exit Polls: 59% McCain, 40% Obama, 1% Other/No Answer
DRA: 60.3% McCain, 38.0% Obama, 1.7% Other

Kentucky
Exit Polls: 63% McCain, 36% Obama, 1% Other/No Answer
DRA: 60.9% McCain, 37.6% Obama, 1.5% Other

Louisiana
Exit Polls: 84% McCain, 14% Obama, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 80.1% McCain, 18.0% Obama, 1.9% Other

Maine
Exit Polls: 58% Obama, 40% McCain, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 57.5% Obama, 40.6% McCain, 1.9% Other

Maryland
Exit Polls: 49% McCain, 47% Obama, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 56.2% McCain, 41.7% Obama, 2.1% Other

Massachusetts
Exit Polls: 59% Obama, 39% McCain, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 58.4% Obama, 39.8% McCain, 1.8% Other

Michigan
Exit Polls: 51% Obama, 47% McCain, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 50.1% Obama, 48.1% McCain, 1.8% Other

Minnesota
Exit Polls: 53% Obama, 46% McCain, 1% Other/No Answer
DRA: 51.3% Obama, 46.6% McCain, 2.1% Other

Mississippi
Exit Polls: 88% McCain, 11% Obama, 1% Other/No Answer
DRA: 81.5% McCain, 17.4% Obama, 1.1% Other

Missouri
Exit Polls: 57% McCain, 42% Obama, 1% Other/No Answer
DRA: 55.9% McCain, 42.8% Obama, 1.3% Other

Nebraska
Exit Polls: 59% McCain, 39% Obama, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 60.0% McCain, 38.5% Obama, 1.5% Other

Nevada
Exit Polls: 53% McCain, 45% Obama, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 54.8% McCain, 42.9% Obama, 2.3% Other



New Hampshire
Exit Polls: 54% Obama, 44% McCain, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 54.3% Obama, 44.9% McCain, 0.8% Other

New Jersey
Exit Polls: 50% McCain, 49% Obama, 1% Other/No Answer
DRA: 53.3% McCain, 46.7% Obama

New Mexico
Exit Polls: 56% McCain, 42% Obama, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 53.6% McCain, 46.3% Obama, 0.1% Other

New York
Exit Polls: 52% Obama, 46% McCain, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 51.3% Obama, 47.3% McCain, 1.4% Other

North Carolina
Exit Polls: 64% McCain, 35% Obama, 1% Other/No Answer
DRA: 61.2% McCain, 37.7% Obama, 1.1% Other

North Dakota
Exit Polls: 55% McCain, 42% Obama, 3% Other/No Answer
DRA: 54.3% McCain, 43.7% Obama, 2.0% Other

Ohio
Exit Polls: 52% McCain, 46% Obama, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 53.3% McCain, 45.0% Obama, 1.7% Other

Oklahoma
Exit Polls: 71% McCain, 29% Obama
DRA: 72.7% McCain, 27.3% Obama

Pennsylvania
Exit Polls: 51% McCain, 48% Obama, 1% Other/No Answer
DRA: 50.9% McCain, 47.9% Obama, 1.2% Other/No Answer

South Carolina
Exit Polls: 73% McCain, 26% Obama, 1% Other/No Answer
DRA: 68.8% McCain, 29.8% Obama, 1.4% Other

South Dakota
Exit Polls: 56% McCain, 41% Obama, 3% Other/No Answer
DRA: 55.0% McCain, 42.9% Obama, 2.1% Other

Tennessee
Exit Polls: 63% McCain, 34% Obama, 3% Other/No Answer
DRA: 67.7% McCain, 32.3% Obama




Texas
Exit Polls: 73% McCain, 26% Obama, 1% Other/No Answer
DRA: 73.4% McCain, 26.6% Obama

Utah
Exit Polls: 66% McCain, 31% Obama, 3% Other/No Answer
DRA: 65.4% McCain, 31.6% Obama, 3.0% Other

Vermont
Exit Polls: 68% Obama, 31% McCain, 1% Other/No Answer
DRA: 67.8% Obama, 30.6% McCain, 1.6% Other

Virginia
Exit Polls: 60% McCain, 39% Obama, 1% Other/No Answer
DRA: 60% McCain, 40% Obama

Washington
Exit Polls: 55% Obama, 42% McCain, 3% Other/No Answer
DRA: 55.3% Obama, 42.8% McCain, 1.9% Other

West Virginia
Exit Polls: 57% McCain, 41% Obama, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 56.6% McCain, 41.7% Obama, 1.7% Other

Wisconsin
Exit Polls: 54% Obama, 45% McCain, 1% Other/No Answer
DRA: 53.2% Obama, 45.3% McCain, 1.5% Other

Wyoming
Exit Polls: 66% McCain, 32% Obama, 2% Other/No Answer
DRA: 66.7% McCain, 31.2% Obama, 2.1% Other/No Answer

[nclib]

Looks like the only states with sizeable gaps are:

Exit Polls more McCain, DRA more Obama:

The Deep South (LA,MS,AL,GA,SC) and CT, ID, NM

Deep South is of course because the heavily white areas are less obsessed with racial voting.

Exit Polls more Obama, DRA more McCain:

DC, MD, TN

MD has areas dominated by white liberals and minorities in its more populated areas: (MontCo, PG, Balt. City).

Anyone know about the others?

[freepcrusher]

Looks like the only states with sizeable gaps are:

Exit Polls more McCain, DRA more Obama:

The Deep South (LA,MS,AL,GA,SC) and CT, ID, NM

Deep South is of course because the heavily white areas are less obsessed with racial voting.

Exit Polls more Obama, DRA more McCain:

DC, MD, TN

MD has areas dominated by white liberals and minorities in its more populated areas: (MontCo, PG, Balt. City).

Anyone know about the others?

really in any area that there be a divergence, its possible that a lot of the whites that may vote more the other way live in the "mixed race" precincts. That's definitely true in NM, ID and TN but the pollsters IMO got Connecticut flat out wrong.