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Author Topic: WI: Rasmussen: Thompson cruising to victory  (Read 3031 times)
Miles
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« on: June 14, 2012, 10:30:49 am »
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New Poll: Wisconsin Senator by Rasmussen on 2012-6-14

Summary: D: 36%, R: 52%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Miles
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« Reply #1 on: June 14, 2012, 10:42:39 am »
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: June 14, 2012, 10:44:20 am »
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Scotty's trollin' us again. Tongue
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7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
timothyinMD
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« Reply #3 on: June 14, 2012, 10:45:21 am »
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Hah, Tammy Baldwin.  What a joke.  Looks like we're gonna pull in Wisconsin what the Dems pulled in Virginia in '06-'08
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change08
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« Reply #4 on: June 14, 2012, 10:48:11 am »
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This is a seat the Dems have no business losing for no more reason that completely crap candidate recruitment.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #5 on: June 14, 2012, 10:49:26 am »
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This is a seat the Dems have no business losing for no more reason that completely crap candidate recruitment.

She's the only one left. Barrett's finished, Kind is way too moderate for their liking, etc.
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7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
Invisible Obama
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« Reply #6 on: June 14, 2012, 11:05:41 am »
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Yes, this is a completely believable poll, not. It may look good to Republicans, but that doesn't make it accurate at all.
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change08
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« Reply #7 on: June 14, 2012, 11:06:22 am »
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This is a seat the Dems have no business losing for no more reason that completely crap candidate recruitment.

She's the only one left. Barrett's finished, Kind is way too moderate for their liking, etc.

Feingold would be the only viable option, but he'd never have ran.
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nkpatel1279
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« Reply #8 on: June 14, 2012, 11:37:37 am »
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This is a seat the Dems have no business losing for no more reason that completely crap candidate recruitment.

She's the only one left. Barrett's finished, Kind is way too moderate for their liking, etc.

Feingold would be the only viable option, but he'd never have ran.
Is Rass going to release a poll matchup between Baldwin-D vs Neumann-R. Thompson-R who is the elder statesman in WI politics would defeat any Democratic nominee Feingold,Baldwin,Barrett,Doyle,Kind and Kagan. The general election matchup between Neumann-R or Fitzgerald-R vs the Democratic nominee is a pure Tossup.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #9 on: June 14, 2012, 11:46:18 am »
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Dominating.

Kind was perfectly viable. Problem is that he knew in advance that those Madison nutters would vote for their fellow underperforming nutter.

The rest of the state is furious at Dane County's garbage; it will be great to see Baldwin lose by landslides in the 2 northern districts.
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nkpatel1279
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« Reply #10 on: June 14, 2012, 11:56:19 am »
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Baldwin-D could be the Chris Coons of WI if she reminds general election voters especially Conservative Independents-how much of a decent reasonable Republican Tommy Thompson is. Try to bait the Tea Party Conservatives to nominate Mark Neumann-R.
The only reason why Thompson is leading by a double digit is that he is high name recognition and he is a Moderate Republican while Baldwin is a partisan Liberal Democrat.
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mondale84
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« Reply #11 on: June 14, 2012, 12:09:40 pm »
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Baldwin-D could be the Chris Coons of WI if she reminds general election voters especially Conservative Independents-how much of a decent reasonable Republican Tommy Thompson is. Try to bait the Tea Party Conservatives to nominate Mark Neumann-R.
The only reason why Thompson is leading by a double digit is that he is high name recognition and he is a Moderate Republican while Baldwin is a partisan Liberal Democrat.

The only reason Thompson is leading is because this is a Rasmussen poll...
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #12 on: June 14, 2012, 12:12:44 pm »
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Uhh, no. PPP had all the Republicans leading her by 4-5 back in May. Thompson would probably be a middling favorite, Neumann a tossup and Hovde an underdog because he's untested and unknown.
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7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
Scott
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« Reply #13 on: June 14, 2012, 02:03:47 pm »
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Thompson still probably has the edge as of now, but not as big as Rasmussen wants people to think.
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Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #14 on: June 14, 2012, 02:33:28 pm »
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So, basically, Thompson's leading by 6-8, and this is a likely R Gain. Good to know.
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timothyinMD
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« Reply #15 on: June 14, 2012, 02:49:11 pm »
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So, basically, Thompson's leading by 6-8, and this is a likely R Gain. Good to know.

Most likely.. though I'm gonna guess 8-10, but this one is a likely R gain
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #16 on: June 14, 2012, 02:52:04 pm »
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So, basically, Thompson's leading by 6-8, and this is a likely R Gain. Good to know.

Most likely.. though I'm gonna guess 8-10, but this one is a likely R gain

If Thompson is nominated, which is far from certain. Moderates are rarely if ever on the sunny side of an enthusiasm gap. He does have statewide name ID and a 4-way fight for conservative votes, so could sneak up the middle.
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7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
tmthforu94
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« Reply #17 on: June 14, 2012, 04:42:53 pm »
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It's surprising how Republican Wisconsin has turned, and the transition will be complete if Romney carries the state in November.
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morgieb
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« Reply #18 on: June 14, 2012, 04:46:13 pm »
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I still reckon Neumann might win the primary.
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AmericanNation
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« Reply #19 on: June 14, 2012, 08:27:29 pm »
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It's surprising how Republican Wisconsin has turned, and the transition will be complete if Romney carries the state in November.
It appears striking, but it is a composite of pretty simple changes.  The odd thing is that the democrats have accelerated everything.  It's like the first Batman movie when The Joker "Makes" Batman -- "You made me." 
Dominating.
Kind was perfectly viable. Problem is that he knew in advance that those Madison nutters would vote for their fellow underperforming nutter.
The rest of the state is furious at Dane County's garbage; it will be great to see Baldwin lose by landslides in the 2 northern districts.
   
So, basically, Thompson's leading by 6-8, and this is a likely R Gain. Good to know.

Most likely.. though I'm gonna guess 8-10, but this one is a likely R gain

If Thompson is nominated, which is far from certain. Moderates are rarely if ever on the sunny side of an enthusiasm gap. He does have statewide name ID and a 4-way fight for conservative votes, so could sneak up the middle.
Thompson isn't exactly a moderate.  He has a practical deal making streak in him.  Two different things.  I hadn't made up my mind about enthusiasm for him in November, but I now think it could get crazy.  The WOW's will be crazy no matter what and Thompson could pump up the 3 outer congressional districts.  Baldwin might win 6 of 72 counties. 

She will raise a ton of money though and that is why Kind had no chance of getting out of a primary vs her.  He can't win a statewide dem primary (he passed on gov 2010 as well) with someone to the left of him.  So unless he gets a clear path, he will never step up.  Republicans could pick up that seat if he vacated it as well.       
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Nathan
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« Reply #20 on: June 14, 2012, 09:08:57 pm »
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Will krazen please explain to us what exactly makes Representative Baldwin and the populace of Dane County 'nutters', as opposed to people with whom he disagrees politically and whom he dislikes?
« Last Edit: June 14, 2012, 09:13:00 pm by Nathan »Logged

A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights.

His idea of freedom is - it is a bad thing and should be stopped at all costs.

Nathan-land.  As much fun as watching paint dry... literally.
mondale84
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« Reply #21 on: June 14, 2012, 09:12:43 pm »
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Why was this joke poll added to the database?
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krazen1211
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« Reply #22 on: June 14, 2012, 09:18:13 pm »
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Will krazen please explain to us what exactly makes Representative Baldwin and the populace of Dane County 'nutters', as opposed to people with whom he disagrees politically and whom he dislikes?

Namely, of course, the tantrums in city hall, the screaming and rioting, the lawsuit barrage, and the recalls.

None of which are typical behavior of political 'disagreement'. None of the private sector did all that when the unions socked us in the chin good.


In any case, the loudmouths somehow convinced many that Scott Walker would actually be recalled! The problem is they ran into the great Silent Majority.


The people will of course also decide whether they approve of Baldwin's personal lifestyle choices and Bay Area voting record. Even in Dane County, Baldwin got thousands of fewer votes than Feingold.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #23 on: June 14, 2012, 09:18:20 pm »
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She's not nutty, just would have a steep climb in any statewide election given a voting record  comparable to Pelosi's in a purple state.
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7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
Invisible Obama
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« Reply #24 on: June 14, 2012, 09:58:25 pm »
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Tommy Thompson screaming at the top of his lungs is more out there than anything Tammy Baldwin has done.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=89CLS_Ep1Lw
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