VA: Ramsussen got Obama ahead of Romney
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  VA: Ramsussen got Obama ahead of Romney
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Author Topic: VA: Ramsussen got Obama ahead of Romney  (Read 1074 times)
Tutankhuman Bakari Sellers
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« on: July 18, 2012, 11:20:57 AM »

O 47 R 46

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/
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Miles
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« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2012, 11:28:03 AM »

Entered.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2012, 12:04:58 PM »

interesting.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #3 on: July 18, 2012, 12:05:44 PM »

Basically no change from June, when Rassy had the race at a tie.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #4 on: July 18, 2012, 12:13:35 PM »


Must be those bain attacks. Romney has tons of money and should be able to heavily advertise in the 11th district that Obama wants to slam those people with tax increases.
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Tutankhuman Bakari Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: July 18, 2012, 01:51:12 PM »

This poll surprises me, I thought he would have both Allen and Romney ahead in VA, cause he has Romney ahead in Iowa. But I do expect Romney/Portman to narrowly win VA.
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #6 on: July 18, 2012, 03:29:10 PM »

I really don't understand why you think that Portman would have any effect whatsoever outside Ohio. Even in Ohio it's not like he's a white-hot superstar or something. Depending on how the campaign goes he might very well help in some way or another, but the phenomenon of simply being Rob Portman is incredibly boring and safe.
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pepper11
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« Reply #7 on: July 18, 2012, 04:06:54 PM »

This poll surprises me, I thought he would have both Allen and Romney ahead in VA, cause he has Romney ahead in Iowa. But I do expect Romney/Portman to narrowly win VA.

Rasmussen had Obama up 9 in March. Not sure why a 1 point race in one of the two most likely tipping point state is a surprise.
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #8 on: July 18, 2012, 04:08:29 PM »

This poll surprises me, I thought he would have both Allen and Romney ahead in VA, cause he has Romney ahead in Iowa. But I do expect Romney/Portman to narrowly win VA.

Rasmussen had Obama up 9 in March. Not sure why a 1 point race in one of the two most likely tipping point state is a surprise.

Because Rasmussen's exhibited a slight-to-moderate Republican bias the past couple of cycles.
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pepper11
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« Reply #9 on: July 18, 2012, 04:14:15 PM »

Bias or no bias, its all relative when you compare only Rasmussen polls. The margin has been 0, 1, and -1 in the last three VA-Rasmussen polls and Obama +9 and + 6 in the previous two. That would suggest a tightening (and stable) race.
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #10 on: July 18, 2012, 04:22:03 PM »

Bias or no bias, its all relative when you compare only Rasmussen polls. The margin has been 0, 1, and -1 in the last three VA-Rasmussen polls and Obama +9 and + 6 in the previous two. That would suggest a tightening (and stable) race.

Definitely, and I think a couple points more Democratic than that is about where we are and where we'll stay absent a major shakeup of the campaign.
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Supersonic
SupersonicVenue
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« Reply #11 on: July 18, 2012, 05:30:29 PM »

Virginia will come down to the wire.

Neither Obama nor Romney will get over 50% here in my view.
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