MN SUSA: Obama 46 Romney 40

[Minnesota Mike]

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7eeab57a-eb71-47e3-aed7-5cab8493d94f

Obama 46
Romney 40
Other 7
Undecided 7

Down from a double digit lead in previous polls to probably a more realistic split. Still looks safe for Obama.

BTW I hate when they include "other" in a poll.

[NVGonzalez]

Looks like Gary Johnson may have a shot at 2%

[they don't love you like i love you]

I kind of want Romney to make a visit just so I can protest him.

[Lief 🗽]

Isn't SUSA really bad at polling Minnesota for some reason?

[Minnesota Mike]

Isn't SUSA really bad at polling Minnesota for some reason?

Yes. In 2008 they had Obama and McCain basically tied all year.

For your conspiracy theorists  KSTP, which sponsors the SUSA  polls, is owned by Stanley Hubbard who is a major Minnesota GOP donor. 

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Poll entered:

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=2720120719019

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

It's a likely voter poll, whereas SUSA's previous polls had been registered voters, so that accounts for a few percent of the change.  Still, without some confirmation, I'm not prepared to consider Minnesota any closer than 10% right now.

[Tender Branson]

Yeah, that looks alright.

If Obama is ahead by about 1-3% nationally at the moment, then MN should be about 3-5% more DEM than the nation (like it has been in previous elections).

[MorningInAmerica]

This Likely Voter poll uses a party ID of D+6, compared to 2008's D+4

[Tender Branson]

This Likely Voter poll uses a party ID of D+6, compared to 2008's D+4

SUSA's topline results are always one of the best.

The crosstabs have mostly big margins of error though.

For example their latest FL poll was R+2, yet Obama was ahead by 5.