NY-24: Maffei has early lead in rematch
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Author Topic: NY-24: Maffei has early lead in rematch  (Read 1233 times)
Miles
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« on: July 25, 2012, 09:42:41 PM »
« edited: July 25, 2012, 09:49:11 PM by MilesC56 »
It was for the House Majority PAC (D)Sad

Maffei (D)- 44%
Buerkle (R)- 40%


The Green party candidate pulls 5%, which seems a tad high to me.

After respondents were read "balanced, positive" paragraphs about both candidates, Maffei was up 49-40.

Obama also leads Romney 49-39 in the district.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2012, 11:10:20 PM »
Pretty poor for an internal. Sad
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #2 on: July 26, 2012, 07:29:34 PM »
Quote from: MilesC56 on July 25, 2012, 09:42:41 PM
After respondents were read "balanced, positive" paragraphs about both candidates, Maffei was up 49-40.

And I trust a Democratic internal poll to be totally balanced and totally positive. LOL.


Yeah. Tough for Democrats, because Buerkle is a likable Republican, issue-wise.

Still a close race, though.
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Miles
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« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2012, 11:28:03 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Moderate on July 26, 2012, 07:29:34 PM

Yeah. Tough for Democrats, because Buerkle is a likable Republican, issue-wise.

Still a close race, though.

She votes with Republican leadership 95% of the time.

Not an ideal match for a 57% Obama district.


I agree; I was expecting Maffei to do better, considering the electorate should be fairly familiar with both candidates.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #4 on: July 26, 2012, 11:41:32 PM »
Familiarity may be the problem. Have we forgotten Maffei is a loser?
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Miles
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« Reply #5 on: July 26, 2012, 11:48:04 PM »
Quote from: President Napoleon on July 26, 2012, 11:41:32 PM
Familiarity may be the problem. Have we forgotten Maffei is a loser?

Good point. Though Buerkle is still a poor fit for the district.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #6 on: July 26, 2012, 11:53:30 PM »
Quote from: MilesC56 on July 26, 2012, 11:48:04 PM
Quote from: President Napoleon on July 26, 2012, 11:41:32 PM
Familiarity may be the problem. Have we forgotten Maffei is a loser?

Good point. Though Buerkle is still a poor fit for the district.

I wont underestimate her again. Republicans weren't supposed to be able to win this seat back. I imagine she is a tougher cookie than would be expected. However Maffei can win.
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freepcrusher
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« Reply #7 on: July 26, 2012, 11:57:55 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Moderate on July 26, 2012, 07:29:34 PM
Quote from: MilesC56 on July 25, 2012, 09:42:41 PM
After respondents were read "balanced, positive" paragraphs about both candidates, Maffei was up 49-40.

And I trust a Democratic internal poll to be totally balanced and totally positive. LOL.


Yeah. Tough for Democrats, because Buerkle is a likable Republican, issue-wise.

Still a close race, though.

Buerkle had always struck me as a Marilyn Musgrave clone. That usually doesn't fly in New York (even in upstate).
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Napoleon
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« Reply #8 on: July 27, 2012, 12:00:50 AM »
Quote from: freepcrusher on July 26, 2012, 11:57:55 PM
Quote from: Mr. Moderate on July 26, 2012, 07:29:34 PM
Quote from: MilesC56 on July 25, 2012, 09:42:41 PM
After respondents were read "balanced, positive" paragraphs about both candidates, Maffei was up 49-40.

And I trust a Democratic internal poll to be totally balanced and totally positive. LOL.


Yeah. Tough for Democrats, because Buerkle is a likable Republican, issue-wise.

Still a close race, though.

Buerkle had always struck me as a Marilyn Musgrave clone. That usually doesn't fly in New York (even in upstate).

Are you sure you aren't confusing her with Nan Hayworth, human trash?
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #9 on: July 27, 2012, 12:25:18 AM »
Quote from: President Napoleon on July 26, 2012, 11:41:32 PM
Familiarity may be the problem. Have we forgotten Maffei is a loser?

That didnt hurt Steve Chabot, Steve Pearce, or Tim Wahlberg. 
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Napoleon
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« Reply #10 on: July 27, 2012, 12:30:14 AM »
Quote from: Mr.Phips on July 27, 2012, 12:25:18 AM
Quote from: President Napoleon on July 26, 2012, 11:41:32 PM
Familiarity may be the problem. Have we forgotten Maffei is a loser?

That didnt hurt Steve Chabot, Steve Pearce, or Tim Wahlberg. 

Steve Chabot was elected seven times before losing and winning again. Steve Pearce was elected each of the four times he ran for his House seat. Maffei lost, won and lost again.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #11 on: July 27, 2012, 12:50:10 AM »
Quote from: President Napoleon on July 27, 2012, 12:30:14 AM
Quote from: Mr.Phips on July 27, 2012, 12:25:18 AM
Quote from: President Napoleon on July 26, 2012, 11:41:32 PM
Familiarity may be the problem. Have we forgotten Maffei is a loser?

That didnt hurt Steve Chabot, Steve Pearce, or Tim Wahlberg. 

Steve Chabot was elected seven times before losing and winning again. Steve Pearce was elected each of the four times he ran for his House seat. Maffei lost, won and lost again.

Chabot actually lost in 1988 to Tom Luken before winning in 1994. 
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Brittain33
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« Reply #12 on: July 27, 2012, 11:12:27 AM »
Maffei lost with off-year electorates, won in an election year. Not a small distinction in a district with a massive university at its center.
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MD
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« Reply #13 on: July 30, 2012, 04:00:03 PM »
I have this seat flipping which isn't exactly a huge stretch.
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