OH: Kasich is pretty unpopular and could be beaten by a number of Ohio Democrats, but Richard Cordray pretty much has the right of first refusal here. And barring some sort of massive unforeseeable event or scandal, Cordray would beat Kasich. In fact, Cordray would be favored even if Kasich weren't so unpopular, but since he is, he may well be DOA (although it's too early to make that assumption atm).
Florida: Rod Smith seems like he might be a strong statewide candidate. Buddy Dyer is another possibility. Clarence is right that it won't be Crist. But whoever the Democratic nominee is, it is important to remember that they will probably be running against Rick Scott (Scott probably has enough tea-party support to survive any primary challenge and doesn't strike me as someone who would agree to not run for reelection for the good of the Republican party). This may end up canceling out many of the usual disadvantages Democrats face when running in statewide elections in Florida. In any event, the bar for how strong a Democrat needs to be to win this race is much lower in this race than it normally is in Florida.
Pennsylvania: Some of this depends on who wins the statewide offices that are up this year.
Michigan: Idk, but given the natural Democratic tilt of the state, I have a hard time imagining that the state Democratic party is too weak to find an electable candidate here. 2010 was a fluke.
Michigan is a swing state. Gore only carried it by 5 points in 2000 and Kerry only took it by 3 points in 2004. Obama's margin in 2008 was the real fluke. Gov. Snyder has said that he won't run again if he accomplishes what he wants to by the next election. I predict Bill Schuette will get the GOP nomination and win the general election.
