Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 23, 2014, 12:12:21 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2012 Elections
| | |-+  2012 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Tender Branson)
| | | |-+  VA: Rasmussen: Kaine barely ahead
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: VA: Rasmussen: Kaine barely ahead  (Read 769 times)
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15606
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 4.52

View Profile
« on: July 19, 2012, 02:02:45 pm »
Ignore

New Poll: Virginia Senator by Rasmussen on 2012-7-17

Summary: D: 46%, R: 45%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Logged


Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15606
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 4.52

View Profile
« Reply #1 on: July 19, 2012, 02:04:08 pm »
Ignore

Kaine has been tarnished with the foul stench of the national Democratic party.


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=37OWL7AzvHo
Logged


RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14663
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: July 19, 2012, 02:13:06 pm »
Ignore

Whoever wins the state wins this seat.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
asexual trans victimologist
Nathan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12643


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: July 19, 2012, 02:58:59 pm »
Ignore

Whoever wins the state wins this seat.
Logged

A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights.

His idea of freedom is - it is a bad thing and should be stopped at all costs.

Nathan-land.  As much fun as watching paint dry... literally.
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15606
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 4.52

View Profile
« Reply #4 on: July 19, 2012, 04:44:15 pm »
Ignore


I can see a lot of Romney/Kaine ballots in places like VA-09 though.
Logged


morgieb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5372
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: July 19, 2012, 05:00:40 pm »
Ignore

Rassy having Kaine up by 1 is good news.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14663
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: July 19, 2012, 05:04:28 pm »
Ignore

I partially agree with Miles: Allen can only really relax if Romney's winning VA by 3-4.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5892


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: July 19, 2012, 05:21:19 pm »
Ignore

I partially agree with Miles: Allen can only really relax if Romney's winning VA by 3-4.

That runs contrary to several months of Virginia polls where George Allen has consistently performed better than Mitt Romney.


I find it very funny that whomever entered these polls entered them as 'Almost Tied', and 'Kaine barely ahead', respectively.
« Last Edit: July 19, 2012, 05:25:42 pm by krazen1211 »Logged
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6663
Spain


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: July 19, 2012, 06:26:07 pm »
Ignore

People said back in 2010 that if Harry Reid won in NV, so would Dina Titus. So, I think Obama could carry VA and Kaine lose at the same time... But it is unlikely.
Logged

My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15606
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 4.52

View Profile
« Reply #9 on: July 19, 2012, 09:18:26 pm »
Ignore

I partially agree with Miles: Allen can only really relax if Romney's winning VA by 3-4.

That runs contrary to several months of Virginia polls where George Allen has consistently performed better than Mitt Romney.


I find it very funny that whomever entered these polls entered them as 'Almost Tied', and 'Kaine barely ahead', respectively.

Good, I'm glad you noticed that. I did that just for you!

There are still at least a handful of counties in western VA were Obama ran noticeably behind their Democratic average.
Logged


krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5892


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: July 20, 2012, 07:04:18 am »
Ignore

I partially agree with Miles: Allen can only really relax if Romney's winning VA by 3-4.

That runs contrary to several months of Virginia polls where George Allen has consistently performed better than Mitt Romney.


I find it very funny that whomever entered these polls entered them as 'Almost Tied', and 'Kaine barely ahead', respectively.

Good, I'm glad you noticed that. I did that just for you!

There are still at least a handful of counties in western VA were Obama ran noticeably behind their Democratic average.



Of course. There are still a handful of counties in eastern VA where Obama ran noticeably ahead of their Democratic average. I call them Fairfax, Loudoun, and Prince William.

That will be where Allen goes for extra votes and likely why he will get 2% more of the vote than Mitt Romney.
Logged
Vosem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5405
United States


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: July 20, 2012, 09:07:18 am »
Ignore

Of course. There are still a handful of counties in eastern VA where Obama ran noticeably ahead of their Democratic average. I call them Fairfax, Loudoun, and Prince William.

But what are their real names?
Logged

Illegally selling arms to North Korea, providing most of the money to anti-Morales rebels in Bolivia, and using the remainder as hush money for his three ex-mistrisses. 
MD
Newbie
*
Posts: 16
View Profile
« Reply #12 on: July 30, 2012, 04:15:31 pm »
Ignore

My gut tells me that Allen wins this by 3 to 4.  A lot was made in 06 regarding his gaffes but he was barely beaten in a Dem wave year.   The R's seem to be motivated so turnout on that side will help Allen. 
Logged
mondale84
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1322
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -3.30

P P P
View Profile
« Reply #13 on: July 30, 2012, 08:40:30 pm »
Ignore

My gut tells me that Allen wins this by 3 to 4.  A lot was made in 06 regarding his gaffes but he was barely beaten in a Dem wave year.   The R's seem to be motivated so turnout on that side will help Allen. 

Allen was the incumbent and Virginia has changed a lot since '06.
Logged


"There are no men like me. There's only me."
rbt48
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 774


View Profile WWW
« Reply #14 on: July 30, 2012, 09:52:40 pm »
Ignore

Anyone rember how similar the results were in TX in 1978 with Clements' Governorship win and Tower's Senate win?  They both won by something like 18,000 out of 2+ million votes.  This was the race where Tower refused to shake Krueger's hand at a banquet.

I imagine that Virginia could come down to a similar result with both winners prevailing by similar margins.
Logged

RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14663
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #15 on: July 30, 2012, 09:55:31 pm »
Ignore

Such a scenario would, IMO, slightly favor Kaine because he has a better chance at nabbing R crossovers than Allen does with Ds.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines