Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 02, 2015, 07:52:13 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2012 Elections
| | |-+  Is this map plausible?
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] Print
Question: See post
Yes   -17 (40.5%)
No   -25 (59.5%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 42

Author Topic: Is this map plausible?  (Read 1801 times)
Solidarity Forever
Alfred F. Jones
YaBB God
Posts: 9130
United States

View Profile
« Reply #25 on: June 12, 2012, 05:16:15 pm »

Senior citizens hate him for Obamacare (though are somewhat indifferent to Romney the architect), and within that group Jews'll go Romney's way if he picks Cantor for Veep, Cubans are spoken for so that leaves blacks and Puerto Ricans. Na, he can't win Florida.

North Carolina voted against samesex marriage at the polls just before Obama 'came out' for it. He can kiss babies with Bev Perdue and Kay Hagan as much as he wants -it's not gonna change anything. Missouri's forgotten the mormon war but has Mitt? Hmm... That qualifies as a tossup, as is AZ.

This election is in the hands of the unemployed, Hispanics and Mormons. The states of Ohio, Colorado and Nevada will likely be decided by each respective group.

Pretty accurate analysis, though I think Hispanics will have greater influence in Nevada than Mormons.

There is a lot of humor to be mined from this as the mind of LBJ in the body of an 18 month old baby girl is quite hilarious.

19:08   oakvale   keep your furry horror out of here please

Alfred is the Atlasian equivalent of a malevolent deity.

Brandon H
YaBB God
Posts: 4401
United States

Political Matrix
E: 3.48, S: 1.74

View Profile WWW
« Reply #26 on: June 12, 2012, 08:25:31 pm »

It's plausible but probably won't happen.

A Republican - at least for a little while
YaBB God
Posts: 10206
United States

View Profile WWW
« Reply #27 on: June 14, 2012, 01:54:46 pm »

Given that Mondale and Reagan were quite close over the summer, I find it quite possible.

The president's opponents feel so strongly about him that there's no way any of the McCain states (namely Missouri and Arizona) will vote for him this time.
"Gov. Walker's opponents feel so strongly about him that there's no way any of the Barrett counties will vote for him this time."


In 2004, GWB's opponents felt VERY strongly about him, and he still managed to pull it out, and even to increase his PV percentage by about 3 points over 2000. I'm not saying that's likely to happen with Obama (it isn't), but just because Republicans are motivated, it doesn't mean it's enough to defeat an incumbent president.
You're right, but since this election will probably be closer than 2008, I don't see it happening.  2000 was one of the closest presidential elections in history, after all, and GW Bush carried all of the Dole states from '96 and then some.  I think you will see something similar with Romney this time, regardless of who wins the election.

Quote from: Dwight D. Eisenhower
There is nothing wrong with America that the faith, love of freedom, intelligence, and energy of her citizens cannot cure.
Good thing Subway isn't like the Catholic Church or they'd just transfer him to another Subway.
Pages: 1 [2] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  

Login with username, password and session length


Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines