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Author Topic: VA: Ramsussen got Obama ahead of Romney  (Read 447 times)
OC
olawakandi
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« on: July 18, 2012, 11:20:57 am »
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O 47 R 46

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/
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MilesC56
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« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2012, 11:28:03 am »
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Entered.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2012, 12:04:58 pm »
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interesting.
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Lief
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« Reply #3 on: July 18, 2012, 12:05:44 pm »
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Basically no change from June, when Rassy had the race at a tie.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #4 on: July 18, 2012, 12:13:35 pm »
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interesting.

Must be those bain attacks. Romney has tons of money and should be able to heavily advertise in the 11th district that Obama wants to slam those people with tax increases.
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OC
olawakandi
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« Reply #5 on: July 18, 2012, 01:51:12 pm »
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This poll surprises me, I thought he would have both Allen and Romney ahead in VA, cause he has Romney ahead in Iowa. But I do expect Romney/Portman to narrowly win VA.
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« Reply #6 on: July 18, 2012, 03:29:10 pm »
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I really don't understand why you think that Portman would have any effect whatsoever outside Ohio. Even in Ohio it's not like he's a white-hot superstar or something. Depending on how the campaign goes he might very well help in some way or another, but the phenomenon of simply being Rob Portman is incredibly boring and safe.
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Professor Nathan: A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights. Can you really trust him?

It's like one minute you're preaching from the pulpit at some exceedingly dull church; the next you're a giving a Womens' Studies lecture at Berkeley.
pepper11
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« Reply #7 on: July 18, 2012, 04:06:54 pm »
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This poll surprises me, I thought he would have both Allen and Romney ahead in VA, cause he has Romney ahead in Iowa. But I do expect Romney/Portman to narrowly win VA.

Rasmussen had Obama up 9 in March. Not sure why a 1 point race in one of the two most likely tipping point state is a surprise.
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Nathan
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« Reply #8 on: July 18, 2012, 04:08:29 pm »
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This poll surprises me, I thought he would have both Allen and Romney ahead in VA, cause he has Romney ahead in Iowa. But I do expect Romney/Portman to narrowly win VA.

Rasmussen had Obama up 9 in March. Not sure why a 1 point race in one of the two most likely tipping point state is a surprise.

Because Rasmussen's exhibited a slight-to-moderate Republican bias the past couple of cycles.
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Professor Nathan: A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights. Can you really trust him?

It's like one minute you're preaching from the pulpit at some exceedingly dull church; the next you're a giving a Womens' Studies lecture at Berkeley.
pepper11
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« Reply #9 on: July 18, 2012, 04:14:15 pm »
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Bias or no bias, its all relative when you compare only Rasmussen polls. The margin has been 0, 1, and -1 in the last three VA-Rasmussen polls and Obama +9 and + 6 in the previous two. That would suggest a tightening (and stable) race.
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Nathan
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« Reply #10 on: July 18, 2012, 04:22:03 pm »
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Bias or no bias, its all relative when you compare only Rasmussen polls. The margin has been 0, 1, and -1 in the last three VA-Rasmussen polls and Obama +9 and + 6 in the previous two. That would suggest a tightening (and stable) race.

Definitely, and I think a couple points more Democratic than that is about where we are and where we'll stay absent a major shakeup of the campaign.
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Professor Nathan: A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights. Can you really trust him?

It's like one minute you're preaching from the pulpit at some exceedingly dull church; the next you're a giving a Womens' Studies lecture at Berkeley.
Supersonic
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« Reply #11 on: July 18, 2012, 05:30:29 pm »
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Virginia will come down to the wire.

Neither Obama nor Romney will get over 50% here in my view.
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Supersonic, registered in Tennessee, Federalist.
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