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| | | |-+  FL: Rasmussen: Mack ahead 9
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Author Topic: FL: Rasmussen: Mack ahead 9  (Read 684 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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E: -1.03, S: 5.74

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« on: July 11, 2012, 11:11:55 am »
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New Poll: Florida Senator by Rasmussen on 2012-07-09

Summary: D: 37%, R: 46%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Miles
MilesC56
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E: -1.03, S: 5.74

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« Reply #1 on: July 11, 2012, 11:15:52 am »
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This poll was taken over a single day, which seems to be standard practice with Rasmussen now.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #2 on: July 11, 2012, 11:38:50 am »
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Junk poll!
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #3 on: July 11, 2012, 11:40:49 am »
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Junk poll!

I'm being serious. This poll is worse than the one showing Inouye leading by 10.
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My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
Miles
MilesC56
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E: -1.03, S: 5.74

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« Reply #4 on: July 11, 2012, 11:41:56 am »
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Junk poll!
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.10, S: -6.09

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« Reply #5 on: July 11, 2012, 12:45:02 pm »

Hahahaha.
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OC
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: July 11, 2012, 03:09:38 pm »
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According to Rasmussen Romney is ahead of Obama and should be at 270 and Obama at 268.
According to PPP Obama should be comfortably ahead in VA,OH,CO,NH,and NV for a total of 303 electoral votes.

And according to Rasmussen King should be the tie breaking vote
According to PPP Dems should have the 51 votes needed to win the senate.

Junk PPP.
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asexual trans victimologist
Nathan
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« Reply #7 on: July 11, 2012, 04:03:53 pm »
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According to Rasmussen Romney is ahead of Obama and should be at 270 and Obama at 268.
According to PPP Obama should be comfortably ahead in VA,OH,CO,NH,and NV for a total of 303 electoral votes.

And according to Rasmussen King should be the tie breaking vote
According to PPP Dems should have the 51 votes needed to win the senate.

Junk PPP.

Why exactly is 'Junk PPP' an inherently sounder conclusion than 'Junk Rasmussen'? Nate Silver's interpretation of things so far (for example) has been closer to PPP's, and he's assigning PPP a bigger structural bias.
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A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights.

His idea of freedom is - it is a bad thing and should be stopped at all costs.

Nathan-land.  As much fun as watching paint dry... literally.
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olawakandi
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« Reply #8 on: July 11, 2012, 04:06:40 pm »
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And according to Rasmussen King should be the tie breaking vote
According to PPP Dems should have the 51 votes needed to win the senate.

Junk PPP.
[/quote]

Why exactly is 'Junk PPP' an inherently sounder conclusion than 'Junk Rasmussen'? Nate Silver's interpretation of things so far (for example) has been closer to PPP's, and he's assigning PPP a bigger structural bias.
[/quote]

I was referring to the marginal job growth we have had, I am predicting an Obama victory but it will be close and a very contested campaign and will go down to the bitter end.
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morgieb
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« Reply #9 on: July 12, 2012, 02:25:45 am »
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Oh Scott.
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GPORTER
gporter
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« Reply #10 on: July 12, 2012, 03:59:00 pm »
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I find that poll hard to believe. I think Mack will win, call me crazy, but it won't be by nine.
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the birth of modern america & onward timeline(http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=195483.new#new)results of four most previous elections.....
election 1912
Underwood: 267 Cutchens: 264 Lafolette: 0 Debs: 0 266 to win
election 1916
Underwood (i): 224 Curtis: 254 Johnson: 53 266 to win
House Underwood (i): 26 Curtis: 12 Johnson: 10 25 to win
election 1920
Roosevelt: 260 Lowden: 271 McAdoo: 0 266 to win
election 1924
Thomas: 262 Lowden (i): 269 266 to win
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olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: July 13, 2012, 01:53:40 pm »
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I find that poll hard to believe. I think Mack will win, call me crazy, but it won't be by nine.

In defense of Rasmussen QU also had this race deadlock, Nelson is the favorite but it is gonna be close.
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Landslide Lyndon
px75
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E: -2.58, S: -5.22

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« Reply #12 on: July 14, 2012, 05:39:20 am »
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So we had an 18-point swing in a two-months period where nothing significant happened in that race.
Sounds legit.
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Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
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