Quinnipiac: Obama holds the lead in 3 critical swing states (FL, OH, PA)

[Tender Branson]

Florida:

45-41 Obama/Romney

Ohio:

47-38 Obama/Romney

Pennsylvania:

45-39 Obama/Romney

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28fl-oh-and-pa%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1767

[Tender Branson]

Ohio looks like an outlier, while the other results seem to be OK (with Florida maybe a bit too optimistic as well).

[old timey villain]

A lot of these polls coming out fly in the face of the general belief that Obama is losing ground to Romney.

Of course, I'm happy to see any poll where Obama leads, but some don't seem to make sense.

[Kalimantan]

Outlier or not, that is a shocking result for Romney in Ohio

[Eraserhead]

Obama is clearly done for, guys. Abandon ship.

[NHI]

Obama is clearly done for, guys. Abandon ship.

A couple more months and then this statement will be truly accurate.

[Eraserhead]

Obama is clearly done for, guys. Abandon ship.

A couple more months and then this statement will be truly accurate.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N5wVZwdHmRY

[morgieb]

Florida and Ohio numbers look too optimistic, but very good news for Obama if true.

[pbrower2a]

Obama is clearly done for, guys. Abandon ship.

A couple more months and then this statement will be truly accurate.

So what does your crystal ball have to say? My more rational processes say that the possibilities range from a close election to a near-blowout. Barring catastrophic news for the President that one can't foresee, we are going to see no Romney win. President Obama has a track record as a politician and as a campaigner... and challengers are far more likely to crash. Technocratic types like Dukakis and Romney are particularly vulnerable when their heavily-touted expertise proves irrelevant.   

[tmthforu94]

Between this and the Senate numbers, Ohio looks like an outlier. Florida doesn't look too bad, and Pennsylvania looks pretty okay.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

I don't think Florida's anything but a dead heat now, and it will probably stay that way until the election.

[pbrower2a]

I don't think Florida's anything but a dead heat now, and it will probably stay that way until the election.

Florida was a dead heat throughout 2008, and the networks called it only after they called the states on the West Coast. The networks are not going to forget 2000 in Florida for a very long time. Ohio was as quick a call as a state could be as a legitimate swing state because it counts its votes fast.   

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Despite the fact that economy  is going back to recession and the ACA mandate is gonna be thrown out there seems to be a resistence to Romney.  Even if Portman is selected the numbers in VA still might hold up and Obama will still wind out making it out of this economic turmoil.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

I don't think Romney's completely at fault though. A lot of people seem to have an affinity for Obama that transcends his politics. Maybe it nostalgia for his old hope and change schtick... I don't know. But even though the numbers would suggest Obama's finished, he probably actually has the advantage.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

I think Obama has the edge in Ohio as of now, but definitely not one that big.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

if Romney was ahead in these polls you guys would not question it.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

I have a feeling that Quinnipiac's polls are biased in favor of Democrats.  Even if Pres. Obama is leading in Ohio, there is no way he's that far ahead.

[Brittain33]

I have no idea if these polls are accurate or not, but do more that Obama is on the air bashing Romney for Bain in these states and the attacks clearly have Romney worried.

[RJ]

I've always identified Quinnipiac as a bit of a liberal leaning pollster. I suppose they're the bizzaro version of Purple strategies, at least as far as these multi state polls(or ones all released at the same time)go. I don't think these are accurate either. I'd say Obama has 1/2 the lead he has in these polls in OH and FL and maybe 75% of it in PA; either way it's a little too optimistic for camp Obama.

[Kalimantan]

Regardless, 38% in a must-win state from a respected pollster is not the news Romney wants right now

[ajc0918]

Regardless, 38% in a must-win state from a respected pollster is not the news Romney wants right now

This.
Even if it's friendly to democrats, Romney would probably in the low 40s.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Despite the fact that economy  is going back to recession and the ACA mandate is gonna be thrown out there seems to be a resistence to Romney.  Even if Portman is selected the numbers in VA still might hold up and Obama will still wind out making it out of this economic turmoil.

No one in VA knows who Portman is.

[You kip if you want to...]

The only places where the campaign is really in full swing is here. Maybe the Bain attacks are working.

[bore]

Despite the fact that economy  is going back to recession and the ACA mandate is gonna be thrown out there seems to be a resistence to Romney.  Even if Portman is selected the numbers in VA still might hold up and Obama will still wind out making it out of this economic turmoil.

No one in VA knows who Portman is.

No one in OH knows who Portman is.