Home
2012
Election Results
Election Info
Weblog
Wiki
Search
Email
Site Info
Store
Welcome,
Guest
. Please
login
or
register
.
Did you miss your
activation email?
May 24, 2013, 11:53:21 am
News:
Please delete your old personal messages.
Atlas Forum
Election Archive
2012 Elections
2012 Gubernatorial Election Polls
(Moderator:
Tender Branson
)
WA-Elway: McKenna (R) with a small lead
« previous
next »
Pages:
[
1
]
Author
Topic: WA-Elway: McKenna (R) with a small lead (Read 432 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderator
YaBB God
Posts: 27994
Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39
WA-Elway: McKenna (R) with a small lead
«
on:
June 19, 2012, 11:24:00 pm »
42% McKenna
40% Inslee
Quote
An earlier poll by Elway in February showed a nine-point difference -- with McKenna comfortably out in front, 45 percent to Inslee's 36 percent.
Why is the gap closing? Not clear.
Elway says, "Washington state tilts Democratic. As Inslee becomes better known as the Democratic candidate, his support will naturally rise."
The poll tried to determine which issues favor either candidate. McKenna's advantages were in managing government and the economy. Health care, women's issues and the environment were positive issues for Inslee.
The candidates were virtually tied on education.
http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/politicsnorthwest/2018464898_elway_poll_gubernatorial_race.html
Logged
Governor Scott
Scott
YaBB God
Posts: 11127
Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.22
Re: WA-Elway: McKenna (R) with a small lead
«
Reply #1 on:
June 19, 2012, 11:50:47 pm »
18% undecided? ...Junk.
Logged
Summary Of My Political Beliefs
MilesC56
YaBB God
Posts: 8441
Political Matrix
E: -1.81, S: 2.96
Re: WA-Elway: McKenna (R) with a small lead
«
Reply #2 on:
June 20, 2012, 12:53:46 am »
Quote from: Senator Scott on June 19, 2012, 11:50:47 pm
18% undecided? ...Junk.
PPP had 17% undecideds in their poll out today. My first reaction was to question its credibility, as well, but if you look at the last 5 polls from this race, the average amount of undecideds is about 17%. Neither Inslee nor McKenna have really been able to break out of the low-40s.
Logged
Governor Scott
Scott
YaBB God
Posts: 11127
Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.22
Re: WA-Elway: McKenna (R) with a small lead
«
Reply #3 on:
June 20, 2012, 12:56:35 am »
Quote from: MilesC56 on June 20, 2012, 12:53:46 am
Quote from: Senator Scott on June 19, 2012, 11:50:47 pm
18% undecided? ...Junk.
PPP had 17% undecideds in their poll out today. My first reaction was to question its credibility, as well, but if you look at the last 5 polls from this race, the average amount of undecideds is about 17%. Neither Inslee nor McKenna have really been able to break out of the low-40s.
That is interesting... is it because of lack of recognition, possibly? I know it's still somewhat early in the campaign, but it's odd to see both candidates consistently poll this way.
Logged
Summary Of My Political Beliefs
MilesC56
YaBB God
Posts: 8441
Political Matrix
E: -1.81, S: 2.96
Re: WA-Elway: McKenna (R) with a small lead
«
Reply #4 on:
June 20, 2012, 01:13:39 am »
Quote from: Senator Scott on June 20, 2012, 12:56:35 am
Quote from: MilesC56 on June 20, 2012, 12:53:46 am
Quote from: Senator Scott on June 19, 2012, 11:50:47 pm
18% undecided? ...Junk.
PPP had 17% undecideds in their poll out today. My first reaction was to question its credibility, as well, but if you look at the last 5 polls from this race, the average amount of undecideds is about 17%. Neither Inslee nor McKenna have really been able to break out of the low-40s.
That is interesting... is it because of lack of recognition, possibly? I know it's still somewhat early in the campaign, but it's odd to see both candidates consistently poll this way.
I would think McKenna would have better name rec after being elected statewide twice. PPP said that 63% of their undecideds voted for Obama. Hence, I think the issue is that there are a lot of Democrats who haven't made up their minds; they're open to crossing over to McKenna, but don't know enough about Inslee to make a choice.
Logged
CultureKing
YaBB God
Posts: 3239
Re: WA-Elway: McKenna (R) with a small lead
«
Reply #5 on:
July 06, 2012, 03:28:45 pm »
Quote from: MilesC56 on June 20, 2012, 01:13:39 am
Quote from: Senator Scott on June 20, 2012, 12:56:35 am
Quote from: MilesC56 on June 20, 2012, 12:53:46 am
Quote from: Senator Scott on June 19, 2012, 11:50:47 pm
18% undecided? ...Junk.
PPP had 17% undecideds in their poll out today. My first reaction was to question its credibility, as well, but if you look at the last 5 polls from this race, the average amount of undecideds is about 17%. Neither Inslee nor McKenna have really been able to break out of the low-40s.
That is interesting... is it because of lack of recognition, possibly? I know it's still somewhat early in the campaign, but it's odd to see both candidates consistently poll this way.
I would think McKenna would have better name rec after being elected statewide twice. PPP said that 63% of their undecideds voted for Obama. Hence, I think the issue is that there are a lot of Democrats who haven't made up their minds; they're open to crossing over to McKenna, but don't know enough about Inslee to make a choice.
You've hit it on the spot. A lot of democrats don't really care for Inslee, but are unsure whether they would be willing to make the switch to McKenna.
Logged
Econ: -6.50, Social: -5.23
Fmr. Emperor PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
YaBB God
Posts: 21523
Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: -4.35
Re: WA-Elway: McKenna (R) with a small lead
«
Reply #6 on:
July 10, 2012, 02:53:28 pm »
The pollster itself is more or less garbage. I wouldn't read too much into it.
Logged
Farewell to a legend:
r
(x,y) != <-y,x>
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=103836.0
Pages:
[
1
]
« previous
next »
Jump to:
Please select a destination:
-----------------------------
Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
-----------------------------
=> 2016 U.S. Presidential Election
===> 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
===> 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
=> U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2008 U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2004 U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Results
=> Presidential Election Trends
=> Election What-ifs?
===> Past Election What-ifs (US)
===> Alternative Elections
===> International What-ifs
-----------------------------
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
-----------------------------
=> Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections
===> 2013 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
=> Congressional Elections
===> 2014 Senatorial Election Polls
=> International Elections
=> Election Predictions
-----------------------------
Questions and Answers
-----------------------------
=> Presidential Election Process
===> Electoral Reform
===> Polling
=> The Atlas
===> How To
-----------------------------
General Discussion
-----------------------------
=> Constitution and Law
=> Religion & Philosophy
=> History
===> Alternative History
-----------------------------
General Politics
-----------------------------
=> U.S. General Discussion
=> Political Geography & Demographics
=> International General Discussion
=> Economics
=> Individual Politics
=> Political Debate
===> Political Essays & Deliberation
===> Book Reviews and Discussion
-----------------------------
Election Archive
-----------------------------
=> 2012 Elections
===> 2012 Senatorial Election Polls
===> 2012 House Election Polls
===> 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
===> 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
===> 2012 Gubernatorial Election Polls
=> 2010 Elections
===> 2010 House Election Polls
===> 2010 Senatorial Election Polls
===> 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls
=> 2008 Elections
===> 2008 Senatorial Election Polls
===> 2008 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2008 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign
===> 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
===> 2008 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
=> 2004 U.S. Presidential Election
===> 2004 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign
===> 2004 U.S. Presidential Election Polls
=> 2006 Elections
===> 2006 Senatorial Election Polls
===> 2006 Gubernatorial Election Polls
-----------------------------
Forum Community
-----------------------------
=> Forum Community
===> Forum Community Election Match-ups
=> Election and History Games
===> Mock Parliment
===> Town Hall
===> Survivor
===> Interactive Timelines
=> Off-topic Board
-----------------------------
Atlas Fantasy Elections
-----------------------------
=> Atlas Fantasy Elections
===> Voting Booth
=> Atlas Fantasy Government
===> Constitutional Convention
===> Regional Governments
1 Hour
1 Day
1 Week
1 Month
Forever
Login with username, password and session length
Powered by SMF 1.1.18
|
SMF © 2013, Simple Machines
Loading...