Miles' Election Map Thread

[Miles]

This was mostly inspired by Homely's great work on his thread. Basically, I wanted somewhere to post my maps other than the Gallery, ya know? Anyway, for now, this will be a repository for the maps that I have already made and I'll post new ones as I create them! Most of the maps I make are broken down by CD, so I thought that this would be the appropriate board for them!

To open this thread, I have the 2008 Louisiana Senate election by precinct; I've been working on it for the last week or so! I did CD6 a few months ago and just finished the other 5. Enjoy!



CD1


CD2


CD3


CD4


CD5


CD6

[Miles]

Yes, the black vote, especially in the rural north, tends to be compressed into fairly compact precincts in the towns. In the rural river parishes (the middle part of CD2), the black voters are more spread out.

Landrieu really had a strong showing with white voters in the eastern part of the coastline (the bottom half of CD1) as well as in suburban New Orleans (where the Landrieu name plays well).

Here's a comparison of Landrieu and Obama by CD:

CD1
Obama- 25%
Landrieu- 43%

CD2
Obama- 73%
Landrieu- 79%

CD3
Obama- 34%
Landrieu- 48%

CD4
Obama- 39%
Landrieu- 51%

CD5
Obama- 36%
Landrieu- 47%

CD6
Obama- 31%
Landrieu- 43%

She outperformed Obama by the greatest margin in CD1, where she ran 36 points ahead of him. Again, even though its based in the conservative areas of Greater New Orleans, the Landrieu name is a venerable asset.

[Miles]

Yes, the black vote, especially in the rural north, tends to be compressed into fairly compact precincts in the towns. In the rural river parishes (the middle part of CD2), the black voters are more spread out.

Landrieu really had a strong showing with white voters in the eastern part of the coastline (the bottom half of CD1)

The oil spill may have helped. (Beyond the obvious and larger factors of French Name and The Landrieu Name, obviously.)

This was before the oil spill. Though, I think Landrieu's efforts to secure funds after Hurricane Katrina helped her in that region. The oil spill will help her going forward though.

Congratulations, Miles, you've done some great work here. Could we have some insets of the larger cities (NOLA, Red Stick, Shreveport, etc.)?

Sure, here are a few urban parishes: (I'll post Orleans and Jefferson later today)

Baton Rouge


Lake Charles


Shreveport


Lafayette


She won all of those parishes except Lafayette (where she lost by 10,000 votes, but its though sledding for any Democrat now there).

Also, I took a bit of a shortcut. DRA has Presidential data by precinct uploaded; with most of the cities, I assumed that if a precinct was >90% Obama, it was also >90% Landrieu. Thats probably the case for virtually all of them anyway.

[Miles]

As promised, here's a close up of New Orleans!

This is most of Orleans parish plus northern Jefferson parish. (I grew up there and I've always considered those areas of Jefferson to be basically part of NOLA anyway, lol).

This is very impressive work Miles.  Well done! 

Thanks!

[Miles]

Happy 4th of July everyone!

My next post: NC 2010 Congress. I'll start rolling out individual CDs over the next few days.



Also, you can just right-click the image to view the larger version in a new tab, but just in case, here's a link to view the full size map.

[Miles]

I love you, Miles.

Hahaha

[Miles]

Here are the first 3 CDs:

[Miles]

And for everything else:

[Miles]

Finally, one last thing with the NC 2010 Congressional elections. This is the overall Democratic vote compared to the overall Republican vote.

One of the things I like about this particular election is it shows how an effective gerrymander works. The Democratic candidates, aggregately, only got 45% of the votes cast, but held 7 of the 13 seats (and barely lost the 8th one).

[Miles]

How narrow is that little connection that keeps this district contiguous?

It uses touch-point contiguity. When he drew the districts back in 2001, that was the most efficient way for Brad Miller to include that portion of central Greensboro into his 13th district (thereby picking up Democratic voters) while still keeping the 6th a contiguous GOP vote sink.

Here's a close-up from DRA:

[Miles]

Damn Miles, this is incredible!

'Just trying to keep up with you and Homely

[Miles]

The Myrick map is hilarious.

That's actually the district where I'm registered. Myrick was always popular despite some many of her outlandish views.

[Miles]

I'm a little surprised Hendersonville doesn't have any D precincts.  Some of the downtown area has an "old hippie" vibe.

Well, Jeff Miller was (is) based in Hendersonville. Even by state standards, its a very strong Republican county.

[Miles]

Enjoy, everyone! I'll have CD breakdowns for this as well



Link to full-scale image.

[Miles]

Perdue performance vs. McCrory performance:

[Miles]

'Thinking about what to do next. Hagan/Dole and SC 2010 Congress are what I'm considering.

Any thoughts?

[Miles]

What explains the Democratic strength in those small mountainous counties in the Smoky Mountains?

That handful of counties, centered around Buncombe, has usually been Democratic in state politics.

I'm actually not sure; my guess is that since its a very poor area, social issues aren't enough to make them a Republican-voting area.

With Perdue specifically, I'm sure her ad with Andy Griffith played well there.

[Miles]

Ok, I've decided to do Hagan/Dole next.

[Miles]

AHH!! I just realized that I forgot to account for absentee and one-stop voting in about a dozen counties in the NC Governor map. I'll work on fixing that too.

[Miles]

Ok, here's the revised NC 2008 Governor map:



The one-stop/absentee votes, which I forgot to add in the first iteration, skewed noticeably towards Perdue.

[Miles]

'Almost done with Hagan/Dole. Should be posted by tomorrow.

[Miles]

'Almost done with Hagan/Dole. Should be posted by tomorrow.

Ok, I'm a bit early, but here we go:

[Miles]

Pretty cool maps!
edit: Also maybe more Native Americans?

That's just a couple of precincts at the western edge of it.

Also in Robeson county, where the Lumbee tribe is located. Dole actually performed well there because she introduced bills aimed at recognizing the Lumbee. Perdue and Dalton each got 70% in Robeson, but Dole held Hagan to only 59%.

[Miles]

Pretty cool maps!

The Hagan Dole map actually looks more GOP friendly than the Perdue McCrory one, because I see more blue. I guess Hagan derived her support more from urban and suburban areas moreso that Perdue, who was stronger on rural areas.

Hagan won by 8.5% while Perdue id by 3.4% and still she carried more precints than the senator? Surprising

Well, that attests to how urbanized the state is becoming; voters are becoming more concentrated in the smaller city precincts.

Perdure swept most of the rural east, but she got blown away in Greater Charlotte, so those kinda cancelled each other out.

[Miles]

'Expanding my range to Virginia: