Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 26, 2014, 10:11:30 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2012 Elections (Moderators: Mr. Morden, Bacon King, Sheriff Buford TX Justice)
| | |-+  Of these four, who do you think is most likely to be Romney's running mate?
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Poll
Question: Who is the most likely?
Tim Pawlenty   -4 (7.3%)
Rob Portman   -37 (67.3%)
Paul Ryan   -10 (18.2%)
Bobby Jindal   -4 (7.3%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 55

Author Topic: Of these four, who do you think is most likely to be Romney's running mate?  (Read 999 times)
They call me PR
Progressive Realist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5385
United States


View Profile
« on: July 05, 2012, 08:08:15 pm »
Ignore

Based on this RealClearPolitics article:

Quote
Mitt Romney may be tight-lipped about his vice presidential short list, warning that only he and longtime aide Beth Myers know who is on it, but a close examination of the campaign's activity suggests four contenders have risen through the ranks: Former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, Ohio Sen. Rob Portman, Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan and Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal.

New Hampshire Sen. Kelly Ayotte and Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell may be considered wild cards, and Romney has said he’s thoroughly vetting Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, though the first-term lawmaker’s status appears unchanged.

Final short lists tend to have three names: Barack Obama’s trio included Joe Biden, Tim Kaine and Evan Bayh. John McCain’s final three were Romney, Pawlenty and Joe Lieberman, though Sarah Palin ultimately leapfrogged them all.

In this case, though, the presumptive Republican nominee has a reputation for gathering copious amounts of data to make his decisions, and that’s why a pick out of leftfield, like McCain’s choice of Palin, is unlikely. Romney doesn’t rely on his gut; he deliberates. That was true when he was considering this presidential run and asked his team for game plans and each member of his family for their input.

And for years, insiders have praised his preparation, saying that he plays the role of a devil’s advocate. Those who work for him now after logging time on McCain’s 2008 campaign say he was the smartest, most prepared surrogate for the Arizona senator. Senior House Republican aides say that when he started working with them on several initiatives before the midterm elections, he challenged some of the material they offered to him for preparation. In other words, he was a tough sell who needed more than talking points and wanted to see data. In this way, he and Portman are like-minded, but it shows that each of his potential running mates will undergo a thorough testing on various fronts.

more: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2012/07/05/romneys_vp_short_list_it_may_be_down_to_four_114698.html

I would say Portman is most likely at this point.
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8596
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: July 05, 2012, 08:21:52 pm »
Ignore

The GOP base at-large getting behind a former Hindu guy?

We're talking about the same Republican Party aren't we?
Logged

NHI
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3216


P
View Profile
« Reply #2 on: July 05, 2012, 08:22:55 pm »
Ignore

Ryan or Jindal. I'm going against the conventional wisdom. I don't think he'll pick Portman, and I don't see him picking Pawlenty, considering the Obamney Comment from 2011.
Logged

‎"Our president thinks this country's in decline. It is if he's president. It's not if I'm president." -- Mitt Romney

Iron King SJoyce
sjoycefla
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8787
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: July 05, 2012, 08:26:10 pm »
Ignore

Portman seems the most bland of them all; if not him, then T-Paw. Jindal and Ryan are exciting, so Romney's probably not gonna pick em.

Also, write-in: Louie Gohmert.
Logged

Averroës Nix
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9646
United States


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: July 05, 2012, 08:27:14 pm »
Ignore

I find it hilarious that anyone is taking Pawlenty as a serious contender at this point.
Logged

Supersonic
SupersonicVenue
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4969
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: 0.35


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: July 05, 2012, 08:33:15 pm »
Ignore

Portman absolutely.
Logged

Being a Libertarian is like having a fever, either you sweat it out or you die from it.
Sibboleth Bist
Realpolitik
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 56210
Saint Helena


View Profile WWW
« Reply #6 on: July 05, 2012, 08:43:04 pm »
Ignore

Some sociopath in a bad suit. Does it really matter which?
Logged

Fmr. President & Senator Polnut
polnut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12820
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: July 05, 2012, 08:48:05 pm »
Ignore

In order...
1. Portman - from Ohio, (kind of) keeps a focus on economics, makes Romney look interesting in comparison.... and from Ohio.

2. Ryan - this would be the gutsy move, it's a tip of the hat to the further-right, again, economic focus (but would have to dance around his comments about removing $1 trillion), also he's young and could serve in setting up a succession.

3. Pawlenty - might help in the rust-belt... but probably not much. The main reason he's out of contention "Obamneycare".


....
....
....
....
4. Jindal - suicide move.
Logged


Dogma is a comfortable thing, it saves you from thought - Sir Robert Menzies
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13903
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: July 05, 2012, 08:57:08 pm »
Ignore

Ryan.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  »

- Charles de Gaulle


Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
They call me PR
Progressive Realist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5385
United States


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: July 05, 2012, 09:25:56 pm »
Ignore

Some sociopath in a bad suit. Does it really matter which?

Good post.
Logged
Lincoln Republican
Winfield
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10444


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: July 05, 2012, 09:28:22 pm »
Ignore

As I've said all along, Portman.

Pawlenty and Jindal are non starters.

Ryan has too much budget baggage to appeal to swing voters.
Logged




WORST PRESIDENT SINCE WORLD WAR II
#Ready4Nixon
Cathcon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14900
United States


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: July 05, 2012, 09:30:38 pm »
Ignore

I say out of these four, Paul Ryan. But I think Portman, with his experience in both houses, as a trade rep, and being from the necessary state of Ohio, might make a good pick.
Logged

Comrade Funk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 634
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.55, S: -6.96

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #12 on: July 05, 2012, 10:06:42 pm »
Ignore

Portman...which is meh.
Logged

We need a public option

Quote from: President Harry S. Truman
“We should resolve now that the health of this nation is a national concern; that financial barriers in the way of attaining health shall be removed
Senator Alfred F. Jones
Alfred F. Jones
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8297
United States


View Profile
« Reply #13 on: July 05, 2012, 10:06:54 pm »
Ignore

As I've said all along, Portman.

Pawlenty and Jindal are non starters.

Ryan has too much budget baggage to appeal to swing voters.

And I am steadfast in my belief that the necessary state is Florida.
Logged



There is a lot of humor to be mined from this as the mind of LBJ in the body of an 18 month old baby girl is quite hilarious.

Alfred is the Atlasian equivalent of a malevolent deity.

RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13903
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: July 05, 2012, 10:11:52 pm »
Ignore

As I've said all along, Portman.

Pawlenty and Jindal are non starters.

Ryan has too much budget baggage to appeal to swing voters.

And I am steadfast in my belief that the necessary state is Florida.

I think Virginia's the key, but that's just me. Certainly if Obama wins Virginia again he's won a second term IMO.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  »

- Charles de Gaulle


Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
Fmr. President & Senator Polnut
polnut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12820
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #15 on: July 05, 2012, 10:18:32 pm »
Ignore

As I've said all along, Portman.

Pawlenty and Jindal are non starters.

Ryan has too much budget baggage to appeal to swing voters.

And I am steadfast in my belief that the necessary state is Florida.

I think Virginia's the key, but that's just me. Certainly if Obama wins Virginia again he's won a second term IMO.


I think you're right... if VA has gone Obama, this is probably what the map looks like...



Logged


Dogma is a comfortable thing, it saves you from thought - Sir Robert Menzies
Senator Alfred F. Jones
Alfred F. Jones
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8297
United States


View Profile
« Reply #16 on: July 05, 2012, 10:22:30 pm »
Ignore

Florida and the blue wall are 271 votes.
Logged



There is a lot of humor to be mined from this as the mind of LBJ in the body of an 18 month old baby girl is quite hilarious.

Alfred is the Atlasian equivalent of a malevolent deity.

Iron King SJoyce
sjoycefla
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8787
United States


View Profile
« Reply #17 on: July 05, 2012, 10:34:53 pm »
Ignore

Florida will certainly be the closest (except in my dreams, where it's New Mexico), but does that necessarily equate to most crucial?
Logged

Cory
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1259


P
View Profile
« Reply #18 on: July 06, 2012, 04:03:52 pm »
Ignore

Portman or Jindal I think (voted Portman). I honestly don't get why Pawlenty is being mentioned at this point, what does he bring to the ticket? Never mind "Obamneycare", although I think that saying would come out either way.

I think Jindal can bring more to the ticket then most people seem to think. He's a popular young Southern Conservative Governor who actually is known for being very intelligent and brings some excitement to the ticket. I think he could rally the base (his ethnicity won't matter, it will only help I say). And also let's be honest, Jindal is a good "optic" for the GOP as well. Also, being on the ticket in 2012 could help him get more recognition going into 2016 (If Mitt losses). But we can't assume that, so maybe Jindal would stay off the ticket fearing that he might actually be stuck being Romney's Vice-President.

Side note: I think a problem for Romney could be that if he picks a minority or woman it will be seen as a gimmick to "compete" with Obama being black. Like McCain did in 2008.

I think Portman is the more traditional choice. He's a Midwestern Senator who appeals to conservatives and isn't to "flashy". He could bring balance to the ticket without being seen as some kind of "gimmick" (i.e, Palin 2008). He also has a working relationship with Romney personally, so they kind of "jive", if you will. If I had to bet I would say Portman is the pick.

As for Ryan, I don't know. I think after the 2012 election (especially if Romney wins) there could very well be a serious challenge to Boehner for Speaker. I think Eric Cantor and Paul Ryan are two possibilities. That being said if Romney wind Ryan may deliberately stay away from the position in anticipation of a tough midterm in 2014, if he plans to run for President in 2016.

I'm convinced that Rubio will not be on the ticket and was never seriously considered by the Romney folks. Same for Christie. I really wish the media would stop harping on them so much. At this point I'm sure the short list for Romney's VP is Rob Portman, Bobby Jindal, Kelly Ayotte, and Paul Ryan.
Logged
WhyteRain
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 952
Political Matrix
E: 6.19, S: -2.78

P

View Profile
« Reply #19 on: July 07, 2012, 11:22:21 am »
Ignore

I picked Ryan of Wisconsin.

If Romney can't win Ohio w/o Portman, he's dead anyway.  Besides, I saw an article recently that showed that Portman added just one point to Romney in Ohio.  Also, Portman is linked to Bush.

Pawlenty would be O.K. if he hadn't invented the term "ObamneyCare".  Minnesota -- good, but he was a governor and that would put two governors on the ticket.  Actually, having TWO "outsiders" this year might not be bad, considering the reputations of the D.C. politicians.

Jindal -- why?  He's another governor -- bad.  Louisiana and all of that region are safe for Romney.  So what's he got -- dark skin?  It'll look like pandering.  Of course, OTOH, dark skin got Obama elected ... hmmm ... but Jindal doesn't have a flat nose.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 33306
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #20 on: July 07, 2012, 11:23:17 am »
Ignore

Out of these ? Ryan.
Logged
Bushie Likes to Throw Money Around
independentTX
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4385
Virgin Islands, U.S.


View Profile
« Reply #21 on: July 08, 2012, 01:16:20 pm »
Ignore

Also, write-in: Louie Gohmert.

Most. Entertaining. Election. Ever.
Logged

2014 Endorsements
TX-Gov: Davis | TX-Lt. Gov: Van de Putte | TX-AG: Houston | TX-Comptroller: Collier | TX-Land Comm: Cook | TX-Ag Comm: None | TX-RRC: Sitton
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8596
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #22 on: July 08, 2012, 03:55:05 pm »
Ignore

Choose Bush's Budget director! DOOOOOOOOOO IT!
Logged

Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines