Largely agreed except for Illinois. Quinn has already said he's running again, though Madigan and Bill Daley have not ruled out challenging him in the primary. Likelier that Madigan does than Daley. Either way, probably Lean R depending on who the GOP nominates.
Agreed - Quinn would probably be able to hang on in a primary anyways, though it could potentially end up close. We may be looking at a Governor Schock come 2015. Lucky for him - I thought he would be stuck in Congress forever since he's probably too conservative to snag a Senate seat and hold it.