Who are some semi-plausible 2014 gubernatorial candidates who could win?

[Mr. Morden]

Seems like we have quite a large number of incumbent governors with terrible job approval ratings at the moment.  Of course, two years is a political eternity.  But assuming that some of these incumbents face at least the prospect of a competitive race in 2014, who are some of the 2014 gubernatorial candidates who might realistically run and have the potential to win?  I'm especially curious about some of the larger states, like FL, IL, PA, MI, etc.

[Mr. Morden]

Isn't there buzz that Sink might run again?

[Mr. Morden]

Michigan: Hansen Clarke or Ving Bergano?

I assume you mean Virgil Bernero?

Btw, this column adds Jocelyn Benson and Gretchen Whitmer as possible Michigan 2014 gubernatorial candidates (though it looks like Benson has never held public office, so she'd be a longshot):

http://www.mlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/02/looking_ahead_to_2014_who_will.html

What about Illinois?  Pat Quinn only barely won against mediocre competition in 2010, and he's gotten less popular since then, hasn't he?  So does the GOP have a chance?

And what about California?  Is Brown even certain to run for reelection?  He'd be 80 years old when a hypothetical second term ends.

[Mr. Morden]

*bump*

Any revised thoughts on this, now that the 2012 election has passed?