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Author Topic: VA: Rasmussen: Kaine barely ahead  (Read 655 times)
MilesC56
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« on: July 19, 2012, 02:02:45 pm »
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New Poll: Virginia Senator by Rasmussen on 2012-7-17

Summary: D: 46%, R: 45%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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MilesC56
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« Reply #1 on: July 19, 2012, 02:04:08 pm »
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Quote from: krazen1211 on July 19, 2012, 08:26:34 am
Kaine has been tarnished with the foul stench of the national Democratic party.


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=37OWL7AzvHo
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: July 19, 2012, 02:13:06 pm »
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Whoever wins the state wins this seat.
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+7.35, +3.65

Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
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Nathan
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« Reply #3 on: July 19, 2012, 02:58:59 pm »
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Quote from: Romney/Ryan 2012! on July 19, 2012, 02:13:06 pm
Whoever wins the state wins this seat.
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Quote from: Averroës Nix on October 18, 2012, 07:59:32 pm
Professor Nathan: A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights. Can you really trust him?

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MilesC56
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« Reply #4 on: July 19, 2012, 04:44:15 pm »
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Quote from: Nathan on July 19, 2012, 02:58:59 pm
Quote from: Romney/Ryan 2012! on July 19, 2012, 02:13:06 pm
Whoever wins the state wins this seat.

I can see a lot of Romney/Kaine ballots in places like VA-09 though.
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morgieb
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« Reply #5 on: July 19, 2012, 05:00:40 pm »
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Rassy having Kaine up by 1 is good news.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #6 on: July 19, 2012, 05:04:28 pm »
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I partially agree with Miles: Allen can only really relax if Romney's winning VA by 3-4.
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+7.35, +3.65

Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
krazen1211
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« Reply #7 on: July 19, 2012, 05:21:19 pm »
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Quote from: Romney/Ryan 2012! on July 19, 2012, 05:04:28 pm
I partially agree with Miles: Allen can only really relax if Romney's winning VA by 3-4.

That runs contrary to several months of Virginia polls where George Allen has consistently performed better than Mitt Romney.


I find it very funny that whomever entered these polls entered them as 'Almost Tied', and 'Kaine barely ahead', respectively.
« Last Edit: July 19, 2012, 05:25:42 pm by krazen1211 »Logged
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #8 on: July 19, 2012, 06:26:07 pm »
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People said back in 2010 that if Harry Reid won in NV, so would Dina Titus. So, I think Obama could carry VA and Kaine lose at the same time... But it is unlikely.
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MilesC56
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« Reply #9 on: July 19, 2012, 09:18:26 pm »
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Quote from: krazen1211 on July 19, 2012, 05:21:19 pm
Quote from: Romney/Ryan 2012! on July 19, 2012, 05:04:28 pm
I partially agree with Miles: Allen can only really relax if Romney's winning VA by 3-4.

That runs contrary to several months of Virginia polls where George Allen has consistently performed better than Mitt Romney.


I find it very funny that whomever entered these polls entered them as 'Almost Tied', and 'Kaine barely ahead', respectively.

Good, I'm glad you noticed that. I did that just for you!

There are still at least a handful of counties in western VA were Obama ran noticeably behind their Democratic average.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #10 on: July 20, 2012, 07:04:18 am »
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Quote from: MilesC56 on July 19, 2012, 09:18:26 pm
Quote from: krazen1211 on July 19, 2012, 05:21:19 pm
Quote from: Romney/Ryan 2012! on July 19, 2012, 05:04:28 pm
I partially agree with Miles: Allen can only really relax if Romney's winning VA by 3-4.

That runs contrary to several months of Virginia polls where George Allen has consistently performed better than Mitt Romney.


I find it very funny that whomever entered these polls entered them as 'Almost Tied', and 'Kaine barely ahead', respectively.

Good, I'm glad you noticed that. I did that just for you!

There are still at least a handful of counties in western VA were Obama ran noticeably behind their Democratic average.



Of course. There are still a handful of counties in eastern VA where Obama ran noticeably ahead of their Democratic average. I call them Fairfax, Loudoun, and Prince William.

That will be where Allen goes for extra votes and likely why he will get 2% more of the vote than Mitt Romney.
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Vosem
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« Reply #11 on: July 20, 2012, 09:07:18 am »
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Quote from: krazen1211 on July 20, 2012, 07:04:18 am
Of course. There are still a handful of counties in eastern VA where Obama ran noticeably ahead of their Democratic average. I call them Fairfax, Loudoun, and Prince William.

But what are their real names?
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oh Vosem, you poor boy...

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At this rate, I'll lean left economically within a year or so Tongue
MD
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« Reply #12 on: July 30, 2012, 04:15:31 pm »
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My gut tells me that Allen wins this by 3 to 4.  A lot was made in 06 regarding his gaffes but he was barely beaten in a Dem wave year.   The R's seem to be motivated so turnout on that side will help Allen. 
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mondale84
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« Reply #13 on: July 30, 2012, 08:40:30 pm »
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Quote from: MD on July 30, 2012, 04:15:31 pm
My gut tells me that Allen wins this by 3 to 4.  A lot was made in 06 regarding his gaffes but he was barely beaten in a Dem wave year.   The R's seem to be motivated so turnout on that side will help Allen. 

Allen was the incumbent and Virginia has changed a lot since '06.
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rbt48
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« Reply #14 on: July 30, 2012, 09:52:40 pm »
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Anyone rember how similar the results were in TX in 1978 with Clements' Governorship win and Tower's Senate win?  They both won by something like 18,000 out of 2+ million votes.  This was the race where Tower refused to shake Krueger's hand at a banquet.

I imagine that Virginia could come down to a similar result with both winners prevailing by similar margins.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #15 on: July 30, 2012, 09:55:31 pm »
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Such a scenario would, IMO, slightly favor Kaine because he has a better chance at nabbing R crossovers than Allen does with Ds.
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+7.35, +3.65

Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
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