Why is Obama not trying to win SC ? (user search)
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  Why is Obama not trying to win SC ? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why is Obama not trying to win SC ?  (Read 2387 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: July 21, 2012, 12:08:39 AM »
The state would have been quite close I guess, if he actually campaigned there after his 2008 primary win and set up a strong organisation there.

Also, the state has about 30% Blacks, and in recent years has seen many immigrants from other states, making the Whites somewhat more likely to vote for Obama. He probably only needs about 25-30% of Whites to win the state.

Also, the last polls showed a tied race, either Obama ahead by a few points or Romney only ahead by about 5.

Also, Romney did quite badly there in the primary.

Also, Vincent Shaheen did quite well against Niki Haley there in a very Republican year.

...

I would definitely set up a few offices there and invest 5 million in ads and see if the polls move close to a tie.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: July 21, 2012, 12:18:28 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on July 21, 2012, 12:08:39 AM
He probably only needs about 25-30% of Whites to win the state.

Well, more like 32-34% after looking at the 2008 exit poll. He got 26% there in 2008.
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