What will be the closest state (user search)
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  What will be the closest state (search mode)
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Author Topic: What will be the closest state  (Read 3747 times)
Napoleon
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« on: July 20, 2012, 01:44:36 PM »

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Napoleon
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« Reply #1 on: July 20, 2012, 06:46:12 PM »


Yes but I also think the trends in this particular state couldn't be clearer.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #2 on: July 20, 2012, 09:56:21 PM »

Iowa or Virginia. If Romney wins WI then he's already past 270.

Obviously, re the last part.  You'd pick WI if you think the election would be a big Romney win.

I picked it but I don't think Mitt will have more than 280-290 EVs.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #3 on: July 21, 2012, 06:24:50 PM »


The thing is that there could be a strong trend away from Obama and he could still win. He won it by 14 while winning nationally only by 7 so there is a lot of room for the trend to occur and not flip the state. I don't think the state flips unless Obama loses by about 2-3 points.

Im not saying it will flip though, and Ohio could end up closer than I expect as well.
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