Purple Strategies: Close races in VA, CO, OH, FL

[Miles]

Report.

VA
Obama- 46%
Romney- 44%

CO
Obama- 45%
Romney- 44%

OH
Obama- 48%
Romney- 45%

FL
Romney- 48%
Obama- 45%


On a lighter note, they also chose handful of companies and asked which candidate voters associate more with those companies:

BMW
Romney- 46%
Obama- 22%

GM
Obama- 55%
Romney- 22%

Apple
Obama- 41%
Romney- 33%

Nike
Obama- 45%
Romney- 29%

Microsoft
Romney- 40%
Obama- 33%

[HagridOfTheDeep]

These numbers seem pretty accurate.

[memphis]

Nike
Obama- 45%
Romney- 29%

You see, Obama is a black.

[Miles]

These numbers seem pretty accurate.

I'd maybe switch VA and OH, but yeah.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

On a lighter note, they also chose handful of companies and asked which candidate voters associate more with those companies:

BMW
Romney- 46%
Obama- 22%

Which is why those who think Obama has any chance of winning South Carolina are delusional.

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

The GM numbers could genuinely be helpful to Obama in Ohio, which is why I'm willing to believe that he's maybe a touch further up there than in Virginia.

[tmthforu94]

These numbers look about right.

[Dereich]

Apple
Obama- 41%
Romney- 33%

Microsoft
Romney- 40%
Obama- 33%

Is this election turning into one of those "I'm a Mac and I'm a PC ads?"

[MorningInAmerica]

This poll is also one of the few Likely Voter polls out there, it seems. They'll all be switching over pretty soon though I imagine.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Wasn't Purple Strategies completely discredited last time they pulled this?

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

Wasn't Purple Strategies completely discredited last time they pulled this?

They're certainly not a 'good' pollster, but this poll doesn't appear to do some of the things that previous ones have done that made them quite so awful.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Same as always Obama is gonna win 268 electoral votes with Iowa being a boarderline battleground state going to him narrowly.  3 states that can put Obama above the 270 is VA, NH and OH. I don't think once Labor day rolls around that will be the only outcome there is with unemployment stalled at 8.0%.

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

Might I remind us all that Virginia and Ohio are doing significantly better, relative to the nadir, than the rest of the country economically?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes, I do consider that, but with state and federal races shaping up in Ohio and VA and redistricting as a wash and Portman is gonna be the likely VP I will give Romney a slight edge in those to state only if Portman is the VP.

[All Along The Watchtower]

I'm surprised CO is so close.

[timothyinMD]

This seems spot on.  I believe at this state in the race Obama has slight leads in Ohio, Colorado, Virginia and Romney a slight edge in Florida.

The Florida internals are intriguing.  It was the only state in which Romney was a net plus on favorable and Obama's job approval is atrocious.  I'm pretty bullish about Romney's Florida prospects

[Zioneer]

Seems legit. Within the margin of error, but still having the incumbent slightly ahead, which is what usually happens.

[Supersonic]

These numbers almost mimic Purple Strategies April poll.

April: CO - tie. OH - Obama +5. VA - Obama +2. FL - Romney +2.
July: CO - Obama +1. OH - Obama +3. VA - Obama +2. FL Romney +3.

This relative closeness of Colorado has to be incredibly encouraging to the Boston team.

[cavalcade]

Maybe just a little too tight on that LV screen (I see CO and VA as more Obama +~4) but I would rather have these guys polling on a regular basis than not.

[Sbane]

CO is certainly a state to watch. The only poll that has shown Obama with a huge lead is PPP. The others show it as being like Virginia. I would also like more Iowa polling....

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

CO is certainly a state to watch. The only poll that has shown Obama with a huge lead is PPP. The others show it as being like Virginia. I would also like more Iowa polling....

I don't see any reason to believe that Obama will exactly romp in Colorado on Election Day, but I also don't see any reason to believe that he'll lose, so these kinds of numbers make sense. Iowa's definitely set to be closer but I'm still not convinced that Romney's minimum path to victory runs through there. I think it'll be quite close to the national PV.

[Tender Branson]

I wish Mason-Dixon or SUSA would release a 10 or 15 swing state batch of polls.

But probably they are not wasting their money until after Labour Day.