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Keystone Phil
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Posts: 52,607


« on: January 20, 2005, 03:48:12 PM »


VULNERABLE REPUBLICANS

PA: Santorum (against Barbara Hafer, Bob Casey, or Chris Heinz)

I think you have it mixed up. Against Barbara Hafer, Santorum would be the clear favorite.
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 52,607


« Reply #1 on: January 20, 2005, 03:58:01 PM »


Well...no. It is lean Republican but in a Casey vs. Santorum situation, it would be lean Dem.
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #2 on: January 20, 2005, 05:24:57 PM »

Well...no. It is lean Republican but in a Casey vs. Santorum situation, it would be lean Dem.

But as of right now with no clear front runner for the Democrats it leans Republican, right?  Hey Phil, lets say Casey does run.  Wouldnt it still lean Republican or almost be neutral due to Santorum being the incumbent?

Right now it is looking good for Santorum.

If Casey runs, it's lean Dem. Casey would win it.
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Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


« Reply #3 on: January 20, 2005, 05:39:00 PM »

If Chafee is in danger of losing his seat, I'd forsee him pulling a Jeffords to stay safe.

One Democratic poll had him down 20 points.
DSCC Poll. 1/11-13. MoE 4.4% (No trend lines):

    Chafee (R) 32
    Langevin (D) 52

Yes, another DSCC poll showing one of their potential candidates with a huge lead. Once again, the DSCC put out a poll showing Hoeffel about to beat Specter.
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