pbrower2a
Atlas Star
Posts: 26,859
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« on: July 11, 2012, 07:30:41 PM » |
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PPP had President Obama up 6... unless Mitt Romney chose to nominate Senator Paul Ryan, in which case the margin is only 1 for President Obama. I chose to go with that in my map for the Presidential election until Mitt Romney makes a definitive choice. I would do the same with Ohio if Mitt went with Ron Portman.
I may believe that Paul Ryan would be a disastrous choice for Mitt Romney; the Ryan budget that promotes the privatization of Social Security and Medicare would probably lose Florida and Arizona. If I were President Obama I would be delighted to put Wisconsin at risk to make Florida a sure thing.
The record for active Representatives as VP nominees in a Presidential race is execrable in recent years. The last two, both of which came from electoral powerhouses as States (in fact, the same state -- New York!), lost their own states. Geraldine Ferraro may have had the worst campaigner for President as a running mate for decades, but Jack Kemp was a first-rate pol. In view of what happened in 2000 maybe the best thing that could have happened would have been for Kemp to win both the Republican nomination and the Presidency and effectively consigning you-know-who to an oblivion that would have well served America.
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