Miles' Election Map Thread

[Miles]

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Excellent work! 

[JerryArkansas]

Great work Miles.

[Miles]

Ross was shut out of Benton County and Pryor was four votes away from losing his only precinct.

[MarkUterus]

Just wanted to say that I just spent a good hour scouring this thread. Thanks for the maps! Wow, it really goes to show just how unpopular Brownback is if he lost half of Mission Hills (even though he won re-election)...

[Miles]

^ Thanks!

Yeah, Brownback won Mission Hills barely (51/49); also, FWIW, the rest of the municipal breakdowns for the Governor' race are on page 55/56 of this report. The biggest municipality that Davis won was Overland Park.

[Miles]

Now for something quite different; I suppose I'm a few Hours early for this to be a #ThrowbackThursday post, but here ya go.

One of the fun facts about Louisiana is that its had more constitutions (11) than any other state. The current version was the product of a convention called during Edwin Edwards' first term, in 1973. The Constitution before that was from the early 1920's and had over 500 (!) amendments. The convention of 1973 started with a great deal of hope and enthusiasm, but turned into something of a cluster. Still, the legislators came up with a draft and put it up for a vote in April 1974.

I've been looking around for a while for a parish-level map of the vote; I couldn't find it anywhere until I recently thought to just request data from the secretary of state!

(And yes, as I've done a few times before, I used the LA colors (purple/gold) instead of red/blue )



As far as the coalitions go, I was actually expecting something that looked like the current D/R coalition. The new constitution expanded the jurisdiction/taxing power of local governments, so I naturally expected the more fiscally conservative areas to be against it. That pretty much holds up in the north. From what I understand, most of the younger, reform-minded legislators who pushed hardest for the new constitution were from the New Orleans metro/eastern Acadiana, which must be why it did so well there.

Also of note is that the jungle primary was established through this constitution.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Could you make a precinct map of the 2012 Presidential Election in West Virginia?

[Miles]

^ Sadly, in all the years I've been going to the WV SOS site, I've never seen precinct results.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

^ Sadly, in all the years I've been going to the WV SOS site, I've never seen precinct results.

Darn!  Could you do Salt Lake County, Utah for 2012?  Or Adams County for the 2014 Senatorial Race? 

[Miles]

^ I'll see about Salt Lake, UT.

Adams, CO was literally the only county in CO that I had issues getting precinct results for.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

^ I'll see about Salt Lake, UT.

Adams, CO was literally the only county in CO that I had issues getting precinct results for.

Cool, thanks!
 

[Miles]

^ I'll see about Salt Lake, UT.

Adams, CO was literally the only county in CO that I had issues getting precinct results for.

Cool, thanks!

For Salt Lake County, I can't find a shapefile for 2012. The good news is that I requested precinct results from the county and they also sent me a list of precinct codes/locations for 2012. Hopefully, the lines didn't change that much from 2008 and I'll be able to cobble something together using the DRA shapefile.

[Miles]

Many thanks to Cinyc, who helped me understand the program(s) that I used to generate this; it would have taken me at least a few more weeks to get to this otherwise.

[Miles]

Sean Haugh's performance by precinct:



Columbus and Swain counties would have almost certainly flipped to Hagan without Haugh on the ballot, likely Cawsell too. Haugh acted more like a conservaDem protest vote more than anything else.

[badgate]

Many thanks to Cinyc, who helped me understand the program(s) that I used to generate this; it would have taken me at least a few more weeks to get to this otherwise.

[Miles]

Continuing my streak of #TBT posts, as he's been in the news lately, this was the last time that David Duke was on the ballot. This was LA-01, which happens to by my home district, in 1999. There was a special election after Bob Livingston resigned his seat.

The contest basically turned into a three-way between candidates named "David." Dave Treen was the former Governor; he was probably the most non-ideological of the bunch and I'm sure my family members would have supported him. David Duke carried LA-01 the last time he ran for Congress, in his race against Bennett Johnston. And finally, David Vitter was an up-and-coming younger legislator from Metairie.

Duke retained strong support from 1) rural voters in the Florida Parishes and 2) (presumably white) working-class voters in southern Jefferson Parish.

Vitter beat out Duke largely by putting up overwhelming margins in his State House seat (the cluster of dark blue). Notice that if you move just east of the Vitter's blue cluster, his support drops off noticeably. Thats my home neighborhood of Lakeview; its the Republican-leaning part of Orleans Parish. Its generally more socially moderate, so Vitter and Duke were relatively bad fits for the area.

Treen's formula for getting first place was run up the score in St. Tammany Parish plus finishing second in Jefferson.

[Joe Republic]

"Monica Monica"?

[Miles]

^ Yep! Not a typo!

[smoltchanov]

And Bill Strain seems to be a rural conservative Democrat from NW part of the district. Am i correct? If so - he is, probably, a person Vitter owes his victory over Duke here, and all career that followed...

[Miles]

^ That might be a good way to look at it. He's the cousin of Mike Strain (R), the current Ag Commissioner.

Maybe, but I'm sure if Vitter didn't win this, it would have have found something else.

[Miles]

The Louisiana Senate primary!

Kennedy (blue) - 25%
Campbell (red) - 17.5%
Boustany (purple) - 15%
Fayard (yellow) - 12.5%
Fleming (green) - 10.5%

Cao (cyan) and Duke (orange) only carried two or three precincts each. Any other candidate who won a precinct is teal.



New Orleans:



^ As expected, Campbell did better in black areas, while Fayard won white liberal areas. In New Orleans east, there's a fair Vietnamese population - notice Cao won three precincts there, despite taking 1.09% overall.

Baton Rouge/Lafayette:



Lake Charles, where Gary Landrieu won one random precinct:



Alexandria:



Northern LA:

[Torie]

Wonderful maps showing regional voting patterns, just wonderful.

[Miles]

^ Thanks!

Here's one of MN. Comparing HRC 's margins (red) to the DFL Congressional candidates (blue):

[Heisenberg]

Miles, since you didn't mention it, and I couldn't find them, could you please tell me where the precincts Duke won are? And thanks for the maps, I love them!