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Author Topic: WI-Sen: Marquette: Thompson leading Baldwin by 8  (Read 2337 times)
krazen1211
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« on: June 20, 2012, 12:30:06 pm »
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Link to come soon.

Thompson 49, Baldwin 41.




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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1 on: June 20, 2012, 12:42:46 pm »
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Can they put out some numbers for the primary? This seat is Likely R only if Thompson wins the nomination.
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7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
krazen1211
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« Reply #2 on: June 20, 2012, 12:51:36 pm »
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Can they put out some numbers for the primary? This seat is Likely R only if Thompson wins the nomination.

Done and done.

Thompson 34, Neumann 16, Hovde 14, Fitzgerald 10 and 25% undecided.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: June 20, 2012, 01:13:11 pm »
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Undecided seems a bit high to say the least, but otherwise looking good.
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7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
Miles
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« Reply #4 on: June 20, 2012, 01:58:20 pm »
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Entered.

Well, still good news for Obama.
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IDS Judicial Overlord PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
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« Reply #5 on: June 20, 2012, 02:32:20 pm »
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     Thompson is actually running this time? It's amazing to see Wisconsin's elected officials trend Republican so rapidly.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #6 on: June 20, 2012, 04:06:31 pm »
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I think Hovde will be the nominee.
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My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: June 20, 2012, 05:12:03 pm »
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Thompson's primary numbers don't look great. He ha nearly statewide recognition yet only at 34% support with 25% still undecided. Add in the fact that almost all of the outside money is going to go to his challengers, this primary is going to be close. 
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krazen1211
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« Reply #8 on: June 20, 2012, 06:16:31 pm »
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https://law.marquette.edu/poll/


Link as promised.

It's quite amusing to see liberals ignore the Marquette poll, just like they did last time in predicting a close race for the Wisconsin recall! Talk about not learning from mistakes.....
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krazen1211
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« Reply #9 on: June 20, 2012, 06:19:41 pm »
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No endorsement from Scott Walker, although he unleashes this devastating tidbit.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0612/77424.html#ixzz1yNX0HoQY

Walker stopped short of calling Republicans the favorite to pick up the Democratic seat. But he upbraided Baldwin for carrying “some of the most liberal policies in the country.”
“I just think that they would be, in many ways, horribly out of whack with where the majority of people are in the state of Wisconsin,” he said, referring to Baldwin.


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Miles
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« Reply #10 on: June 20, 2012, 06:46:39 pm »
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No endorsement from Scott Walker, although he unleashes this devastating tidbit.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0612/77424.html#ixzz1yNX0HoQY

Walker stopped short of calling Republicans the favorite to pick up the Democratic seat. But he upbraided Baldwin for carrying “some of the most liberal policies in the country.”
“I just think that they would be, in many ways, horribly out of whack with where the majority of people are in the state of Wisconsin,” he said, referring to Baldwin.




What else would you expect him to say? You act like that's some big special announcement.

He's certainly not going to say anything favorable about her.
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ChairmanSanchez
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« Reply #11 on: June 20, 2012, 10:59:05 pm »
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Thompson could swing Republican in the Presidential race due to Thompsons coattails.
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Nathan
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« Reply #12 on: June 21, 2012, 06:18:53 am »
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I can't think of any example of coattails working that way.
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His idea of freedom is - it is a bad thing and should be stopped at all costs.

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« Reply #13 on: June 22, 2012, 02:25:26 pm »
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I can't think of any example of coattails working that way.
I think it helps Republicans across the board when the party fields good candidates. It may boost GOP turnout in the state, which in turn would help Romney.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #14 on: June 22, 2012, 03:26:43 pm »
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There is little to no evidence to support down ballot races effecting the top of the ballot, but I guess this is supposed to be something new that will happen with Thompson. He's not leading because of straight ticket Republican voters, some of his voters will be voting for Obama.

On a side note, Mike Castle had good numbers for the general, but he didn't make it there. Thompson's opposition is far more credible than O'Donnell and a split electorate may or may not save him.
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Please seek a 5150 if your candidate loses.
AmericanNation
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« Reply #15 on: June 27, 2012, 11:33:26 pm »
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There is little to no evidence to support down ballot races effecting the top of the ballot, but I guess this is supposed to be something new that will happen with Thompson. He's not leading because of straight ticket Republican voters, some of his voters will be voting for Obama.

