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| |-+  Election Predictions (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  I cracked Dave's secret code!
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Author Topic: I cracked Dave's secret code!  (Read 2622 times)
True Federalist
Ernest
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« on: June 10, 2012, 12:58:41 pm »
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I cracked Dave's secret code to getting the results for the prediction summaries in the Presidential elections for the CD's in Maine and Nebraska in 2008 and 2012.  Doesn't work for the 2004 predictions.

2008

Maine
Maine 1
Maine 2

Nebraska
Nebraska 1
Nebraska 2
Nebraska 3

2012

Maine
Maine 1
Maine 2

Nebraska
Nebraska 1
Nebraska 2
Nebraska 3
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Is Dave Leip real?

Read Fat Man on a Diet, an alternate history in which atomic weapons have less bang.
Fmr. Emperor PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
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« Reply #1 on: July 03, 2012, 06:07:06 pm »
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     It's amazing how unexpected Obama's NE-2 victory was. Only about 5% predicted him winning it. It is probably the least predicted electoral outcome in the history of the Atlas.
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True Federalist
Ernest
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« Reply #2 on: July 03, 2012, 06:14:02 pm »
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Agreed, tho I came close as I had NE-2 as a Republican tossup.
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Is Dave Leip real?

Read Fat Man on a Diet, an alternate history in which atomic weapons have less bang.
Lіef
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« Reply #3 on: October 02, 2012, 08:29:53 pm »
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     It's amazing how unexpected Obama's NE-2 victory was. Only about 5% predicted him winning it. It is probably the least predicted electoral outcome in the history of the Atlas.

Clinton New Hampshire 2008?
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Senator MaxQue
MaxQue
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« Reply #4 on: October 02, 2012, 11:16:53 pm »
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     It's amazing how unexpected Obama's NE-2 victory was. Only about 5% predicted him winning it. It is probably the least predicted electoral outcome in the history of the Atlas.

Clinton New Hampshire 2008?

16.9% of the predictions saw Clinton winning NH, against 16.7% which was Obama winning NE-2.
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Senator Ben
benconstine
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« Reply #5 on: October 03, 2012, 03:01:42 pm »
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More people have it going to Obama this year than in 2008, which I find interesting.
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Obama High's debate team:

"Now let me be clear...I...I...um...uh...now let me be clear.  I strongly condemn the affirmative in the strongest possible terms, and I am closely monitoring their arguments.  Let me be clear on this."
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #6 on: October 03, 2012, 04:57:14 pm »
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I cracked Dave's secret code to getting the results for the prediction summaries in the Presidential elections for the CD's in Maine and Nebraska in 2008 and 2012.  Doesn't work for the 2004 predictions.

2008

Maine
Maine 1
Maine 2

Nebraska
Nebraska 1
Nebraska 2
Nebraska 3

2012

Maine
Maine 1
Maine 2

Nebraska
Nebraska 1
Nebraska 2
Nebraska 3

Ban.
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"If the Constitution means anything, it surely means that the president does not have unreviewable authority to summarily execute any American whom he concludes is an enemy of the state"

registered somewhere in Georgia AFE
shua
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« Reply #7 on: October 06, 2012, 02:38:26 pm »
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     It's amazing how unexpected Obama's NE-2 victory was. Only about 5% predicted him winning it. It is probably the least predicted electoral outcome in the history of the Atlas.
not only that, 2/3 had McCain getting over 60%
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"Those who begin coercive elimination of dissent soon find themselves exterminating dissenters. Compulsory unification of opinion achieves only the unanimity of the graveyard. . . But freedom to differ is not limited to things that do not matter much. That would be a mere shadow of freedom. The test of its substance is the right to differ as to things that touch the heart of the existing order."
- Justice Robert Jackson WV SBE v Barnette

http://tinyurl.com/bx359q5
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