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September 25, 2016, 09:17:53 pm
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|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Torie)
| | |-+  last time a state voted more the other way
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Author Topic: last time a state voted more the other way  (Read 708 times)
freepcrusher
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« on: July 18, 2012, 11:25:41 pm »
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AL: 1980
AK: 1964
AZ: 1948
AR: 1996
CA: 1980
CO: 2004
CT: 1984
DE: 1988
FL: 1976
GA: 1980
HI: Never
ID: 1936
IL: 1976
IN: 1924
IA: 2000
KS: 1916
KY: 1980
LA: 1996
ME: 1988
MD: 1972
MA: 1956
MI: 1988
MN: 1952
MS: 1980
MO: 1992
MT: 1988
NE: 1932
NV: 2004
NH: 2000
NJ: 1992
NM: 2000
NY: 1956
NC: 1980
ND: 1936
OH: 1972
OK: 1956
OR: 1980
PA: 1952
RI: 1956
SC: 1980
SD: 1988
TN: 1984
TX: 1976
UT: 1948
VT: 1976
VA: 1948
WA: 1980
WV: 1996
WI: 2000
WY: 1916

so with that in mind, is there such thing as a realignment? It seems that not all states partisanship tends to go back quite a ways, though with some it is more unpredictable. It seems that you have more semi-realignments but no earthquakes. If anything 1984 looks like somewhat of a realignment. The west coast states started voting more D than the national average (although Carter conceding early might be the reason they voted more R in 1980) and much of the south (which still had a lot of goodwill left for Carter even in 1980) pretty much became lockstep R.
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mathstatman
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« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2016, 08:53:31 pm »
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I think 1968 was the beginning of a realignment; 1992 the beginning of another one (or perhaps the continuation of the first).
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2016, 08:55:16 pm »
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Don't mean to be a party pooper, but I already did a thread on this

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=211303.0
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My Other 2016 Votes

US Senate: Phil Anderson (L)
US House (WI-01): Jason Lebeck (L)

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I Side With...

Gary Johnson: 93%
Evan McMullin: 66%
Darrell Castle: 59%
Jill Stein: 40%
Donald Trump: 31%
Hillary Clinton: 20%
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d32123
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« Reply #3 on: February 03, 2016, 08:56:52 pm »
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Realignment isn't something that happens overnight.  The American political system has been slowly evolving since the beginning.  This forum seems to fundamentally misunderstand this in favor of simplified models that match their preconceptions of American history.
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I'm not actually a Nazi.

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