On a side note, Mike Castle had good numbers for the general, but he didn't make it there. Thompson's opposition is far more credible than O'Donnell and a split electorate may or may not save him.

It will very likely save him.  The very-Conservatives who want to find an alternative to Tommy won't unite on 1 of the other 3 unless something crazy happens.  Neumann and Hovde have the deep pockets, but Fitzgerald might be the must acceptable to everyone.  Two of 3 would basically have to get out of the primary and endorse the remaining one  ...not happening, Hovde looks to be as stubborn as we know Neumann is to see this through to the end.  
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krazen1211
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« Reply #16 on: June 28, 2012, 02:43:24 pm »
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Baldwin goes through the effort to poll....the GOP primary.

http://www.scribd.com/doc/98564788/WI-Sen-Feldman-Group-for-Tammy-Baldwin-June-2012



Lol. I guess she found she was losing badly to Thompson, at least, and silenced that part of the poll.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #17 on: June 28, 2012, 02:51:22 pm »
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She certainly wants to run against the guy who called her a Commie. :rolleyes:

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/234349-wisconsin-senate-candidate-calls-rep-tammy-baldwin-a-communist
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7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
krazen1211
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« Reply #18 on: June 28, 2012, 03:07:35 pm »
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Haha? Isn't that the line they used against Scott Walker? Divisive politics?
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cinyc
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« Reply #19 on: June 28, 2012, 05:52:43 pm »
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There is little to no evidence to support down ballot races effecting the top of the ballot, but I guess this is supposed to be something new that will happen with Thompson. He's not leading because of straight ticket Republican voters, some of his voters will be voting for Obama.

There is about as much evidence to support reverse coattails as there is to support the notion that the unpopularity of someone not even on the ballot can affect the Presidential race -  nothing or close to nothing.   If coattails are overrated, reverse coattails are even more so.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #20 on: June 28, 2012, 06:37:42 pm »
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Haha? Isn't that the line they used against Scott Walker? Divisive politics?

You should know a lot about divisive politics as you attempt it on a daily basis here.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #21 on: June 28, 2012, 06:40:28 pm »
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Haha? Isn't that the line they used against Scott Walker? Divisive politics?

You should know a lot about divisive politics as you attempt it on a daily basis here.

Based on the Scott Walker example the people of Wiscsonsin prefer divisive politics to Dane County. I wonder how crying about divisive politics is supposed to work this time.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #22 on: June 28, 2012, 06:44:11 pm »
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Haha? Isn't that the line they used against Scott Walker? Divisive politics?

You should know a lot about divisive politics as you attempt it on a daily basis here.

Based on the Scott Walker example the people of Wiscsonsin prefer divisive politics to Dane County. I wonder how crying about divisive politics is supposed to work this time.

Except that wasn't the point I was trying to make...
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krazen1211
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« Reply #23 on: June 28, 2012, 06:51:10 pm »
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Haha? Isn't that the line they used against Scott Walker? Divisive politics?

You should know a lot about divisive politics as you attempt it on a daily basis here.

Based on the Scott Walker example the people of Wiscsonsin prefer divisive politics to Dane County. I wonder how crying about divisive politics is supposed to work this time.

Except that wasn't the point I was trying to make...

Well, the article in question was certainly not about me. I am just a humble private sector citizen and am certainly not capable of something as spectacular as divisive politics.
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Nathan
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« Reply #24 on: June 28, 2012, 06:55:07 pm »
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Haha? Isn't that the line they used against Scott Walker? Divisive politics?

You should know a lot about divisive politics as you attempt it on a daily basis here.

Based on the Scott Walker example the people of Wiscsonsin prefer divisive politics to Dane County. I wonder how crying about divisive politics is supposed to work this time.

Except that wasn't the point I was trying to make...

Well, the article in question was certainly not about me. I am just a humble private sector citizen and am certainly not capable of something as spectacular as divisive politics.

You're very good at contradicting yourself without starting a new sentence or even needing to incorporate punctuation of any kind.
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A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights.

His idea of freedom is - it is a bad thing and should be stopped at all costs.

Nathan-land.  As much fun as watching paint dry... literally.
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