VA: Rasmussen: Kaine barely ahead
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  VA: Rasmussen: Kaine barely ahead
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Author Topic: VA: Rasmussen: Kaine barely ahead  (Read 1729 times)
Miles
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« on: July 19, 2012, 02:02:45 PM »

New Poll: Virginia Senator by Rasmussen on 2012-7-17

Summary: D: 46%, R: 45%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Miles
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« Reply #1 on: July 19, 2012, 02:04:08 PM »

Kaine has been tarnished with the foul stench of the national Democratic party.


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=37OWL7AzvHo
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: July 19, 2012, 02:13:06 PM »

Whoever wins the state wins this seat.
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Nathan
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« Reply #3 on: July 19, 2012, 02:58:59 PM »

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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: July 19, 2012, 04:44:15 PM »


I can see a lot of Romney/Kaine ballots in places like VA-09 though.
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morgieb
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« Reply #5 on: July 19, 2012, 05:00:40 PM »

Rassy having Kaine up by 1 is good news.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #6 on: July 19, 2012, 05:04:28 PM »

I partially agree with Miles: Allen can only really relax if Romney's winning VA by 3-4.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #7 on: July 19, 2012, 05:21:19 PM »
« Edited: July 19, 2012, 05:25:42 PM by krazen1211 »

I partially agree with Miles: Allen can only really relax if Romney's winning VA by 3-4.

That runs contrary to several months of Virginia polls where George Allen has consistently performed better than Mitt Romney.


I find it very funny that whomever entered these polls entered them as 'Almost Tied', and 'Kaine barely ahead', respectively.
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #8 on: July 19, 2012, 06:26:07 PM »

People said back in 2010 that if Harry Reid won in NV, so would Dina Titus. So, I think Obama could carry VA and Kaine lose at the same time... But it is unlikely.
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Miles
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« Reply #9 on: July 19, 2012, 09:18:26 PM »

I partially agree with Miles: Allen can only really relax if Romney's winning VA by 3-4.

That runs contrary to several months of Virginia polls where George Allen has consistently performed better than Mitt Romney.


I find it very funny that whomever entered these polls entered them as 'Almost Tied', and 'Kaine barely ahead', respectively.

Good, I'm glad you noticed that. I did that just for you!

There are still at least a handful of counties in western VA were Obama ran noticeably behind their Democratic average.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #10 on: July 20, 2012, 07:04:18 AM »

I partially agree with Miles: Allen can only really relax if Romney's winning VA by 3-4.

That runs contrary to several months of Virginia polls where George Allen has consistently performed better than Mitt Romney.


I find it very funny that whomever entered these polls entered them as 'Almost Tied', and 'Kaine barely ahead', respectively.

Good, I'm glad you noticed that. I did that just for you!

There are still at least a handful of counties in western VA were Obama ran noticeably behind their Democratic average.



Of course. There are still a handful of counties in eastern VA where Obama ran noticeably ahead of their Democratic average. I call them Fairfax, Loudoun, and Prince William.

That will be where Allen goes for extra votes and likely why he will get 2% more of the vote than Mitt Romney.
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Vosem
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« Reply #11 on: July 20, 2012, 09:07:18 AM »

Of course. There are still a handful of counties in eastern VA where Obama ran noticeably ahead of their Democratic average. I call them Fairfax, Loudoun, and Prince William.

But what are their real names?
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MD
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« Reply #12 on: July 30, 2012, 04:15:31 PM »

My gut tells me that Allen wins this by 3 to 4.  A lot was made in 06 regarding his gaffes but he was barely beaten in a Dem wave year.   The R's seem to be motivated so turnout on that side will help Allen. 
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mondale84
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« Reply #13 on: July 30, 2012, 08:40:30 PM »

My gut tells me that Allen wins this by 3 to 4.  A lot was made in 06 regarding his gaffes but he was barely beaten in a Dem wave year.   The R's seem to be motivated so turnout on that side will help Allen. 

Allen was the incumbent and Virginia has changed a lot since '06.
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rbt48
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« Reply #14 on: July 30, 2012, 09:52:40 PM »

Anyone rember how similar the results were in TX in 1978 with Clements' Governorship win and Tower's Senate win?  They both won by something like 18,000 out of 2+ million votes.  This was the race where Tower refused to shake Krueger's hand at a banquet.

I imagine that Virginia could come down to a similar result with both winners prevailing by similar margins.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #15 on: July 30, 2012, 09:55:31 PM »

Such a scenario would, IMO, slightly favor Kaine because he has a better chance at nabbing R crossovers than Allen does with Ds.
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