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| | |-+  Greenland parliamentary election - November 28, 2014
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Author Topic: Greenland parliamentary election - November 28, 2014  (Read 4350 times)
Charlotte Hebdo
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« Reply #50 on: November 29, 2014, 10:04:14 am »
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Regarding why the exit poll was off. They only conducted it in the four largest towns, which basically makes it pointless to make one.
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Charlotte Hebdo
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« Reply #51 on: November 29, 2014, 10:20:51 am »
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As the leader of the largest party Siumut gets to try to form a government first. The "populist bloc" (Siumut, Naleraq and Atassut) has a narrow majority of 16 seats, but there may be too much bad blood betwen Enoksen and some of his old colleagues in Siumut for this to work, though Kielsen and Enoksen are personal friends, which will make it easier.

IA and the their usual allies in the Democrats have 15 seats, so they need Naleraq to join them. Naleraq are against uranium mining as IA, so this may make it easier to agree. One of the three Naleraq MPs is former Ilullissat mayor Anthon Frederiksen whose now dissolved KP party were in coalition with IA and the Democrats in 2009-13, so he has good relations with leading IA and Democrat politicians.

Basically Enoksen is the kingmaker and whoever he chooses gets to govern.
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Charlotte Hebdo
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« Reply #52 on: November 29, 2014, 10:34:42 am »
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Among Danish politicians and Greenlandic business organisations, journalists etc. there is a widespread hope of a broad IA-Siumut coalition to sort out the economic problems and create structural reforms, but I doubt IA will want this. There isn't the necessary trust in Siumut.

Atassut may be reluctant to join a Siumut led coalition after yet another defeat, but they can't really join the other side either, since they become totally irrelevant if they are on the same side as the Democrats.
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Charlotte Hebdo
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« Reply #53 on: November 29, 2014, 02:43:08 pm »
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Good analysis of the campaign by Arctic Journal:

http://arcticjournal.com/politics/1168/editors-briefing-fall-and-rise-siumut
« Last Edit: November 29, 2014, 03:05:32 pm by politicus »Logged

Charlotte Hebdo
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« Reply #54 on: December 04, 2014, 04:25:19 pm »
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Siumut, Atassut and the Democrats have agreed to form a government with a 5/2/2 distribution of portfolios and Kim Kielsen as PM (or Chairman of the Nalaakkersuisut as is the correct title). This is an unusually ideologically consistent government for Greenland uniting the three most right wing parties against the leftists in IA  (Naleraq is impossible to place on a left-right scale). It also unites the pro-uranium mining parties against the more environmentally conscious IA and Naleraq, and this seems to have been important in luring the Democrats away from IA. The coalition has 17 of 31 seats, so it looks fairly stable, though it will be a problem for Siumut that Naleraq can attack their fishing policies from the outside and demand an abolition of quotas on most (or even all)  commercially attractive species, which will likely rip Siumut apart, since many of their MPs from the settlements would agree with Naleraq. 

Anyway, the previous urban vs. "rural" blocks in Greenlandic politics have been unravelled and the new coalition unites coastal settlement interests in Siumut and Atassut with the Nuuk based Democrats and this is in itself a good thing.
« Last Edit: December 04, 2014, 05:05:57 pm by politicus »Logged

ingemann
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« Reply #55 on: December 04, 2014, 05:19:22 pm »
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Interesting coalition if I remember correctly Atassut was also the most "pro-Danish" party before the Democrats, but what I think is good news is the continued support for the uranium mine, while it won't save the Greenlandic economy, it may start making Greenland more attractive for mining companies.
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Charlotte Hebdo
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« Reply #56 on: December 04, 2014, 05:32:42 pm »
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Interesting coalition if I remember correctly Atassut was also the most "pro-Danish" party before the Democrats.

Yes, Atassut means the link (to Denmark) (or more literally the roof raft the keeps a house together) and it was the moderate pro-Community of the Realm option in the 80s and early 90s when it was still an ideologically consistent liberal and unionist party, but when the party started to decline they skipped unionism and most of the liberalism in favour of a populist approach and cooperation with Siumut to cater to clientilistic networks in the (relatively few) settlements where they still have some strength.
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Charlotte Hebdo
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« Reply #57 on: December 05, 2014, 02:05:02 pm »
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Turned out Naleraq was promised to be part of the government and the four parties had already drawn up a 23 page detailed constitution agreement, then their negotiators went back to discuss things with their board and local politicians. In the meantime Siumut got cold feet and decided to ditch them. According to party chairman Hans Enoksen he wasn't informed about this and read it online. Cheating Naleraq like that is bound to backfire later on.
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