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Author Topic: Miles' Election Map Thread  (Read 33104 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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« on: July 02, 2012, 02:47:51 am »
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This was mostly inspired by Homely's great work on his thread. Basically, I wanted somewhere to post my maps other than the Gallery, ya know? Anyway, for now, this will be a repository for the maps that I have already made and I'll post new ones as I create them! Most of the maps I make are broken down by CD, so I thought that this would be the appropriate board for them!

To open this thread, I have the 2008 Louisiana Senate election by precinct; I've been working on it for the last week or so! I did CD6 a few months ago and just finished the other 5. Enjoy!



CD1


CD2


CD3


CD4


CD5


CD6
« Last Edit: July 07, 2012, 12:17:20 am by MilesC56 »Logged


Senator bore
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« Reply #1 on: July 02, 2012, 04:10:03 am »
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Great work, and a very interesting map. What's really interesting is the spotty nature of the map (as in there is no stretch of uninterrupted republican or democratic territory, apart from maybe the south east). Is this because all the small democratic towns have high black populations, or is something else at play?
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Miles
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« Reply #2 on: July 02, 2012, 04:27:23 am »
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Yes, the black vote, especially in the rural north, tends to be compressed into fairly compact precincts in the towns. In the rural river parishes (the middle part of CD2), the black voters are more spread out.

Landrieu really had a strong showing with white voters in the eastern part of the coastline (the bottom half of CD1) as well as in suburban New Orleans (where the Landrieu name plays well).

Here's a comparison of Landrieu and Obama by CD:

CD1
Obama- 25%
Landrieu- 43%

CD2
Obama- 73%
Landrieu- 79%

CD3
Obama- 34%
Landrieu- 48%

CD4
Obama- 39%
Landrieu- 51%

CD5
Obama- 36%
Landrieu- 47%

CD6
Obama- 31%
Landrieu- 43%

She outperformed Obama by the greatest margin in CD1, where she ran 36 points ahead of him. Again, even though its based in the conservative areas of Greater New Orleans, the Landrieu name is a venerable asset.
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homelycooking
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« Reply #3 on: July 02, 2012, 08:11:24 am »
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Congratulations, Miles, you've done some great work here. Could we have some insets of the larger cities (NOLA, Red Stick, Shreveport, etc.)?
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« Reply #4 on: July 02, 2012, 08:15:40 am »
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Yes, the black vote, especially in the rural north, tends to be compressed into fairly compact precincts in the towns. In the rural river parishes (the middle part of CD2), the black voters are more spread out.

Landrieu really had a strong showing with white voters in the eastern part of the coastline (the bottom half of CD1)
The oil spill may have helped. (Beyond the obvious and larger factors of French Name and The Landrieu Name, obviously.)
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"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
Miles
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« Reply #5 on: July 02, 2012, 08:59:07 am »
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Yes, the black vote, especially in the rural north, tends to be compressed into fairly compact precincts in the towns. In the rural river parishes (the middle part of CD2), the black voters are more spread out.

Landrieu really had a strong showing with white voters in the eastern part of the coastline (the bottom half of CD1)
The oil spill may have helped. (Beyond the obvious and larger factors of French Name and The Landrieu Name, obviously.)

This was before the oil spill. Though, I think Landrieu's efforts to secure funds after Hurricane Katrina helped her in that region. The oil spill will help her going forward though.

Congratulations, Miles, you've done some great work here. Could we have some insets of the larger cities (NOLA, Red Stick, Shreveport, etc.)?


Sure, here are a few urban parishes: (I'll post Orleans and Jefferson later today)

Baton Rouge


Lake Charles


Shreveport


Lafayette


She won all of those parishes except Lafayette (where she lost by 10,000 votes, but its though sledding for any Democrat now there).

Also, I took a bit of a shortcut. DRA has Presidential data by precinct uploaded; with most of the cities, I assumed that if a precinct was >90% Obama, it was also >90% Landrieu. Thats probably the case for virtually all of them anyway.
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #6 on: July 02, 2012, 09:01:54 am »
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Yes, the black vote, especially in the rural north, tends to be compressed into fairly compact precincts in the towns. In the rural river parishes (the middle part of CD2), the black voters are more spread out.

Landrieu really had a strong showing with white voters in the eastern part of the coastline (the bottom half of CD1)
The oil spill may have helped. (Beyond the obvious and larger factors of French Name and The Landrieu Name, obviously.)

This was before the oil spill.
Brainfart. My apologies.
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"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
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« Reply #7 on: July 02, 2012, 05:48:56 pm »
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This is very impressive work Miles.  Well done!  Smiley
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Miles
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« Reply #8 on: July 03, 2012, 11:14:07 am »
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As promised, here's a close up of New Orleans!

This is most of Orleans parish plus northern Jefferson parish. (I grew up there and I've always considered those areas of Jefferson to be basically part of NOLA anyway, lol).



This is very impressive work Miles.  Well done!  Smiley

Thanks!
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« Reply #9 on: July 03, 2012, 04:03:32 pm »
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Good computer software skills there.

I do believe this will be the last map showing a Democratic Senate victory in Louisiana for quite some time
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Miles
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« Reply #10 on: July 04, 2012, 12:35:16 pm »
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Happy 4th of July everyone!

My next post: NC 2010 Congress. I'll start rolling out individual CDs over the next few days.



Also, you can just right-click the image to view the larger version in a new tab, but just in case, here's a link to view the full size map.
« Last Edit: July 07, 2012, 12:12:21 am by MilesC56 »Logged


homelycooking
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« Reply #11 on: July 04, 2012, 12:45:36 pm »
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I love you, Miles.
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Miles
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« Reply #12 on: July 04, 2012, 12:52:43 pm »
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I love you, Miles.

Hahaha Smiley

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« Reply #13 on: July 04, 2012, 02:22:31 pm »
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I love you, Miles.
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My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #14 on: July 04, 2012, 02:26:20 pm »
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Very nice.
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"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
Miles
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« Reply #15 on: July 04, 2012, 03:29:02 pm »
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Here are the first 3 CDs:






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Miles
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« Reply #16 on: July 06, 2012, 02:55:32 pm »
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And for everything else:



















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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #17 on: July 06, 2012, 05:50:04 pm »
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Finally, one last thing with the NC 2010 Congressional elections. This is the overall Democratic vote compared to the overall Republican vote.

One of the things I like about this particular election is it shows how an effective gerrymander works. The Democratic candidates, aggregately, only got 45% of the votes cast, but held 7 of the 13 seats (and barely lost the 8th one).



« Last Edit: July 09, 2012, 02:08:20 am by MilesC56 »Logged


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« Reply #18 on: July 06, 2012, 08:01:07 pm »
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How narrow is that little connection that keeps this district contiguous?
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FBF
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« Reply #19 on: July 06, 2012, 09:15:43 pm »
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Damn Miles, this is incredible! Cheesy
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Miles
MilesC56
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E: -1.42, S: 4.35

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« Reply #20 on: July 06, 2012, 10:09:35 pm »
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How narrow is that little connection that keeps this district contiguous?

It uses touch-point contiguity. When he drew the districts back in 2001, that was the most efficient way for Brad Miller to include that portion of central Greensboro into his 13th district (thereby picking up Democratic voters) while still keeping the 6th a contiguous GOP vote sink.

Here's a close-up from DRA:

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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #21 on: July 06, 2012, 11:28:26 pm »
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Damn Miles, this is incredible! Cheesy

'Just trying to keep up with you and Homely Wink
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #22 on: July 07, 2012, 03:56:35 am »
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The Myrick map is hilarious.
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"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
mondale84
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« Reply #23 on: July 07, 2012, 06:54:25 am »
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Good computer software skills there.

I do believe this will be the last map showing a Democratic Senate victory in Louisiana for quite some time

Famous last words...

BTW great job, Miles! Stunning work!
« Last Edit: July 07, 2012, 06:57:45 am by mondale84 »Logged


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Miles
MilesC56
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E: -1.42, S: 4.35

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« Reply #24 on: July 07, 2012, 11:20:16 am »
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The Myrick map is hilarious.

That's actually the district where I'm registered. Myrick was always popular despite some many of her outlandish views.
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