WI-"The far superior pollster (© Krazen) Marquette" has Obama up 8 (user search)
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  WI-"The far superior pollster (© Krazen) Marquette" has Obama up 8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI-"The far superior pollster (© Krazen) Marquette" has Obama up 8  (Read 2883 times)
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,804
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -9.04

« on: July 11, 2012, 04:46:24 PM »

No.  Romney is likely to gain a few percent and will win something at least 60% of undecideds.  Pretty routine sequence of events really.   
52-48, which you claimed as best-case for Obama, means Romney wins over 80% of undecideds. Elementary-school maths.

Maybe read the first part of the sentence.
You mean the part that you added after I posted?
If the race is 48-45 Obama [...]

And where do you get this number from? Random wishful thinking?
A composite of polls, intelligence, and trends.  Obama is up, but he isn't above 50 and he isn't up 8.  Just like Tammy Baldwin isn't tied with Tommy Thompson like PPP said yesterday.  Use your head with this stuff, everyone knows the weights or sample might be slightly off.     


OK, guy. Obama got 56% in 2008, if you believe his ceiling is 52% and that this poll, as well as the PPP one, is overestimating him, wait and see in november what happens Wink. I think that even if he loses the election, Obama will carry Wisconsin by at least 4-6 points.
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